Playoff Chances

[TurnedTheCorner]

I can't remember the last time the Flames were legitimately in a playoff race in mid-January.

[Poe969]

It's sad that a few years ago we were looking at being first in the division and trying for first in the west.

If this isn't a clear sign that change is needed, I don't know what is.

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by TurnedTheCorner

I can't remember the last time the Flames were legitimately in a playoff race in mid-January.

last year, they were in sole possession of 8th place in march


way too soon for these odds

[TurnedTheCorner]

March is in mid-January now? Or is that Smarch?

[dino7c]

Flyers have 18% chance of making the playoffs they might as well quit

[Poe969]

I don't think it's too soon. The points for games at the begining of the season are just as important as the ones "down the stretch". The Flames should be looking at what their odds are now and try to improve them every day, do what they can to improve and use it as motivation. They shouldn't just strive for 8th place like they have for the past few years

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by TurnedTheCorner

March is in mid-January now? Or is that Smarch?

uh, if they were in the spot in march they were obviously legitimately in the race in jan

[Poe969]

Originally Posted by dino7c

Flyers have 18% chance of making the playoffs they might as well quit

This is the same as saying "anyone can win the cup, the kings did and they were the 8th place team". Look at the tallent on the team and compare it to ours. We lack everything they have, they WILL turn it around and make the playoffs, we might find our way into 8th.

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by Poe969

I don't think it's too soon. The points for games at the begining of the season are just as important as the ones "down the stretch". The Flames should be looking at what their odds are now and try to improve them every day, do what they can to improve and use it as motivation. They shouldn't just strive for 8th place like they have for the past few years

Flames should worry about winning games not some "odds" based on a formula made by people who know nothing about hockey and that is based on the results of two games vs. non divisional opponents

[TurnedTheCorner]

Originally Posted by dino7c

uh, if they were in the spot in march they were obviously legitimately in the race in jan

Not legit

[timbit]

Originally Posted by dino7c

last year, they were in sole possession of 8th place in march


way too soon for these odds

Yep....that was one of the 2 days they had a playoff spot last season.

[Poe969]

Originally Posted by dino7c

Flames should worry about winning games not some "odds" based on a formula made by people who know nothing about hockey and that is based on the results of two games vs. non divisional opponents

Well that hasn't worked for the past few years, maybe they should try something new.... It always seems that they approach games with such a relaxed attitude and after a loss, they just seem to shrug it off. Maybe pointing it out to them now might lite a fire under their butts.

[troutman]

Lost to Vancouver 2-3 (so), playoff odds down 1.9 to 28.8%

[JayP]

Originally Posted by calgaryred

and the Flames in 1987-88, under a new coach, won the Presidents Trophy for the first time started their season 2-5

This team is not at all comparable to the Flames teams of the late 80's. We're a bubble playoff team at best - that's a huge difference.

[Gazza]

Originally Posted by Poe969

It's sad that a few years ago we were looking at being first in the division and trying for first in the west.

If this isn't a clear sign that change is needed, I don't know what is.

I agree completely.

[RedMileDJ]

With the shortened season (48 games), doesn't a team need to be at .500 after 10 games to mathematically be able to still make it into the playoffs?

What's the "magic number" this year anyway? I know in an 82 game season it's something like 94 or 96.

What is it this year?

edit: no, I have't read all the replies and the link in the OP yet.

[AR_Six]

Originally Posted by Red-Mile-DJ

With the shortened season (48 games), doesn't a team need to be at .500 after 10 games to mathematically be able to still make it into the playoffs?

Of course not. Mathematically, if you're 4-6 after 10 games you could end up with a record of 42-6. That would guarantee you the President's Trophy.

Impossible to guess the magic number this year because the schedule may inflate or depress the number of 3 point games. It's really hard to tell so far which of those it is, if either.

[RedMileDJ]

Originally Posted by AR_Six

Of course not. Mathematically, if you're 4-6 after 10 games you could end up with a record of 42-6. That would guarantee you the President's Trophy.

Impossible to guess the magic number this year because the schedule may inflate or depress the number of 3 point games. It's really hard to tell so far which of those it is, if either.

Thank you sir. I think I heard the ".500" comment on NHL radio or something. I didn't think it sounded too accurate.

[Street Pharmacist]

We'd need 56 or so points to make the playoffs. That means we need to be 8 games over .500 over the 48 game season. With 3 games gone and only 1 point, we now need to go 10 games over .500 over the next 45 games. That's roughly a .611 points percentage. Not unachievable, but far from easy.

[Komskies]

Originally Posted by Red-Mile-DJ

With the shortened season (48 games), doesn't a team need to be at .500 after 10 games to mathematically be able to still make it into the playoffs?

What's the "magic number" this year anyway? I know in an 82 game season it's something like 94 or 96.

What is it this year?

edit: no, I have't read all the replies and the link in the OP yet.

27-21-0 would prorate to a 92 point season over 82 games.
28-20-0 would prorate to a 96 points.