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Old 07-13-2016, 10:44 AM   #4101
mrkajz44
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The Red Sox already got hit with big penalties for their shady activity in the international free agent market:

http://www.bostonherald.com/sports/r...gs_after_probe

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The league is banning the Sox from signing amateur international players for the next year and voiding the contracts of five players signed in 2015, according to a baseball source.
I heard about Ortiz talking about Fernandez, but not EE. Since Ortiz is king of the MLB right now and is doing his retirement tour, I doubt anything comes from it.
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Old 07-13-2016, 10:59 AM   #4102
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As a Jays fan i couldn't give a rats ass. The Jays have a really good team as long as they're willing to shell out i don't see why EE won't re-sign. If Boston makes a better offer I'd assume he'd go there but comments from Ortiz mid season? I don't think they're going to make a lick of difference.

But regardless I'm going to enjoy crushing their post season dreams in the second half.
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Old 07-15-2016, 08:02 AM   #4103
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Baseball is back today! It's funny how a few days off feels like forever when it comes to baseball, but we see 2 or 3 day layoffs in hockey all the time.

Anyway, they start start a weekend series in Oakland (38-51) tonight. Starters are a bit up in the air, but should be Stroman v Mengden tonight. After that it's a bunch of question marks.

I found an interesting site regarding predictions for the MLB that is pretty comprehensive. It gives winning percentages for each game based on team ELO, making adjustments for starting pitching as well as home field advantage and travel factors. Pretty interesting if you are into that kind of thing. The site has Jays ranked 2nd overall in the league in ELO, which seems promising.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ons/blue-jays/

EDIT: For those wondering about ELO, it is based off how chess performance was ranked. It's essentially an ongoing adjustment of a teams performance based on their past performances and their likeliness to win based on past ELO projections. Pretty interesting stuff:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system
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Last edited by mrkajz44; 07-15-2016 at 08:04 AM.
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Old 07-15-2016, 01:42 PM   #4104
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Hoping Stroman has another strong showing tonight; we will need him in the second half of the season
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Old 07-15-2016, 02:37 PM   #4105
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I found an interesting site regarding predictions for the MLB that is pretty comprehensive. It gives winning percentages for each game based on team ELO, making adjustments for starting pitching as well as home field advantage and travel factors. Pretty interesting if you are into that kind of thing. The site has Jays ranked 2nd overall in the league in ELO, which seems promising.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ons/blue-jays/
[/url]
And that's with Bautista and Estrada out. Wonder if we'd be first with those 2 in.
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Old 07-15-2016, 02:42 PM   #4106
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And that's with Bautista and Estrada out. Wonder if we'd be first with those 2 in.
I think Estrada would affect it because he would then be built into the pitching adjustment score, but I don't think Bautista would move the needle because position players don't seem to have a separate impact on ELO. The only way his impact is felt is the Jays continuing to win once we comes back to the line.

I'm still trying to understand it myself though, so I could be way off.
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Old 07-15-2016, 02:49 PM   #4107
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fair enough my understanding is significantly less then yours.
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Old 07-15-2016, 04:59 PM   #4108
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They use this for nfl and their lines are interesting to see vs the bookies lines . You can find some interesting discrepancies
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Old 07-15-2016, 06:20 PM   #4109
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bah i hate late games screws up evening plans.
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Old 07-15-2016, 08:26 PM   #4110
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Stupid second base cost us a couple runs, pillar saved at least one at the end though.
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Old 07-15-2016, 08:30 PM   #4111
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Stupid second base cost us a couple runs, pillar saved at least one at the end though.
That was a brutal hop. Not sure if we can blame Travis on that one which was my immediate rum-fuelled reaction until I saw the replay.
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Old 07-15-2016, 08:48 PM   #4112
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The pbp guy just called a pitch that was way "up and away" as "down and away." He also completely missed a couple of other pitches. I miss Buck.
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Old 07-15-2016, 09:01 PM   #4113
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who are these guys? runs on a groundout, wildpitch and sac fly
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Old 07-15-2016, 09:02 PM   #4114
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Devlin is always terrible is when he does Jays games.
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Old 07-15-2016, 09:05 PM   #4115
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Josh Reddick's walk up song is epic.
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Old 07-15-2016, 09:09 PM   #4116
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wow he didn't dodge the tag, if that were a blue jay i'd be mad
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Old 07-15-2016, 09:12 PM   #4117
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Josh Reddick's walk up song is epic.
Best walk up song in baseball

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Old 07-15-2016, 09:17 PM   #4118
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4 runs on 4 hits and no HRS, Oakland is giving this one to us so far, or at least trying to.
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Old 07-15-2016, 09:22 PM   #4119
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Liam Hendriks coming in.
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Old 07-15-2016, 09:22 PM   #4120
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7 runs on 6 singles, not our usual blue jays.
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