Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
I grabbed all the team's line for the year.
Eliminated all the top 9 lines.
Eliminated fourth lines with less than 20 minutes.
To me that's the way to go because Lomberg without Rooney is Lomberg with better players as well as it's Lomberg on the fourth line with equally poor players.
Whereas we don't see Rooney without anyone but fourth liners.
So that skews the data in my mind if you're looking for "blame".
I assigned all the forwards to two piles ... "fourth line" and "top nine". When you look at total ice time Lomberg has 100 more minutes with good players, and 14% more of his ice time with better players.
|
It's so tough for sure because they play most of their time together - but really Lomberg hasn't gotten that much time with better players away from Rooney outside of a couple combinations.
One thing I liked to look at was combinations where the wingers were the same but only Kirkland and Rooney flipped.
Lomberg - Kirkland - Coronato: 67.2% xGF. 3 GF - 0 GA
And you look at the same combo with Rooney instead of Kirkland...
Lomberg - Rooney - Coronato: 23.0% xGF. 0 GF - 1 GA
And the other combo was:
Lomberg - Kirkland - Klapka: 43.8% xGF. 1 GF - 0 GA
Lomberg - Rooney - Klapka: 14.7% xGF. 0 GF - 0 GA
So in both cases the lines were way less effective with Rooney. It's all small sample sizes so it's tough to get a lot of insight into this, but to me it's pretty clear that the biggest problem here is Rooney...with Lomberg still not really helping but don't think he hurts nearly as much.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo
Agreed, he'd be the target.
But it's not in the AHL if they leave Lomberg on the fourth line.
|
Well overall the only real center answers we might have in the AHL are Kerins and Morton...so not a lot of options regardless.
But Zary comes back and pushes Pelletier out of the top 9 then I feel like something like Pelletier - Kerins - Lomberg could maybe work. It's tough to say for sure.