Quote:
Originally Posted by bizaro86
A combined split with the Ranger/Pirates is a lot less impressive than Dodgers/Cubs, but does keep them on pace for 91 wins if they can go 500 the rest of the way. And it's starting to seem like 91 might be enough for the AL east this year. The Red Sox have fallen off and NYY are now in 2nd, but the Jays have the tie-breaker with them sewn up. For NYY to make 92 wins they need 24 more in 37 games, which is 0.650 baseball or a 105 win pace. It isn't impossible but isn't likely either, and if the Jays can win even one or two extra games better than 500 they almost certainly put it away.
They've also opened up a 4.5 game lead on the Astros, which is good as that wild card round bye seems pretty important to me. Hopefully they can go four out of six combined against the Marlins/Twins. Would be good to take advantage of weaker teams, especially as the Yankees have a fairly week schedule (eg 7 games vs CWS)
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They took a combined four out of six from the Marlins/Twins, which puts them on pace for 92 wins if they go 500 the rest of the way. That wouldn't normally win the AL east but I think it's starting to look like this year it might. The have the season series clinched vs the Red Sox and Yankees, so those teams would need 93 wins to win the division. The Red Sox are 2nd right now with 74 wins and 28 games left. For Boston to get to 93 wins they need to go 19 for 28, or 0.678 baseball (110 win pace). That's getting to be a pretty steep hill to climb, which is great.
Nearly as important imo is staying in the 1st/2nd division leader spot and getting the bye. That requires staying ahead of the Astros, where they are still up by 4.5 games. The Astros swept them earlier in the year and they have 3 left to play, so its likely the Astros will have the tie-breaker. So Houston probably only needs 92 wins, which would be 19 for 29 or a 106 win pace. Brewers/Reds up next - seems like a split should be doable...
