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Old 03-12-2013, 08:55 AM   #261
Poe969
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I think after the last 3 games our chances are -17%
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Old 03-12-2013, 08:59 AM   #262
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How many times have we seen this song and dance now? Playoffs? Ha!
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Old 03-13-2013, 04:23 PM   #263
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7.9%
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Old 03-13-2013, 04:45 PM   #264
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7.9%
If you went to a doctor, and that doctor told you there was a 7.9% chance of you beating your disease, would you assume you were going to be okay?

(I don't know what this disease would be, even ebola has a 1/10 chance of survival...)
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Old 03-13-2013, 04:49 PM   #265
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Flames end the season going 10 2 12 to just make the playoffs with 54 points, then their overtime luck turns around...
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Old 03-13-2013, 05:38 PM   #266
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7.9%

Is this for real? I knew we were bad and not going to make the playoffs, but to be under 10%, 3 weeks before the deadline?

Just an epic fail. Not sure how Feaster saves his job after this season?
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Old 03-13-2013, 05:44 PM   #267
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Is this for real? I knew we were bad and not going to make the playoffs, but to be under 10%, 3 weeks before the deadline?

Just an epic fail. Not sure how Feaster saves his job after this season?
You have a 7 percent chance of making the playoffs if you are 4 points out after 10 games.
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Old 03-13-2013, 05:48 PM   #268
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Need to go 15-7-2 to have a decent shot at the playoffs (according to www.sportsclubstats.com). So, its... possible.
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Old 03-13-2013, 05:53 PM   #269
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Need to go 15-7-2 to have a decent shot at the playoffs (according to www.sportsclubstats.com). So, its... possible.
Even with how optimistic I try to be, I simply cannot see this version of the Flames pulling a record like that with who we face. Hell we could face the blue jackets 20 times in the back half of the season and I still wouldn't feel confident.
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Old 03-13-2013, 05:57 PM   #270
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Old 03-14-2013, 10:37 AM   #271
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14.5%
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Old 03-14-2013, 01:15 PM   #272
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Amazing to see Philly in an even worse situation than us at 6.9% after last night's loss. Not many people expected that one.
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Old 03-14-2013, 01:34 PM   #273
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Remaining record of 13-7-3 gives us approximately a 75% chance at simply making the playoffs and a 10% chance at leading our division.

15-5-3 gives us a 100% chance at the playoffs and a 51% chance at the division.
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Old 03-14-2013, 01:35 PM   #274
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Canadian team chances:
MTL 99.9
OTT 88.2
TOR 85.5
VAN 84.4
WPG 48.7
CGY 14.5
EDM 13.4

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Old 03-14-2013, 01:38 PM   #275
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I think TOR is going to collapse, but the East is weak at the bottom.
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Old 03-14-2013, 01:52 PM   #276
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What sounds better to fans....

We're only 6pts out of playoffs....or

We have a 14.5% chance of playoffs.

Which one we will hear from mgmt over the next 3 weeks....wanna guess!!!
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Old 03-14-2013, 02:25 PM   #277
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What sounds better to fans....

We're only 6pts out of playoffs....or

We have a 14.5% chance of playoffs.

Which one we will hear from mgmt over the next 3 weeks....wanna guess!!!
I hear what you're saying, but in fairness, one is a fact (actually a mis-quoted fact as they are 4 points out) and the other is a made up set of parameters that tabulates expected results of all future games and spits out a number that is only marginally more useful or accurate than a random draw. Fun for discussion but that's about it.
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Old 03-14-2013, 02:33 PM   #278
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Quote:
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What sounds better to fans....

We're only 6pts out of playoffs....or

We have a 14.5% chance of playoffs.

Which one we will hear from mgmt over the next 3 weeks....wanna guess!!!
Only 6 points out of 3rd in the West and a faltering Canucks team.

Ironically, the year before the NHL abolishes the divisions - the structure provides for a bit more optimism in our situation.
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Old 03-14-2013, 02:46 PM   #279
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Only 6 points out of 3rd in the West and a faltering Canucks team.

Ironically, the year before the NHL abolishes the divisions - the structure provides for a bit more optimism in our situation.
The Canucks have a 4 game homestand coming up, I suspect that this talk about first will be put to bed by the end of that homestand.
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Old 03-14-2013, 02:56 PM   #280
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Maybe someone should re-ignite the "When do the Flames pass the Canucks in the standings?" thread:

http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showthread.php?t=86578
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