Quote:
Originally Posted by ken0042
I think the difference is that most other utilities that we purchase are much more protected by government.
Gasoline is more like electricity than bread in that regard.
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I’ll give you that. So what people are getting at is the desire to regulate gasoline to a fixed, transparent and fair rate of return?
That would be very difficult or impossible to implement without Canada wide or North American / global buy in. Provincial regulation is feasible for electricity (let’s not forget though that electricity in this province is not regulated) because most of the production consumed by Albertans is made in Alberta. So the provincial government can get its arms around most of it.
That is not possible for gasoline due to the global nature and transportation ease of the product. Provincial governments have no jurisdiction over the global refining industry or outside the province. Also, the type of long term contracts which enable the implementation of regulated rates of return don’t really exist in the refined products market.
If they regulate the price of gasoline in the province to that below market, producers will just sell it elsewhere and we’ll have no gasoline to buy.
If they restrict exports and force Alberta refiners to sell at below market rates, the Suncor’s, Shell’s and Imperial’s will stop pouring sustaining capital into these money losing assets and run them into the ground. And no one will build new ones because there will be no business case. Then we’ll have no gasoline to buy.
So all that’s left is Venezuelan style provincialization of refining capacity in this province. If you want a provincial government to build, operate and maintain refining capacity then what you save on gasoline costs will more than be made up with by tax increases.
So choose one:
-current gasoline price dynamics
-no gasoline supply
-lower gasoline prices but much higher taxes
The solution to gasoline price dissatisfaction lies in only one place, and that’s in the mirror.