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Old 04-09-2015, 11:18 PM   #2121
dino7c
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce View Post
Oh, and btw... 96 points would do it, as expected.
its funny with all the crazyness in the OOT the needed point total is what many of us said
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Old 04-09-2015, 11:19 PM   #2122
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where is that stupid corsi BS chart that favored the kings when they were behind us in the standings and tie breaker?
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Old 04-09-2015, 11:19 PM   #2123
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IN

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western.html

I said LA would get 94 points. People laughed. troutman knows.
HAHAHAHA


I have no clue but I'm acutally in a laughing fit at the site of LA's graph and the sudden plumit...
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Old 04-09-2015, 11:29 PM   #2124
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Standings (April 9, 2015):

1. X-Minnesota (46-27-8) 42 ROW, 100 pts **WC1**
2. X-Vancouver (47-29-5) 41 ROW, 99 pts **P2**
3. X-Calgary (45-29-7) 41 ROW, 97 pts **P3**
4. X-Winnipeg (42-26-13) 35 ROW, 97 pts **WC2**
-------------------------------------------
5. Los Angeles (39-27-15) 37 ROW, 93 pts. OUT


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Old 04-09-2015, 11:55 PM   #2125
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Credit where it's due, Jets4Life. You took some slack when you created this thread and here we are after one hell of a race.
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Old 04-10-2015, 12:55 AM   #2126
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Hey Polak, 96 is more than enough!
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Old 04-10-2015, 01:06 AM   #2127
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After Thursday's games:


Chicago (48-27-6) 39 ROW, 102 pts--third in the Central Divsion MADE PLAYOFFS

1. Minnesota (46-27-8) 42 ROW, 100 pts--fourth in the Central Division MADE PLAYOFFS

Vancouver (47-29-5) 41 ROW, 99 pts--second in the Pacific Division MADE PLAYOFFS
Calgary (45-29-7) 41 ROW, 97 pts--third in the Pacific Division MADE PLAYOFFS

2. Winnipeg (42-26-13) 35 ROW, 97 pts--fifth in the Central Division MADE PLAYOFFS

3. Los Angeles (39-27-15) 37 ROW, 93 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division ELIMINATED


Flames, Wild, and Canucks won in regulation
Kings and Blackhawks lost in regulation
Jets lost in the shootout
______________________________________


Eastern conference playoff race

Washington (45-25-11) 40 ROW, 101 pts--second in the Met Division CLINCHED DIVISIONAL SPOT

Islanders (46-28-6) 39 ROW, 98 pts--third in the Met Divison MADE PLAYOFFS
Detroit (42-25-14) 38 ROW, 98 pts--third in the Atlantic Division MADE PLAYOFFS

1. Pittsburgh (42-26-12) 38 ROW, 96 pts--and fourth in the Met Division
2. Ottawa (42-26-13) 36 ROW, 97 pts--and fourth in the Atlantic Division

3. Boston (41-27-13) 37 ROW, 95 pts--fifth in the Atlantic Division

Senators won in regulation
Bruins lost in regulation
Red Wings lost in overtime
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Old 04-10-2015, 06:26 AM   #2128
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Breaking News
A new way to predict the playoffs?
Unless you are Aaron Ward, it previously was difficult to predict who might make the NHL playoffs. Well, not any more. An advanced analytic, goal differential, is apparently incredibly predictive. This new model is not likely to gain any acceptance because:
1. It is not named after anyone
2. Everyone knows that simply throwing pucks at the net is a far better predictor than actually putting those pucks in the net.

More as this story continues to break.

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Old 04-10-2015, 06:39 AM   #2129
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Wild card spots are for chumps.
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Old 04-10-2015, 08:29 AM   #2130
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce View Post
Breaking News
A new way to predict the playoffs?
Unless you are Aaron Ward, it previously was difficult to predict who might make the NHL playoffs. Well, not any more. An advanced analytic, goal differential, is apparently incredibly predictive. This new model is not likely to gain any acceptance because:
1. It is not named after anyone
2. Everyone knows that simply throwing pucks at the net is a far better predictor than actually putting those pucks in the net.

More as this story continues to break.

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Old 04-10-2015, 01:20 PM   #2131
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Sort of funny that should the Sharks win on Saturday, this year will go down as it only requiring 94/93 points to make the playoffs in the West all of a sudden...
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Old 04-10-2015, 01:33 PM   #2132
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I know, I Know a total what if:

However, if the flames had gone through the 8 game losing streak at their 74game average (82-8) they would have had 107 points, even if we assume a loss coming up.

Flames have 97 points in 82 games (assuming gloss to Peg) - Omitting the 8 game losing streak, that's 97 points in 74 or 97/148 points or .655.

.655*82*2= 107
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Old 04-10-2015, 01:44 PM   #2133
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EldrickOnIce View Post
Breaking News
A new way to predict the playoffs?
Unless you are Aaron Ward, it previously was difficult to predict who might make the NHL playoffs. Well, not any more. An advanced analytic, goal differential, is apparently incredibly predictive.
Sigh...

The Flames' goal differential last year was -32. Had you used goal differential to predict the playoffs this season, you would have been totally wrong.
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Old 04-10-2015, 01:55 PM   #2134
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague View Post
Sigh...

The Flames' goal differential last year was -32. Had you used goal differential to predict the playoffs this season, you would have been totally wrong.
Green text?
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Old 04-10-2015, 04:08 PM   #2135
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Won't miss this thread either.
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Old 04-10-2015, 04:55 PM   #2136
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Sigh...

The Flames' goal differential last year was -32. Had you used goal differential to predict the playoffs this season, you would have been totally wrong.
The Flames had a substantially different roster last year. Had you used any team's stats to predict the performance of a different set of players, you could count on being wrong there too.

Now try looking at *this* season's goal differential – say, at the 60-game mark, when you were confidently predicting (based on Fenwick and Corsi) that the Flames would fall apart and miss the playoffs. Then extrapolate over the remaining games of the season, compare with the actual results, and tell me what you find.
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Old 04-10-2015, 11:59 PM   #2137
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After Friday's games:


Chicago (48-27-6) 39 ROW, 102 pts--third in the Central Divsion MADE PLAYOFFS
1. Minnesota (46-27-8) 42 ROW, 100 pts--fourth in the Central Division MADE PLAYOFFS

Vancouver (47-29-5) 41 ROW, 99 pts--second in the Pacific Division CLINCHED DIVISIONAL SPOT
Calgary (45-29-7) 41 ROW, 97 pts--third in the Pacific Division CLINCHED DIVISIONAL SPOT

2. Winnipeg (42-26-13) 35 ROW, 97 pts--fifth in the Central Division MADE PLAYOFFS

3. Los Angeles (39-27-15) 37 ROW, 93 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division ELIMINATED


None of the above teams played

______________________________________


Eastern conference playoff race


Islanders (47-28-6) 40 ROW, 100 pts--third in the Met Divison CLINCHED DIVISIONAL SPOT

Detroit (42-25-14) 38 ROW, 98 pts--third in the Atlantic Division MADE PLAYOFFS

1. Ottawa (42-26-13) 36 ROW, 97 pts--and fourth in the Atlantic Division
2. Pittsburgh (42-27-12) 38 ROW, 96 pts--and fourth in the Met Division

3. Boston (41-27-13) 37 ROW, 95 pts--fifth in the Atlantic Division

Islanders won in regulation
Penguins lost in regulation
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Old 04-12-2015, 06:46 AM   #2138
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After Saturday's games:
final standings


Chicago (48-28-6) 39 ROW, 102 pts--third in the Central Divsion

Vancouver (48-29-5) 42 ROW, 101 pts--second in the Pacific Division

Minnesota (46-28-8) 42 ROW, 100 pts--#1 Wild Card and fourth in the Central Division

Winnipeg (43-26-13) 36 ROW, 99 pts--#2 Wild Card and fifth in the Central Division

Calgary (45-30-7) 41 ROW, 97 pts--third in the Pacific Division

Los Angeles (40-27-15) 38 ROW, 95 pts--fourth in the Pacific Division ELIMINATED


Jets and Kings won in regulation
Flames, Wild, and Blackhawks lost in regulation
Canucks won in overtime

______________________________________


Eastern conference playoff race

Capitals (45-26-11) 40 ROW, 101 pts--second in the Met Divison

Islanders (47-28-7) 40 ROW, 101 pts--third in the Met Divison

Detroit (43-25-14) 39 ROW, 100 pts--third in the Atlantic Division

Ottawa (43-26-13) 37 ROW, 99 pts--#1 Wild Card and fourth in the Atlantic Division

Pittsburgh (43-27-12) 39 ROW, 98 pts--#2 Wild Card and fourth in the Met Division


Boston (41-28-13) 37 ROW, 95 pts--fifth in the Atlantic Division ELIMINATED


Red Wings, Senators, and Peguins won in regulation
Capitals and Bruins lost in regulation
Islanders lost in the shootout
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Old 04-12-2015, 06:48 AM   #2139
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Thanks to Jets4life for starting this thread back in January and to everyone posting in here. It was so much fun reading over 2000 posts!
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Old 04-12-2015, 01:36 PM   #2140
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I will second that on Jets4life, great thread! It is interesting to see which teams were behind and pulled ahead (the Wild) and vice-versa.
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