Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
Also how much of an affect is really attributable to foreign investment. I hear all of this fear mongering but I have never scene real numbers. Even if it is 20% that really doesn't make Vancouver an 'affordable' city.
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It's complete fear mongering.
It's hard to track but the best estimates put it somewhere around 1-2%.
The reality is that these buyers are moving to Vancouver as investment class immigrants. Vancouver gets 75% of Canada's immigrants in this class, and a few thousand each year.
That class of immigrant has to have over $1.6 million in assets & invest half of that($800,000) for 5 years with no claim back and no interest.
These people are given permanent residency with their class of immigration and they are the ones buying up most of the real estate.
It's not even these empty condos that keep going up; it's the detached housing in Vancouver West that has gone up over 20% in the last couple of years because it's being bought by these immigrants to live in and in areas with good schools for their kids.
I assure you, those houses are not all sitting empty.
The benchmark price on condos has increased less than 10% in the last 4 years, and it's a buyers market for condos right now.
Some of these immigrants will also use their wealth to invest in multiple properties and that's where the fear mongering comes from. People see a rich chinese person come into a Presale and buy 4 condos, and assume it's some foreign money holding scheme.
Then they see some stat saying prices have gone up 20% and assume it's on everything, when it's really only houses.
I've sold over 900 condos in Vancouver, and can hardly remember any of them being bought by a foreign investor who wasn't present and a resident of Canada.
Some real numbers:
-Almost 50% of Downtown Vancouver condos are rented
-The sales to listing ratio right now is about 15%. Considered the low end of a balanced market by most, but I'd say it's a buyers market for condos.
-Many Presales sold in 2007 are underwater now and have a ton of empty listing trying to be sold off. Buildings like Patina, West Pender Place, Dolce, Vita, Fairmont Pacific Rim. Buyers in these will take a hair cut if they sell now.
What the OP really needs to write letters about is immigration, & I'm sure Anders will be on board with reading that too.