Rube's NFL Gambling Odyssey - Page 21 - Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community

GirlySports · 12-17-2012, 04:41 PM

hahaha well obviously they're not too bad 6-7. I was bitter because the beat the Rams that week.

I can't believe the Rams didn't lose to the 49ers his year.

GirlySports · 12-18-2012, 08:25 AM

sheesh!

Quote:

There were 2 winning shares
matching 15 out of 15
for CARD 648
paying prizes of $123576.00 each.

return to the red · 12-19-2012, 11:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GirlySports

sheesh!

very surprised at that outcome concidering that there weren't really any upsets minus the ARZ game but even they were playing at home against a very streaky Det team.

GirlySports · 12-19-2012, 12:39 PM

SF beating NE and CAR beating SD.

return to the red · 12-19-2012, 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GirlySports

SF beating NE and CAR beating SD.

Pickems really, Carolina has been playing MUCH better since Newton has realized he can run the football and it was against SD so. SF vs NE was probably a blocked game that the people really couldn't decide on.

I was way off this week as we completely changed our strategy of blocking major upsets (Indy at Houston) and just picking the Fav on the SNF and MNF that way if you are perfect with some long shots coming through you can hedge accordingly on the underdog.

After 2 small payouts we want a big one.

GirlySports · 12-21-2012, 11:31 AM

I forgot about the college game yesterday it went under

35 bowl games, take the over on all of them!

12.14: 11am: New Mexico Bowl: Nevada vs. Arizona OVER 80 48-49 WON
12.14: 2:20pm: Idaho Potato Bowl: Toledo vs. Utah State OVER 58.5 15-41 LOST
12.20: 5:30pm: Poinsettia Bowl: BYU vs San Diego State OVER 50 23-6 LOST
12.21: 5:30pm: Beef O Brady's Bowl: Ball State vs UCF OVER 58.5

Sylvanfan · 12-28-2012, 07:24 PM

Looking at the last playoff spot in the NFC with props, you might be able to make some money by parlaying obvious results. Example for the Giants to make the playoffs, add in Minnesota, Chicago, and Dallas not making it as a parlay.

I think Chicago yes, Minnesota no, than New York no is the most likely one. Inclined to add in a Dallas no with that too.

spydermal · 12-30-2012, 10:13 PM

Darn, one wrong in pools.

BsFaninCGY · 12-30-2012, 10:31 PM

Also one wrong. Not seeing much chatter on twitter or anything. Think we might luck out and win with one wrong?

spydermal · 12-30-2012, 10:37 PM

I seen on twitter a guy in Ontario got 100. Not sure if it combines OLG and WCLC or not.

BsFaninCGY · 12-30-2012, 10:39 PM

It does not. That's good!

home_sweet_dome · 12-31-2012, 12:02 AM

Sorry to burst your bubble but i'm sitting on a perfect ticket. Not expecting much of a payout though, only 4 upsets this week.

return to the red · 01-04-2013, 01:55 PM

Minny +9.5

Indy +7

GirlySports · 01-05-2013, 05:03 PM

Vikings went up to +10 because of Ponder injury so I jumped on the Vikes. I'd rather have Joe Webb in there anyway.

transplant99 · 01-05-2013, 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Vikings went up to +10 because of Ponder injury so I jumped on the Vikes. I'd rather have Joe Webb in there anyway.

Oh come on....the guy hasnt thrown a pass this season.

Ponder gives them the best chance to win...period. That being said, no matter who is in there....AP gets at least 30 carries if not closer to 40.

HOOT · 01-06-2013, 07:50 AM

So at the start of the year I put money on Denver to win it all and that bet isn't looking too bad right now. My question is should I be betting against them the whole way through the playoffs? I only put down $50 and the payout is $950.

If I am betting against them how much do I risk to make its worth it? Just enough to get my $50 back or more with the chance of making some if they do lose?

transplant99 · 01-06-2013, 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HOOT

So at the start of the year I put money on Denver to win it all and that bet isn't looking too bad right now. My question is should I be betting against them the whole way through the playoffs? I only put down $50 and the payout is $950.

If I am betting against them how much do I risk to make its worth it? Just enough to get my $50 back or more with the chance of making some if they do lose?

I would bet rather heavy against them if i was you, as i simply dont see them winning it all. I know this wont be a popular opinion but looking their strength of schedule and strength of vicory columns over the season....they truly had a cupcake sked and as such i dont think they have seen the level of competition they will see the rest of the way.

Of course with manning at the helm, anything is possible but even his PO record isnt exactly "all that" after losing more starts than he has won.

HOOT · 01-06-2013, 09:47 PM

Ya I meant more is it the thing to do to protect the bet vs what Denver has/will do. It seems to make sense in my head but wasn't sure what others thought.

Baltimore to win is +355. So if I threw another $50 that would be a $227.50 payout, but if Denver wins then I'm trying to make up $100 for the original bet and this one. And I'd assume it would be a Denver/New England conf. finals at this point and I'm not sure how much of a favorite Denver would be in that game, if at all.

Or I just bet $15-20 on Baltimore for the chance to win my original $50 back from the Denver bet at the start of the season.

return to the red · 01-08-2013, 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HOOT

So at the start of the year I put money on Denver to win it all and that bet isn't looking too bad right now. My question is should I be betting against them the whole way through the playoffs? I only put down $50 and the payout is $950.

If I am betting against them how much do I risk to make its worth it? Just enough to get my $50 back or more with the chance of making some if they do lose?

Hedge only against them, they will always be the fav. at home, even against NE with odds probably hovering around 2.2-2.5

just looked at pinnacle...Straight moneyline Has Balt at 4.42, personally I would put 100 or 200 on Balt but it depends on how comfortable you are with losing that amount too.

HOOT · 01-08-2013, 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by return to the red

Hedge only against them, they will always be the fav. at home, even against NE with odds probably hovering around 2.2-2.5

just looked at pinnacle...Straight moneyline Has Balt at 4.42, personally I would put 100 or 200 on Balt but it depends on how comfortable you are with losing that amount too.

Well I don't mind putting out the money, I was leaning on a $100 on Baltimore, because as long as I bet against them the next three games I'm a winner. It all just comes down to how much do I not want to win if they do end up winning the whole damn thing. If I bet $100 this game, $200 next and $300 in the SB. Now that $950 SB win is only $300, so I guess I'm just trying to find the happy medium in it all. But then again if I don't hedge and they lose this week I'd be unhappy.