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Old 12-03-2025, 03:38 PM   #301
Parallex
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I still feel like we're heading to an early election. All the recall petitions, all the prospective citizen initiative petitions, MHCare Scandal still bubbling around, Guthrie trying to restart the PC's...

Smith could solve or delay a lot of problems if she rolled the dice on an early election. Walk into it with her anti-trans bill to placate her Maple MAGA set and the pipeline deal with the Feds for the Normies. Makes a lot of sense for her to go sooner before those all explode in her face and give her more time to weather any storm.

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Old 12-03-2025, 03:56 PM   #302
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I still feel like we're heading to an early election. All the recall petitions, all the prospective citizen initiative petitions, MHCare Scandal still bubbling around, Guthrie trying to restart the PC's...

Smith could solve or delay a lot of problems if she rolled the dice on an early election. Walk into it with her anti-trans bill to placate her Maple MAGA set and the pipeline deal with the Feds for the Normies. Makes a lot of sense for her to go sooner before those all explode in her face and give her more time to weather any storm.
Not to mention the new riding redistribution that takes 1 riding away from rural and gives 3 ridings to Calgary and Edmonton.

It would also give her a new mandate to say that the voters are good with all of the NWC use, grifts, and scandals that have happened under her watch and clear the way for the pension plan, police force, separation, etc.
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Old 12-03-2025, 05:28 PM   #303
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Well she better do it soon, because we can't have elections in the spring. She said so, and gave herself another 6 months of room because of it. So she'd look like a bit of a tit if she delayed it until spring.
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Old 12-03-2025, 09:28 PM   #304
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Not to mention the new riding redistribution that takes 1 riding away from rural and gives 3 ridings to Calgary and Edmonton.
While the new maps are definitely more representative and 'fair', they do not necessarily benefit the NDP or hurt UCP. The new ridings are likely to go orange, but some tight ridings got harder to flip (CGY-Bow) or keep (CGY-Acadia).

The path to victory very clear under the current system, but not necessarily easy. 12 ridings decided by <700 votes last time went 6 NDP 6 UCP. NDP needs to sweep all 12 to win (could be less if the independent(s) win again). But of course UCP could also sprinkle fairy dust on NW and East Calgary to hold those ridings...
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