2022 NFL Playoff Thread

[Senator Clay Davis]

Feels like these are pretty simple games to dissect today. If the Titans can get pressure with four the Bengals will struggle to score, and if they can't get home the Bengals will probably feast. And if the Packers can deal with all the 49ers pre-snap motion and not overcommit to the wide runs they will win, if the 49ers can use that pre-snap motion to get the advantages they want the Packers are in trouble. Hoping for better games then last week obviously, but feels like tomorrow will be the good games this weekend.

[Sylvanfan]

For me this is the best Football weekend of the season. All 8 of these teams are all capable of winning the game today and ultimately getting to the Superbowl, so hopefully we get 4 really good games. Although a comfortable K.C. win will probably save the last hairs on my head. Of course you all know what a bad fan I am, so a Buffalo win will serve to replace what I lost betting on the Steelers to cover the spread last week....

Well here is how I'm seeing todays games.

Bengals at Titans
Looks like both teams got good news on the injury front as Trey Hendrickson is cleared to play for the Bengals, and the Titans will have Henry active, and don't have anyone else listed at this point in time. It's a cool day in Nashville with the temperature around 0° Celsius. But no wind and it's pretty clear, so I don't think the weather is much of a factor.

Current line that I'm seeing is Titans -4 and the over under is up to 48.5

The Titans are a team that I think the betting market has under valued all season long. They're about as healthy today as they have been all season. Derrick Henry will add something to them, but as I've noted in a lot of other posts, they still ran the ball effectively without him, it was having a big time WR in A.J. Brown to give them some threat in the passing game that seemed to have a bigger impact on the team.

The Bengals are still a dangerous team as Chase, Higgins and Mixon plus Boyd and Uzomah are as good a weapon set for a QB to work with as any other team. Than add in Joe Burrow to QB the whole thing and they are capable of pulling it off. Truthfully I'd love to see them beat the Titans.

But the Titans are the better team at the line of scrimmage. They have the better coach, and they have some playoff experience. The Bengals finally winning last week was a big deal for them. But the Titans goals are higher, and I think today we'll see the Titans win this one pretty handily. I'll predict 27-17 as the Titans defence shows up and keeps the Bengals in check early and run out to a large first half lead and steer it home.

Confident enough to bet the Titans to cover, but would prefer to avoid that 48.5 total. I think the Titans defence and ball control could keep it under, but not confident enough to lay money on that.

49'ers at Packers

At this time the line is at Green Bay -5.0 and the Over Under is up to 47.5

Both teams look like some key guys are banged up but will play tonight. Although I think Bosa and Garappolo are the two most significant of the injured players.

Looks to be a cold game with the temperature at -11 to -12 and a bit of wind and light snow. Jimmy Garappolo has never started a game where the temperature at kick off was below 5°C. So for me this will be a huge advanage for everyone's favorite Vaccine opponent and patient of Dr. Joe Rogan. He might be an ass...but he's the best thrower in the NFL, and I think he'll be able to throw a lot better than a gimped up Garappolo.

But San Francisco may be able to stick in this game because they can run the ball, and they can be creative in running the ball with Deebo plus I expect they'll try to find ways to get Kittle and Juscyzk also getting the ball in runs or short passes. Green Bay can struggle defending the run especially a team like San Francisco who can get a guy like Samuel involved in that part of the game.

I want to pick the 49'ers to cover, but I don't think they'll be able to knock off this Green Bay team in Lambeau, and I think if they get behind and have to throw the ball, they'll get into a lot of trouble. I'll take the Packers to win this 24-21. Not sure I'll bet anything on this game save some in game amusement bets.

[calgarygeologist]

Originally Posted by Nadal Fan

The King returns today. I have nothing but bad memories when the Titans get the #1 seed, it would be nice if they won one of these games. Everyone doubts the Titans but like the Judds say, Why not us?

The Titans/Bengals game is the most intriguing to me this weekend as I feel that it is the least predictable and either can win. Bills/Chiefs should be a fun game with a huge score but I'm less excited about that game.

[GirlySports]

I'll avoid the spread and take under in the first game and over in the second game.
And take the over in both games tomorrow.

[Sylvanfan]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

I'll avoid the spread and take under in the first game and over in the second game.
And take the over in both games tomorrow.

Supposedly the Public likes the Over in all 4 games thus far, with the Bills and Chiefs being the most heavily bet over. Tonight's game also has been bet pretty heavy on the over.

[Senator Clay Davis]

See Bills-Chiefs would scare me from an over perspective. Seems like more often then not when we're expecting an all-time shootout we end up with a 21-17 game. Tonight too doesn't scream over to me, the Packers are a slow and methodical offense, so are the Niners, so from my view the over hinges on a blowout with a backdoor over. Otherwise that too screams something like 23-20.

[calgarygeologist]

Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis

See Bills-Chiefs would scare me from an over perspective. Seems like more often then not when we're expecting an all-time shootout we end up with a 21-17 game. Tonight too doesn't scream over to me, the Packers are a slow and methodical offense, so are the Niners, so from my view the over hinges on a blowout with a backdoor over. Otherwise that too screams something like 23-20.

Interesting matchup in points for/points per game in the 49ers/Packers game. GB at 9th in points for/game and 13th in points against/game. SF is 13th in points for/game and 9th in points against/game.

[Cecil Terwilliger]

And now we’re going to let you listen live to Derrick Henry’s introduction.

Proceeds to talk over the entire intro and didn’t go live audio to the stadium at all.

[calgarygeologist]

Wow. What a start, very interesting.

[Senator Clay Davis]

The only reason Tannehill isn't the worst QB left is because Jimmy G is still in it. But yeah the Titans, like the 49ers, should be looking to keep Tannehill's pass count to under 20. If he's throwing more than that they are in trouble.

[DropIt]

Went Cincy ML and the over

Took GB to cover and the over

[Senator Clay Davis]

Expect a lot of sacks in this one, these are the two most sacked QBs in the league. Combination of poor offensive lines and QBs who hold on to the ball too long (Tannehill especially).

[DropIt]

Whats the rul for fair catch.. that seemed like a late signal

[Nadal Fan]

Not an ideal start

[Senator Clay Davis]

That quarter did nothing to dissuade the notion that the AFC Championship is tomorrow night.

[calgarygeologist]

Henry looked like he was in some pain when he got hit on that last run during the prior possession. He hasn't been back on the field yet and I wonder if he is going to be very limited now?

[Luder]

Hmm Henry was out on that drive

[Senator Clay Davis]

Yeah the Bengals need to let Burrow win this one or not, running the ball isn't really an option, use the quick passing game instead.

[GirlySports]

Not sure I like that call. Now you've lost a point because of the opposition's penalty.

[Johnny Makarov]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Not sure I like that call. Now you've lost a point because of the opposition's penalty.

If you can't get 1 yard with Henry you might as well forfeit.