Quote:
Originally Posted by killer_carlson
I agree.
But this management group seems keen to keep the shelves full and trusts their scouts.
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Agreed. But the shelves have never been fuller of promising NHLers and young prospects.
Also the scouts may tell management that they can get a better player at #16 then they can get with trading down.
Flames won't trade down due to a philosophical decision about needing depth. The decision will be based on which prospects they target this draft and where they see the tiers or drop-offs. Trading down makes sense in the following 3 scenarios
1. Flames target lets say 5 guys. They all get picked before 16 and none are available. This is a classic trade down scenario where you were hoping someone fell and no one did. If this happens then a trade down would likely occur.
2. Flames target lets say 7 guys who they think are fairly close. At 16 there are 5 of them left. They can trade down 3-4 spots and still grab a guy they are targeting. I think this happened the year we traded down and picked Chucko. I think they liked Zajac, Chucko, maybe Meszaros, etc. We did get extra picks and got Boyd and Prust with those picks but picked a 1st round bust. Of course we didn't know the league was moving to be faster and Chucko did have concussion issues.
3. Flames are targeting a player they don't think anyone else likes quite as much as they do. They gamble and think they can trade down and still get him a bit lower. This would be like the Jankowski year.
Outside of those 3 scenarios I don't think it would make any sense to trade down. I'd imagine they'll go over all such scenarios before the draft. There's no way for us to know whether any of those scenarios will happen.
I think its most likely we just stay at 16 because I think the chance that a player they have in their top 10-12 dropping to them is quite likely.