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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
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Biden
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6 |
66.67% |
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Trump
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3 |
33.33% |
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Kanye/other/Independent
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0 |
0% |
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Would not vote
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0% |
11-04-2020, 08:39 PM
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#2601
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGG
Have you looked at previous elections of how turnout projections changed over time to see if this is normal? Not sure if data would be available though
How do they determine the projected turnout with mail in ballots. I know they had to arrive by end of Election Day but would they be in the turnout number if they hadn’t been opened and processed?
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Been party to a dozen elections in Arizona. Ballots are processed as they come in. Arizona is a state where you can check to see when your ballot is registered and counted and they turn things around quickly. They would be added at the precinct where they are dropped off and then counted at the same time. So to have some stuff coming in right now is a little "different." The optics are strange to say the least, especially given how elections run in Arizona.
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11-04-2020, 08:41 PM
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#2602
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Now world wide!
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Chris Christie on ABC just commented that he's hearing from Republican operatives that their focus now is on "changing the conversation" in Arizona, which they see as key to Trump winning. The Governor, Ducey, is apparently part of that effort.
I have no respect for Christie whatsoever, but have no doubt he still has good sources and an understanding of how the Republicans operate.
Arizona is very possibly where the outright cheating by Republicans is set to begin.
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11-04-2020, 08:42 PM
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#2603
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Not a casual user
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: A simple man leading a complicated life....
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__________________
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11-04-2020, 08:42 PM
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#2604
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by djsFlames
Where are you getting this? He looks to be right on track still.
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Sure, if every ballot is from Fulton County, which they are very unlikely not to be. Looking at the sample from across the state and what is supposedly missing it doesn't look like he's going to have enough votes there to catch up.
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11-04-2020, 08:42 PM
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#2605
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Vancouver
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If Biden win Georgia by less than 1.2%, Jo Jorgensen is going to look like a big time spoiler.
__________________
"A pessimist thinks things can't get any worse. An optimist knows they can."
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11-04-2020, 08:43 PM
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#2606
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Commie Referee
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Small town, B.C.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CroFlames
I kinda have the opposite feeling. I thought Trump was going to walk away with GA and PA, but I'm feeling pretty optimistic both get called for Biden. GA might get called tonight.
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I appreciate your optimism, hopefully we get some good news tonight. Or maybe I need to pour a rum and calm the nerves a bit.
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11-04-2020, 08:43 PM
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#2607
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sureLoss
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They're just following Prezzie's orders.
Yes, please. Stop counting in AZ right now.
Might as well stop in Nevada too. Right Donny?
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11-04-2020, 08:43 PM
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#2608
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Franchise Player
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PA lead now down to 170,040, per AP.
... Please?
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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11-04-2020, 08:44 PM
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#2609
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NOT breaking news
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Calgary
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this is like watching a test match run chase.
__________________
Watching the Oilers defend is like watching fire engines frantically rushing to the wrong fire
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11-04-2020, 08:44 PM
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#2610
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Edmonton,AB
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dion
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Barf
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11-04-2020, 08:44 PM
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#2611
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: YSJ (1979-2002) -> YYC (2002-2022) -> YVR (2022-present)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague
PA lead now down to 170,040, per AP.
... Please?
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How does that track against the pace Biden needs to be on?
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11-04-2020, 08:46 PM
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#2612
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Pent-up
Join Date: Mar 2018
Location: Plutanamo Bay.
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Edit: nm. At best it was a jinx.
Last edited by Scroopy Noopers; 11-04-2020 at 08:59 PM.
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11-04-2020, 08:47 PM
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#2613
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First Line Centre
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Getting more and more concerned about Arizona. Hopefully this isn’t the case but CNN has been hesitant all day about making the call. Got to believe it’s definitely still in play for Trump.
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11-04-2020, 08:48 PM
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#2614
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
How does that track against the pace Biden needs to be on?
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I honestly don't know. It seems to be shrinking at a rate that would bode well but I have no idea if it'll keep up that way, given the concerns I posted earlier. For example, Trump's lead in Georgia is still shrinking, but the shrinking has slowed a lot in the last 2 hours and it now looks to me like it's just not going to end up getting back to even. So the question is if something similar happens in PA.
I'm pretty worried. If PA doesn't go Biden's way, the Nates should have to close their twitter accounts and resign from their jobs, because that would be an egregious miss.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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11-04-2020, 08:48 PM
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#2615
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Now world wide!
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Meanwhile, a riot is declared in Portland...
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11-04-2020, 08:49 PM
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#2616
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Locked in the Trunk of a Car
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
How does that track against the pace Biden needs to be on?
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Apparently there is around 750,000 ballots still to be counted. It looking good for Joe. Imo.
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11-04-2020, 08:49 PM
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#2617
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: YSJ (1979-2002) -> YYC (2002-2022) -> YVR (2022-present)
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So all the polling pundits I'm following are saying PA is looking very good for Biden (estimated 200k margin of victory when all is said and done), but people in this thread are saying it may not be so hot. Who do I believe?
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11-04-2020, 08:49 PM
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#2618
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Franchise Player
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Just me or Arizona, Georgia and Penn have all been basically paused for a while it feels like? Count seems to have almost stopped.
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11-04-2020, 08:50 PM
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#2619
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Franchise Player
Join Date: May 2004
Location: YSJ (1979-2002) -> YYC (2002-2022) -> YVR (2022-present)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by csnarpy
Apparently there is around 750,000 ballots still to be counted. It looking good for Joe. Imo.
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Thanks, this is what I was hoping to hear.
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11-04-2020, 08:51 PM
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#2620
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarchHare
So all the polling pundits I'm following are saying PA is looking very good for Biden (estimated 200k margin of victory when all is said and done), but people in this thread are saying it may not be so hot. Who do I believe?
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IMO, believe them, but don't get emotionally invested. They're experts, we're not, but the experts have been wrong kind of a lot on this stuff so... I am playing the role of a grain of salt.
__________________
"The great promise of the Internet was that more information would automatically yield better decisions. The great disappointment is that more information actually yields more possibilities to confirm what you already believed anyway." - Brian Eno
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