Decided to stop with my stupid analyzing. 2 sims in a row (probably 3 if I hadn't missed a day in-between) broke my rules and corresponding points - useless given that.
Getting 1st to me is perfect. Getting Mathews or Laine is perfect. Anytime the lottery comes up with the Flames at 1st or 2nd, I take that as perfect, regardless of who comes 2nd and 3rd. Anything else is just gravy. Solid 10 from me.