This morning, the City released the total breakdown of votes for each voting station in the city:
http://www.calgary.ca/docgallery/bu/...ng_station.pdf
This clarifies the voting distribution even more than the ward-by-ward numbers we've already seen. DJ Kelly has taken the numbers and mapped the top 3 mayoral candidate's numbers:
http://djkelly.ca/2010/10/fun-with-m...te-vote-share/
McIver was basically strong south of Glenmore and a little bit east of Deerfoot. Higgins strength was east of Deerfoot north of Glenmore. Nenshi destroyed the others in the core, and was also strong in the NW and far NE (while being strong enough city-wide to win all but three wards).
The Herald has a breakdown of how the voting for both Alderman and Mayor went in each ward and what it took for each Alderman to win:
http://communities.canada.com/calgar...r/default.aspx
As suspected, Farrel won Ward 7 because she is strong in the inner city neighbourhoods, but not so much further out.
I live in Ward 9, so I found its numbers interesting. It's probably the best example of the Deerfoot/Glenmore split in the city. The polls that are north of Glenmore and West of Deerfoot went heavily toward Nenshi and Carra; the polls east of Deerfoot and/or south of Glenmore were dominated by McIver and Pal. Almost every poll in the ward was a landslide one way or the other, but in the end was only slightly tilted towards Nenshi and Carra.
It will be interesting to see if they redraw the wards in an effort to better groups similar neighbourhoods together.
The numbers also show the voting in the advanced polls. It's interesting that Higgins was pretty strong in the advanced voting.
I wonder if it's an indication that her interview on City actually swayed public opinion against her that strongly?
The split in the advanced numbers (Ward 0) were Higgins - 33%; McIver - 32%; Nenshi - 27%. The final totals were Higgins - 26%; McIver - 32%; Nenshi - 40%. Based on that, and assuming that the advanced voters were a general cross-section of the electorate, it looks like McIver's support was solid and fixed and Nenshi picked up not only the support that Barb lost, but basically all the drop out candidates' support as well.