2016 NCAA College Football

[FireGilbert]

Hawkeyes win! They put up a stat saying it was the first time the 2, 3 and 4 ranked teams lost on the same day since 1985.

[ResAlien]

Unbelievably CU might actually have a path to make it into the playoff as a two loss team now. It's a slim chance but win out and win out big and it's a maybe.

[IceMan]

Man what a crazy Saturday.

This is why I love College Football... So unpredictable

[Cecil Terwilliger]

OSU, Louisville and Oklahoma are the big winners this week imo.

But I have to think Clemson and Michigan still have a shot if they win their conferences.

[FireGilbert]

Originally Posted by ResAlien

Unbelievably CU might actually have a path to make it into the playoff as a two loss team now. It's a slim chance but win out and win out big and it's a maybe.

Could you say the same about Washington State? It should be a great one between CU and WSU next week.

[ResAlien]

Originally Posted by FireGilbert

Could you say the same about Washington State? It should be a great one between CU and WSU next week.

I hadn't looked at their schedule, can they win the north still?

[transplant99]

Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger

OSU, Louisville and Oklahoma are the big winners this week imo.

But I have to think Clemson and Michigan still have a shot if they win their conferences.

Not so much actually.

Their one loss is to Penn State and if the Nittany Lions win out they will have the tie break over the Buckeyes (even if they beat Michigan)which would eliminate OSU from playing in the Big 10 championship game...which would automatically have them outside the top 4. Ohio St. needed Mich to win this one and then beat them in 2 weeks.

[FireGilbert]

Originally Posted by ResAlien

I hadn't looked at their schedule, can they win the north still?

The Cougars are now 1st in the North at 6-0 (7-2 overall) and currently lead Cal 28-7 at the half. Their last two games are their toughest though, at Colorado next week, then hosting Washington the week after.

It is going to take a lot of luck for a 2 loss Pac-12 team to make the playoff. I think the Huskies still have a chance if they win out though.

[transplant99]

Originally Posted by ResAlien

I hadn't looked at their schedule, can they win the north still?

Yup...but tough schedule as they travel to Colorado next week before wrapping things up against the Huskies.

[Cecil Terwilliger]

OSU will be in a playoff spot come Tuesday. That's a win for them. They needed to beat Mich regardless so that's moot.

And the PSU win out possibility was a possibility before tonight so that's also moot.

So yeah, they are happy.

[FireGilbert]

OSU was definitely cheering for Michigan, the announcers were explaining it prior to the Iowa FG attempt. OSU needed Michigan to win to set up a three way tie for the division. Now even if they win out Penn State holds the tie breaker.

That said the Big 10 has been great this year so should get 2 teams in the playoff. If OSU wins out they will be one of them.

[transplant99]

Yeah its surprising but not a whole lot changes because of yesterday...yet.

Top 4 will probably be Bama, Ohio St., Michigan, Clemson in some order. Very close behind however will be Louisville/Washington/Wisconsin/Penn St.

And the PSU win out possibility was a possibility before tonight so that's also moot.

Not if Michigan had won out it wasnt. I still dont think that even if Penn St wins the Big 10 they are an automatic bid for a spot. They got smoked by Michigan already and had what was at the time a very bad loss to Pitt....which was lessened a little bit yesterday.

No matter what though....chaos will be front and center for the next couple weeks.

[transplant99]

This sums it up nicely in the Big 10

Sharon Katz
ESPN Analytics


Ohio State was a big winner on the scoreboard Saturday, but Michigan's loss makes it harder for the Buckeyes to reach the Big Ten championship game. With the increased chance of a two-team tie with Penn State, Ohio State's chance to win the East fell from 21 percent to 11 percent after its win. Penn State (yes, Penn State) is now the favorite to win the Big Ten East, according to FPI, and the most likely Big Ten Championship game features the two-loss Nittany Lions taking on the two-loss Badgers.

[Cecil Terwilliger]

I'd keep OSU in the top 4 if they beat Michigan. B10 title be damned.

but I'm not on the committee.

[Cecil Terwilliger]

Looking at the standings I don't think chaos is as fun as we usually think.

Let's assume Bama is in as SEC champ. So are 1 of Clemson and Louisville as ACC champ.

B10 is out if it is PSU or Wisc I think. But like I said, I'd still vote Mich or OSU into the playoff.

Wash wins PAC10 and are in?

Who is 4th team? OU?

But more chaos, like Wash not winning pac10, Louisville losing to Houston then Clemson losing ACC championship and all of a sudden maybe B10 champ is in.

I don't know. I think we either need no chaos or way more to really eff things up. Just a little bit of chaos seems to just guarantee we don't see the "best" teams make it.

[transplant99]

1. Alabama
2. Ohio St.
3. Louisville
4. Michigan
5. Clemson
6. Wisconsin
7. Washington
8. Oklahoma
9. Penn State
10. West Virginia

[FireGilbert]

It would make things so much easier if they could expand again and go to an 8 team playoff.

-The five power five conference winners
-Two wild cards chosen from power five runners up
-One wild card from the group of five conferences

[GirlySports]

Originally Posted by FireGilbert

It would make things so much easier if they could expand again and go to an 8 team playoff.

-The five power five conference winners
-Two wild cards chosen from power five runners up
-One wild card from the group of five conferences

that's 3 SEC teams for sure. The SEC championship would be between two reserve teams

[ResAlien]

As unhappy as I was with his play Saturday he was still the best QB on the roster. With Wilson Speight now being out for the season with a broken collarbone Michigan's playoff chances just took a huge hit.

[Lubicon]

Originally Posted by Cecil Terwilliger

Looking at the standings I don't think chaos is as fun as we usually think.

Let's assume Bama is in as SEC champ. So are 1 of Clemson and Louisville as ACC champ.

B10 is out if it is PSU or Wisc I think. But like I said, I'd still vote Mich or OSU into the playoff.

Wash wins PAC10 and are in?

Who is 4th team? OU?

But more chaos, like Wash not winning pac10, Louisville losing to Houston then Clemson losing ACC championship and all of a sudden maybe B10 champ is in.

I don't know. I think we either need no chaos or way more to really eff things up. Just a little bit of chaos seems to just guarantee we don't see the "best" teams make it.

It's a mess which is what makes college football so great. And it will probably sort itself out by the end of the season but right now:

Alabama is the only lock and stays at #1
I can't see Clemson falling out of the top four but they may drop slightly.
Oklahoma has two losses, it could be tough for the committee to put them in as the Big 12 champion when there are one loss teams out there. The Big 12 is probably on the outside looking in right now.
Washington (I think?) is still in control of their destiny in the PAC12. If they run the table and win the league then it's hard not to see them in the top four and going to the playoffs. Regardless of what anyone thinks.
I'm not sure the SEC could make an arguement for a second team now either, everyone but Bama has at least two losses.
Wisconsin could win the Bug 10 and be a two loss team. That would be ugly for the committee as potentially you would have Michigan or Ohio State with only one loss but how do they pick a team that didn't even win their division over a conference champion.
I would say Louisville and the ACC may have the best shot at being a second team to qualify from a conference.

What a mess. It's awesome.