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View Poll Results: Who would you vote for?
Biden 6 66.67%
Trump 3 33.33%
Kanye/other/Independent 0 0%
Would not vote 0 0%
Voters: 9. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 11-04-2020, 08:18 PM   #2581
Senator Clay Davis
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Lol since we're all about the degenerate gambling takes, there's a backdoor 269-269 tie possible, with Biden winning Georgia, but losing the rest.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:19 PM   #2582
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Rumblings just now that for the first time Biden is projected to win Georgia.

If he does AZ can flip back to Trump with no issue.
From where?
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:24 PM   #2583
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Yeah I'm having a hard time believing that is a real email. Photoshop is pretty easy
Worked to confirm:
https://thehill.com/homenews/adminis...f-pricey-legal
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:24 PM   #2584
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Ugh:

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324161312323067906
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:24 PM   #2585
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New PA votes released. Trump lead is down to 186,760, per AP.
Now 184,402. Not as big a drop, but I don't know how many total votes were reported.

Also, some bad news from GA - Trump lead actually increases to 31,748. EDIT: Nevermind, that actually is a drop, I just miscalculated. Same as PA though, not as big of a narrowing of the lead as previous ballot drops.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:26 PM   #2586
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Republicans have a history of mail in voting in Arizona and are well orgianized doing it. Party registration of the Election Day mail ins favours republicans and the first dump that came in was Trump +18
Arizona has a history of mail-in voting, period. No party advantage as ballots are normally mailed out. You have to actually take action not to get a mail-in ballot at time of registration and they ask you each cycle if you don't want a ballot.

I think there are some shenanigans involved as the numbers don't stack up. I think this is happening as I've been following the site all day. Supposedly 100% of precincts had reported and nothing new was expected. The vote was locked in 2.8M and nothing had moved. You have to appreciate that Arizona pre-counts and scans on the fly. But in the past hour they have managed to add 76K votes and increase voter turnout from 65.4 to 67.19. Again, that was with 100% precincts reporting. This is seeming a little sketchy, especially on the heels of Governor Ducey's and Representative Gozer's comments. Something does not smell right in the state of Arizona.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:26 PM   #2587
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These people don't understand that if Arizona stops counting votes, Biden wins the state at the current count. LOL.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324187296984231936
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:26 PM   #2588
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Am I the only one that has a sense of dread creeping in slowly tonight?

This ain't even close to being over.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:29 PM   #2589
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Am I the only one that has a sense of dread creeping in slowly tonight?

This ain't even close to being over.
You're not alone. The bull#### is just beginning.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:30 PM   #2590
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~90k votes left in Georgia

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324191934777352193
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:32 PM   #2591
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So he has to win about 65% of them.

This definitely looks like recount territory. But I think Trump barely hangs on.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:32 PM   #2592
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So Biden needs just over 61,000 of them.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:32 PM   #2593
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Arizona has a history of mail-in voting, period. No party advantage as ballots are normally mailed out. You have to actually take action not to get a mail-in ballot at time of registration and they ask you each cycle if you don't want a ballot.

I think there are some shenanigans involved as the numbers don't stack up. I think this is happening as I've been following the site all day. Supposedly 100% of precincts had reported and nothing new was expected. The vote was locked in 2.8M and nothing had moved. You have to appreciate that Arizona pre-counts and scans on the fly. But in the past hour they have managed to add 76K votes and increase voter turnout from 65.4 to 67.19. Again, that was with 100% precincts reporting. This is seeming a little sketchy, especially on the heels of Governor Ducey's and Representative Gozer's comments. Something does not smell right in the state of Arizona.
Have you looked at previous elections of how turnout projections changed over time to see if this is normal? Not sure if data would be available though

How do they determine the projected turnout with mail in ballots. I know they had to arrive by end of Election Day but would they be in the turnout number if they hadn’t been opened and processed?
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:33 PM   #2594
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Biden coming up just short in GA. Looks to be the same in PA. NC still a mess and a week away from resuming counting. Down to Arizona and Nevada. Don't trust either state to do things on the up-and-up. It's really going to suck if this goes sideways.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:35 PM   #2595
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Shouldn’t that be Poles?
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:36 PM   #2596
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From where?
Sorry I lost the tweet when I refreshed my search, a lot of results for Georgia in last handful of minutes, but it was from a media member's confirmed account.

There are some breaking down how it looks to be transpiring that way though

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324187070198353920

https://twitter.com/user/status/1324192968857673728
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:37 PM   #2597
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Am I the only one who thinks Trump is not in a bad spot right now? PA, GA is looking better for him, and would it shock anyone if Az, NV turns? What am I missing because CNN seems to be acting as this all but done for Biden.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:37 PM   #2598
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Biden coming up just short in GA. Looks to be the same in PA. NC still a mess and a week away from resuming counting. Down to Arizona and Nevada. Don't trust either state to do things on the up-and-up. It's really going to suck if this goes sideways.
Where are you getting this? He looks to be right on track still.
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Old 11-04-2020, 08:38 PM   #2599
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Yea, I'm not feeling nearly as confident as I was earlier when Wisconsin and Michigan went blue. Feels like this thing could easily slip away from Biden.

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Old 11-04-2020, 08:38 PM   #2600
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Am I the only one that has a sense of dread creeping in slowly tonight?

This ain't even close to being over.

I kinda have the opposite feeling. I thought Trump was going to walk away with GA and PA, but I'm feeling pretty optimistic both get called for Biden. GA might get called tonight.
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