The Eternal Playoff Optimism Thread

[Samonadreau]

2 bottom feeders and then the Jets. Win the next 3 and an I like our chances!

[TheIronMaiden]

[Bingo]

Winnipeg's win puts them back on a 94 point pace.

Calgary needs 95

5-1-0

[ForeverFlameFan]

Originally Posted by Bingo

Winnipeg's win puts them back on a 94 point pace.

Calgary needs 95

5-1-0

Whatever it takes.

All I know is if we lose to them in regulation that could very well be the end of our playoff hopes. Really, really hope that isn’t the case and we have an advantage over them when we see them Wednesday

[the-rasta-masta]

I don't know if that is necessarily the truth, Flames can lose to Winnipeg and still get in if they beat the teams they are supposed to. This is simplified, and we know it's not going to go this route, but if you look at the remaining games, remove 3 point scenarios, and simply give the win to the team with the higher point percentage, it looks like this:

Winnipeg: 93 Points (3-3 Finish)
NJ (L)
CGY (W)
NSH (W)
SJ (W)
MIN (L)
COL (L)

Calgary: 95 Points (5-1 Finish)
ANA (W)
CHI (W)
WPG (L)
VAN (W)
NSH (W)
SJ (W)

Nashville: 84 Points (1-7 Finish)
STL (W)
DAL (L)
VEG (L)
CAR(L)
WPG (L)
CGY (L)
MIN (L)
COL (L)

[Goriders]

Originally Posted by the-rasta-masta

I don't know if that is necessarily the truth, Flames can lose to Winnipeg and still get in if they beat the teams they are supposed to. This is simplified, and we know it's not going to go this route, but if you look at the remaining games, remove 3 point scenarios, and simply give the win to the team with the higher point percentage, it looks like this:

Winnipeg: 93 Points (3-3 Finish)
NJ (L)
CGY (W)
NSH (W)
SJ (W)
MIN (L)
COL (L)

Calgary: 95 Points (5-1 Finish)
ANA (W)
CHI (W)
WPG (L)
VAN (W)
NSH (W)
SJ (W)

Nashville: 84 Points (1-7 Finish)
STL (W)
DAL (L)
VEG (L)
CAR(L)
WPG (L)
CGY (L)
MIN (L)
COL (L)

I don’t think nashville is going 1-7. They are playing well lately.

I think they will beat wpg and the Jets will go 2-4 for 91 points.

I think the Flames will go 4-2 for 93 points.

I think Nashville goes 3-5 for 88 points.

Wpg Flames game will decide the season.

[hwy19man]

The Kraken might crack because of their inferior home record, they have five home games remaining.

[The Cobra]

Originally Posted by hwy19man

The Kraken might crack because of their inferior home record, they have five home games remaining.

They could explode and we wouldn’t catch them

They have v 2 games in hand and are 5 points ahead.

Even if a Calgary goes 5-1, Seattle just needs to go 2-5-1 to beat us.

And they have 3 games vs. The Coyotes and 1 vs. The Hawks.

[Winsor_Pilates]

Originally Posted by the-rasta-masta

I don't know if that is necessarily the truth, Flames can lose to Winnipeg and still get in if they beat the teams they are supposed to. This is simplified, and we know it's not going to go this route, but if you look at the remaining games, remove 3 point scenarios, and simply give the win to the team with the higher point percentage, it looks like this:

Winnipeg: 93 Points (3-3 Finish)
NJ (L)
CGY (W)
NSH (W)
SJ (W)
MIN (L)
COL (L)

Calgary: 95 Points (5-1 Finish)
ANA (W)
CHI (W)
WPG (L)
VAN (W)
NSH (W)
SJ (W)

Nashville: 84 Points (1-7 Finish)
STL (W)
DAL (L)
VEG (L)
CAR(L)
WPG (L)
CGY (L)
MIN (L)
COL (L)

Nashville's current win % is higher than Calgary, so you have to change that result based on your methodology.

That would put the Flames tied with the Jets at 93 and out based on wins.

[the-rasta-masta]

Originally Posted by Winsor_Pilates

Nashville's current win % is higher than Calgary, so you have to change that result based on your methodology.

That would put the Flames tied with the Jets at 93 and out based on wins.

This was posted before the Preds game today.

[TrentCrimmIndependent]

Originally Posted by ForeverFlameFan

Whatever it takes.

All I know is if we lose to them in regulation that could very well be the end of our playoff hopes. Really, really hope that isn’t the case and we have an advantage over them when we see them Wednesday

Imo, come out of Wednesday at least even. Doesn't matter the win/loss combination

The last few games for Calgary are way more forgiving than WPG or NSH, who close out against Minny and Colorado

The last two may be where the battle is won

[Winsor_Pilates]

Originally Posted by the-rasta-masta

This was posted before the Preds game today.

I see, my bad.

[topfiverecords]

Kraken 4 Home 3 Away [90pts]

h-ARI | a-VAN | h-ARI | h-CHI | a-ARI | a-VEG | h-VEG


Jets 4 Home 2 Away [87pts]

h-NJ | h-CGY | h-NSH | h-SJ | a-MIN | a-COL


Flames 4 Home 2 Away [85pts]

h-ANA | h-CHI | a-WPG | a-VAN | h-NSH | h-SJ


Preds 4 Home 3 Away [84pts]

a-DAL | h-VEG | h-CAR | a-WPG | a-CGY | h-MIN | h-COL


* Back to Backs

[TrentCrimmIndependent]

Seattle is in easily lol.

No way they miss.

[Pickle Juice]

So if the flames win and jets lose tonight who gets the tie breaker?

[keenan87]

Jets have the tie breaker

[Enoch Root]

The Flames are behind in the first tiebreaker, RW (regulation wins), as well as the 2nd tiebreaker, ROW (reg and overtime wins). And they cannot catch WPG in ROW, so the only way they can win the tiebreaker is by passing WPG in RWs, and winning the 1st tiebreaker.

They trail the Jets by 4 RWs so they need to win 5 games in regulation, and have the Jets win zero games in regulation (or 6 and 1, respectively). Not impossible, but the odds are pretty astronomical.

Easier to just say that the Flames can't win the tiebreaker.

[Strange Brew]

Originally Posted by Enoch Root

The Flames are behind in the first tiebreaker, RW (regulation wins), as well as the 2nd tiebreaker, ROW (reg and overtime wins). And they cannot catch WPG in ROW, so the only way they can win the tiebreaker is by passing WPG in RWs, and winning the 1st tiebreaker.

They trail the Jets by 4 RWs so they need to win 5 games in regulation, and have the Jets win zero games in regulation (or 6 and 1, respectively). Not impossible, but the odds are pretty astronomical.

Easier to just say that the Flames can't win the tiebreaker.

Lol if that happens they won’t be tied.

[Enoch Root]

Originally Posted by Strange Brew

Lol if that happens they won’t be tied.

The Jets could win games in OT, keeping the pace, but allowing the Flames to pass them in RWs

As I said, unlikely, but it is actually possible.

[Dion]

nm