Wild Card Race (Western Conference)

[Demaeon]

Originally Posted by edslunch

19 games left.

9-10 in their last 19 games, lost best player and a vet. Not looking good.

And 865-769-157-109 in their last 1900.

Edit: I should add that this isn't taking playoff games into account, because that would be ridiculous.

[polak]

Originally Posted by heep223

We can look at the last 10 years and estimate how many points it'll take to get in. It's a very simplistic and concrete approach (ie. win 12 and we're in!), curious as to why you don't agree.

EDIT: Also it's funny that the two posts directly below yours did exactly this.

If every team keeps pace that number is wrong.

[mrkajz44]

Originally Posted by polak

If every team keeps pace that number is wrong.

Pace of what? Over the whole season? Last 25 games? Last 10 games? Last 5 games?

That's the point. Over a season all teams have hot and cold streaks. At the end of the year, you need about 96 points to make the post season. So don't worry about everyone else, just focus on getting to that number and you should be fine. Stressing about the OOT scoreboard will not help you get to 96 points.

[dino7c]

96 with the tiebreaker on most gets the Flames IN

people worry too much. Don't forget these teams all play each other, everybody can't run the table

[CroFlames]

Intuition tells me 94 should be enough, but 96 is certain.

I could very well be wrong with all the fancy stats and calculations, but I also am pretty confident that watching hockey for many years allows me to predict things like this without calculations.

Mission: 12W.

[polak]

Unless the 9th place team has 96 points. At which point we worry.

All you need pay attention to is how the last playoff team is doing. If you stay above them, it's fool proof. That's my strategy and I'm sticking to it.

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by polak

Unless the 9th place team has 96 points. At which point we worry.

All you need pay attention to is how the last playoff team is doing. If you stay above them, it's fool proof. That's my strategy and I'm sticking to it.

they wont, teams play each other all the teams in the race aren't gonna get that high

trust me, not saying the Flames will do it but if they get 96 they are IN

most teams would need 97 to beat them

[Street Pharmacist]

Originally Posted by edslunch

19 games left.

9-10 in their last 19 games, lost best player and a vet. Not looking good.

No they're not. 11-7-1 in their last 19. 1-0-0 since losing their captain.

[troutman]

Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist

No they're not. 11-7-1 in their last 19. 1-0-0 since losing their captain.

Undefeated in the Post-Sven era.

[edslunch]

Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist

No they're not. 11-7-1 in their last 19. 1-0-0 since losing their captain.

Nm. Man do I feel dumb

[Street Pharmacist]

Originally Posted by troutman

Undefeated in the Post-Sven era.

Clearly he was dragging down Monahan's first periods. Couldn't score in the first period until Sven was gone

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist

No they're not. 11-7-1 in their last 19. 1-0-0 since losing their captain.

Interesting they have done that well and people have been talking like they have fallen off a cliff.

[DJones]

Haha I actually believed him. That makes me feel better. It was february that was rough. January was great

[Street Pharmacist]

Originally Posted by dino7c

Interesting they have done that well and people have been talking like they have fallen off a cliff.

It's because of the last recall bias. In the last 2 1/2 weeks the flames have only won 2 games and lost 4. They simply

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

ROW's go,

VAN - 32
CGY - 31
MIN - 31
SJS - 30
LAK - 29
WPG - 26

Other than the Jets, that ROW battle is too close to really say anyone has a major tie-breaker advantage. Could completely re-arrange itself in a week. Particularly as we go along and teams are more conservative about making sure they manage their losses and get close games at least to OT.

[cam_wmh]

Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist

1-0-0 since losing their captain.[/IMG]

Well, they lost 2-1 to the Islanders, w/o Giordano; so 1-1-0.





I'll see myself out.

[Street Pharmacist]

Originally Posted by DJones

Haha I actually believed him. That makes me feel better. It was february that was rough. January was great

Actually February was fine. 6-4-1

[Oling_Roachinen]

What's interesting is just how Winnipeg is losing so much ground despite grabbing a respectable 14 of 22 points in their last 11 games. They have to hate the OOT scoreboard more than anyone.

Unlike the Canucks, Flames, Kings and Sharks who are capable of fighting for 4 playoff spots (with obvious varying likelihood of grabbing them) Winnipeg only can challenge for the 2 wildcard spots at this point. And with Minnesota overtaking them now, their playoff hopes have gone from pretty high to closer to 50/50 here quickly.

There schedule isn't at all easy either.

Predators, Blues, Panthers, Lightning, Sharks, Blues, Capitals, Oilers, Canucks, Canadiens, Blackhawks, Rangers, Canucks, Wild, Blues, Avalanche, Flames.

Only 4 teams currently not in a playoff position today, two of which are still fighting for their playoff hopes.

[DJones]

Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist

Actually February was fine. 6-4-1

I'm living a lie. must be over thinking each loss

[blender]

Don't look now, but the Wild are only four points back of Chicago.