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Old 04-29-2013, 08:07 AM   #61
renny
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they did a simulation on the fan this morning, seeing how many times it would take for the Flames to get 1st overall. I believe it took 7 tries for Calgary to come up, but surprisingly Florida took 10 tries before they won. Notable, Colorado won 3 of those 10 tries.
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:12 AM   #62
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Of course the Oilers website has a draft lottery simulator for anyone wanting to try it:
http://oilers.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=668035

Flames win on my first try.
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:15 AM   #63
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Flames win on my first try.
Mine too! The first 20 were just practice runs.

I'm taking this as a sign.
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:16 AM   #64
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Hahah Flames won on page load first time for me too, then the avs 3 times and panthers once.
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:17 AM   #65
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They won 3 times on my real try's as well.

Go flames go
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:22 AM   #66
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Took me 29 times, uggh.
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:32 AM   #67
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GUYS!! Don't waste their luck on simulators!!
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:36 AM   #68
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Simulated 5 times:

Colorado
Colorado
Nashville
Nashville
Edmonton
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:39 AM   #69
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I tried like 20+ times and I think mine is broken.. it keeps refreshing Florida
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:40 AM   #70
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I just hit refresh 30 times and the flames did not win once. Florida won the most, and somehow Edmonton won the 2nd most. Even the Flyers won twice and the Peg won once.


Edit: went back and hit refresh one more time.....Flames win!!!!!
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:41 AM   #71
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I actually got Dallas and then Phoenix on my first 2 tries. Then a bunch of Floridas and Nashvilles, with one Edmonto thrown it there.
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:47 AM   #72
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Calgary won on my second try.

Buffalo on my ninth.

I have a ten percent chance of being happy tonight!
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:50 AM   #73
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Did it 10 times.
Had the Panthers, Avs and Sabres??? each win twice.
Flames on second try.
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:50 AM   #74
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Simulated it 10 times, Buffalo won it 3 times.

Hopefully not a sign of things to come tonight...
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Old 04-29-2013, 08:53 AM   #75
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If Bettman is rigging it, we should be a top 2 option for winner, because Edwards was Bettsie's right hand owner in the lockout. The other of course being Phoenix but what the hell do they need Seth Jones for, with OEL and Yandle going forward.
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Old 04-29-2013, 09:25 AM   #76
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nsh 3 times
col twice
coil once
NJ twice
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Old 04-29-2013, 09:30 AM   #77
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Originally Posted by cral12 View Post
Quick lowdown on the lottery:
NHL Draft Lottery Odds and How It Works

Included: a pretty funny "Lottery Simulator"
Ok, I have been working on this for a while and I have nothing.

Can someone explain to me how you can draw 4 balls, numbered 1-14 and from that, get a 4 digit numer?

That makes no sense whatsoever.
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Old 04-29-2013, 09:38 AM   #78
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My understanding is that they will announce teams in reverse order, starting at 5. If that is true, here is the bottom line for Flames fans:

They will either call Carolina or Nashville

68.7% chance they call Carolina - that means that one of the top 4 teams won. Flames draft 6th

If they call Nashville (31.3% chance), one of 3 things happens:

8.1% Carolina won - Flames draft 6th
6.2% Flames win the draft!!!
17.0% One of the teams below the Flames won and the Flames draft 7th

Assuming Nashville is called, from that point the odds are:

25.9% Carolina (6th)
19.8% Flames (1st)
54.3% someone else (7th)
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Old 04-29-2013, 09:48 AM   #79
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Fellas,

Got Calgary 10 times out of 100. We'll be fine.
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Old 04-29-2013, 09:49 AM   #80
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
Ok, I have been working on this for a while and I have nothing.

Can someone explain to me how you can draw 4 balls, numbered 1-14 and from that, get a 4 digit numer?

That makes no sense whatsoever.
No kidding, I was thinking the same thing. I'm no Stephen Hawking, but with 14 numbered balls, I would think the odds of any sequence of balls, in any order, would be equal.

Unless that is their way of saying "it's too complicated for us to explain, but according to advanced mathematics.....Phoenix wins!"

No, really, I'm not a conspiracy theorist. I'm betting it is just another inaccurate article.
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