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Originally Posted by GreenLantern2814
I guess that makes up for Niklas Backstrom costing us Patrik ####ing Laine.
I'm not bitter about that. Not at all.
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How did Backstrom cost us Laine? Winnipeg finished ahead of the Flames. Winning the last game of the season gave the Flames the best chance to get Laine (assuming the same lottery results) but the Kings blew their last game and Winnipeg won in the shootout to move one point ahead of the Flames.
If the Flames had lost their final game of the season, they would have finished below Columbus. If the lottery would have played out the same, it would have given the Flames the third overall pick, where they would have likely chosen Matthew Tkachuk.
At most, you could say that Backstrom cost the Flames the chance to draft Matthew Tkachuk 3rd overall.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Owen15
I get that we are all happy the East has dominated the lottery and will get the first crack at the top talent but I’m a little surprised there’s not more uproar over how it worked out. I’ll speculate that if the opposite worked out and the west took down the top four there’d be some cocked eyebrows in the media and eastern teams. Of course there is the whole E=NG thing and the rewarding bad performance over the last decade.
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I'm not sure what you're saying here. 4 of the bottom 5 teams in the league this year were in the Eastern Conference. Two of those 4 teams won 2 of the lottery picks. That's not surprising at all.
Because of the odds distribution, the Eastern Conference teams had a combined 67.5% chance of winning (if you count the Flames' pick as the Islanders' -- 65% if you don't).
Just going by the odds, the expectation would have been for 2 of the 3 spots to go to the East. 3 out of 3 going East isn't outrageous.
In fact, if you look at each draw separately, the East had more than a 50% chance of winning each one. The way the lottery is done, there are 1000 possible winning combinations which are assigned to each of the 15 teams in a weighted structure.
On the first draw, 675 of those combinations would have yielded an Eastern Conference winner and 325 for the West.
After Buffalo won the first draw, their 185 combinations would have no longer been in play, reducing the East's numbers to 490, while the West would have still had 325. That's still a 60.1% chance for the East.
After Carolina won the second draw, their 30 combinations would have been out of play, reducing the East's count to 460, with the West remaining at 325. That gave the East a 58.6% chance of winning the third draw too.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Locke
Are you insinuating that for the first time in recorded history the Flames actually acquired the more talented brother?
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You're forgetting Joe Mullen and Miikka Kiprusoff.