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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
Biden 6 66.67%
Trump 3 33.33%
Kanye/other/Independent 0 0%
Would not vote 0 0%
Voters: 9. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-04-2020, 09:34 PM   #2661
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Finally a Georgia update. Trump's lead is down to 28,521. I didn't see exactly how many votes were in this tranche but it looks like about 4k for Biden, which means he won these by a very large margin.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:35 PM   #2662
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1324208012265967617
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:36 PM   #2663
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GA counties with votes remaining:

Spoiler!
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:37 PM   #2664
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So that lines up with what I just posted (from AP), but obviously the AP numbers are only reflecting a small chunk of that.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:37 PM   #2665
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague View Post
Finally a Georgia update. Trump's lead is down to 28,521. I didn't see exactly how many votes were in this tranche but it looks like about 4k for Biden, which means he won these by a very large margin.

Looks like it was 4,575 (77.2%) for Biden and 1,348 (22.8%) for Trump.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:39 PM   #2666
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Chuck Todd - who appears to be feeling some Monster energy drink withdrawal - says we should have further information about AZ tonight, and it may be enough to give us a picture of what's going to happen with that state.



He also thinks Biden should net another 100k votes out of Philly, which would significantly close the gap in Pennsylvania (leaving Penguins fans to tie the score or give it to Biden in OT).
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:39 PM   #2667
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Gap looks to be 28,521 now.

70k range remaining.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:40 PM   #2668
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I'm certainly not as confident as the Nates about PA, I really hope they're right.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:41 PM   #2669
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Quote:
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GA counties with votes remaining:

Spoiler!
Don't forget its also mostly all mail...even in Trump counties dems are leading in mail votes
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:41 PM   #2670
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Quote:
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Would this not put the gap at around 15,000 votes?
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:41 PM   #2671
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CNN is going hard in their claim of "90k or possibly more" votes remaining for GA and Biden scoring in the vicinity of 70% of votes there... with currently a ~32k vote gap. Simple math based on these numbers suggests Biden wins GA but there's a couple unknowns still.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:42 PM   #2672
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I have a sneaking sense it will be Biden calling for a recount in Georgia when all is said and done.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:42 PM   #2673
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Quote:
Originally Posted by djsFlames View Post
Gap looks to be 28,521 now.

70k range remaining.
So needs 42,000 of those, like 60%
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:42 PM   #2674
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KootenayFlamesFan View Post
I'm certainly not as confident as the Nates about PA, I really hope they're right.
Biden needs 60% or so of remaining...its all mail and nearly all urban voting places he is 70+ so far
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:43 PM   #2675
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Yup.

Mail-in/absentee = favors dems regardless of region.

It's all a matter of if there is enough runway there to bridge the gap entirely.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:43 PM   #2676
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Biden needs 60% or so of remaining...its all mail and nearly all urban voting places he is 70+ so far
Does Georgia finish tonight?
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:44 PM   #2677
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Does Georgia finish tonight?
I was talking about PA...but who knows lol
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:45 PM   #2678
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Quote:
Originally Posted by djsFlames View Post
GA counties with votes remaining:

Spoiler!
Alright I did some quick math. This would mean that there are about 7500 votes outstanding in the Trump-dominated counties combined, and...

~17,000 votes outstanding in Clayton;
~11,000 votes outstanding in Bibb;
~1800 votes outstanding in Sumter;
~14000 votes outstandingin Richmond; and
~16,000 votes outstanding in Chatham.

Obviously the Biden margin varies significantly in those counties but they all would narrow the lead and might be just enough to get it to Biden's side (though as noted earlier it's in recount territory either way).

Fingers crossed, knock on wood, etc etc.
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:45 PM   #2679
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Georgia is going to be REALLY close.

I am starting to agree with the Nates, have been tracking PA for a while and if Biden can continue at anything close to the pace he has been on for the last couple hours, he will win by 100,000 to 150,000 votes.

I'll believe it when I see it, but that is the current trend
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Old 11-04-2020, 09:46 PM   #2680
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https://twitter.com/user/status/1324090554720919554
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