If what Vansmack posted turns out to be accurate, we're in for another rainy, lousy summer. During reading that I got pretty sick of reading "Warm, east. Cool, west". Pretty much the theme of the whole thing. Apparently I need to escape to the Okanagan more than once this summer.
In the October 1981 issue of Weatherwise, pages 212-215, John E. Walsh and David Allen performed a check on the accuracy of 60 monthly forecasts of temperature and precipitation from the Old Farmer's Almanac at 32 stations in the U.S. They found that 50.7 percent of the monthly temperature forecasts and 51.9 percent of the precipitation forecasts verified with the correct sign. These may be compared with the 50 percent success rate expected by chance.
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Just like spring time in Alberta
Warm sunny days endless skies of blue
Then without a warning
Another winter storm
Comes raging through
And the mercury's fallin'
I'm left all alone
Spring time in Alberta
Chills me to the bone
__________________
Turn up the good, turn down the suck!
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SaturdaySnow at times heavy and local blowing snow. Amount 10 to 20 cm. Wind northeast 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. High minus 1.
Quote:
Watches
City of Calgary
4:10 AM MDT Friday 01 April 2011
Winter storm watch for
City of Calgary issued
Significant winter storm possible Saturday The potential for severe winter weather exists over these regions.
A Pacific system is expected to push onshore today and move across the Rockies tonight. As a result snow and windy conditions will develop for southwestern regions of the province overnight tonight as upslope flow conditions intensify. By Saturday evening the warned regions will see 15 to 25 cm of snow with winds of 40 to 50 km/h expected in exposed areas accompanied by blowing snow. The storm will persist into Sunday.
For areas further to the north and east, snowfall amounts are less certain associated with the track and intensity of the system. Additionally ground temperatures are fairly warm and a lot of the precipitation will likely melt on contact.
Environment Canada will continue to monitor the situation and will update the watch regions as appropriate through the day today.
EnviroCan - Sat Apr 2, 2011: Cloudy with 60 percent chance of flurries.
WeatherNetwork - Sat Apr 2, 2011: 15-20 cm of snow
Quote:
Originally Posted by Buzzard
TWN is out to lunch 9 X out of 10 on any prediction past a day or so.
Well.
They certainly nailed this one didn't they? Ahh well, throw enough ####, eventually some of it's gotta stick. Now if you'll excuse me, I'm off to finish my crow.
Make it November 1st to Aprl-2nd and that number doubles.
What a day, yesshh.
Not entirely. That data is rain equivalent mm's. ie, the snow is melted down and the mm of water (or rain equivalent) is what's recorded. It varies for the type of snow, but 1cm can be said to equal 1mm (10:1 ratio).
Not entirely. That data is rain equivalent mm's. ie, the snow is melted down and the mm of water (or rain equivalent) is what's recorded. It varies for the type of snow, but 1cm can be said to equal 1mm (10:1 ratio).