Survivor 29: San Juan del Sur - Blood vs Water - Pool and Discussion

[GreenLantern]

I don't think Missy is dumb enough to sit next to Natalie in the final three, but Baylor definitely is.

I would love to see a final 4 where either Keith or Jaclyn whoever is left wins immunity and Missy and Baylor are forced to vote out Natalie.

I would be happy to see the dark horse Keith win at this point, he's pulled through against all odds, he hasn't made the biggest moves strategically but very rarely has he been in a place of power. He's also been a huge immunity threat and is well liked by the jury.

Natalie doesn't really annoy me, I just find her very smug and arrogant. But I know deep down that if she wins, she deserves it. I don't understand how everyone else is skin and bones and she is still storing the winter coat.

[jroc]

Here's a thought... If you were Missy and Baylor, would you both want to go to the final 3? Wouldn't it be more strategic to send one to the jury for the guaranteed vote, while also leaving no chance for any jury members to mistakenly split votes between Missy and Baylor, decreasing the odds of winning. You could also plant seeds in the minds of the jurors while you're away in the jury house.

[killer_carlson]

Is Keith well liked by the Jury? Or are they assuming that he didn't play or that he played poorly due to his error at tribal the day Jon played the idol?

[Yanda]

Who still has idols? its hard to keep track this season.

[mile]

I believe Natalie has one, that she found with Baylor. Final five is the last time it can be played.

The idols are way too easy to find nowadays, and there are way too many of them.

[Parallex]

Originally Posted by GreenLantern

I don't think Missy is dumb enough to sit next to Natalie in the final three, but Baylor definitely is.

I was listening to an interview with Jon and he said that the plan he, Jaclyn, Missy, and Baylor had after Jeremy left was for Baylor and Jaclyn to fall on their swords when it got down to the 5 leaving himself, Missy, and Natalie in the F3 (because it was felt that Jon and Missy would be more well received by the Jury then Jaclyn and Baylor).

So unless Missy was lying at the time they made that plan she is indeed dumb enough to sit next to Natalie in the final three. Although to be candid I don't know if it is dumb anymore... I honestly have no idea who is going to win this thing anymore considering how against type the season has gone thus far.

[mile]

Originally Posted by Parallex

I was listening to an interview with Jon and he said that the plan he, Jaclyn, Missy, and Baylor had after Jeremy left was for Baylor and Jaclyn to fall on their swords when it got down to the 5 leaving himself, Missy, and Natalie in the F3 (because it was felt that Jon and Missy would be more well received by the Jury then Jaclyn and Baylor).

So unless Missy was lying at the time they made that plan she is indeed dumb enough to sit next to Natalie in the final three. Although to be candid I don't know if it is dumb anymore... I honestly have no idea who is going to win this thing anymore considering how against type the season has gone thus far.

Just listened to that interview. That makes more sense as to why Missy was so resistant to turning against Jon, and why Baylor was willing to vote Jon out. She didn't want to go out like that. I don't know what to think of anything anymore. The finale is going to be one huge entertaining cluster#### .

[killer_carlson]

so you have to figure Natalie is going to play her idol next immunity, which means that she's safe.

Smart move would be Keith, but I wonder if they will take out Baylor for having a part in the removal of Jon?

[KootenayFlamesFan]

I'm guessing Jacklyn is next. Then who knows after that. Just one show left!

[WhiteTiger]

Is it Natalie's idol, or Baylor's? I thought that Baylor actually found it, though both she and Natalie were looking. Or am I mis-remembering?

[killer_carlson]

I think Jaclyn is easy to bring to the jury. She'll get 1 vote. That's it.

[d_phaneuf]

Originally Posted by WhiteTiger

Is it Natalie's idol, or Baylor's? I thought that Baylor actually found it, though both she and Natalie were looking. Or am I mis-remembering?

opposite, Natalie found it

[d_phaneuf]

its a weird group of 5 left because outside Natalie who I think has done enough to say she played a strategic game, none of the other 4 really have an argument or a chance to win

I could see Keith winning if Natalie is not there by default

the only f3 where I have no clue who would win is Jaclyn/Baylor/Missy

[Bagor]

Natalie has played a very clever game and her acting after the tribal where she played the I didn't know the script game was brilliant.

But, where she might be letting herself down if the preview for next week is accurate is her inability to mask her complete dislike for Jon. She would be better suited to just say that her reasons for getting rid of him were purely on strategic/gamesmanship grounds and leave the personal stuff out of it.

Potentially throwing away two very important jury votes.

However, if on the other hand the plan is to take Jacyln to the final tribal then all of the above counts for nothing. I hope she wins it. She's played the hardest.

[WhiteTiger]

Originally Posted by Bagor

Natalie has played a very clever game and her acting after the tribal where she played the I didn't know the script game was brilliant.

But, where she might be letting herself down if the preview for next week is accurate is her inability to mask her complete dislike for Jon. She would be better suited to just say that her reasons for getting rid of him were purely on strategic/gamesmanship grounds and leave the personal stuff out of it.

Potentially throwing away two very important jury votes.

However, if on the other hand the plan is to take Jacyln to the final tribal then all of the above counts for nothing. I hope she wins it. She's played the hardest.

She's played an interesting game, and apparently quite a difference from what folks were expecting her to do in this game. I didn't know anything about her, as I don't watch Amazing Race, but it seems she's done pretty good. Perhaps being separated from her twin is better for her than she realized.

[mile]

I feel like Missy and Baylor are hated by the jury and whoever sits next to them in the final 3 will win.

My guess is Jaclyn will win.

[WhiteTiger]

Keith keeps impressing me, but then...he is an old fireman. It's not like he's an out of shape, inactive old guy, like everyone (in the game) seems to think.

[mile]

Keith owning that immunity challenge!

I hope he pulls off the win. That would be amazing.

The Make-a-Wish kid designing the challenge that injured Missy.

[mile]

Holy #### Natalie!

[WhiteTiger]

Wow, this is a great finale.

Can't blame them for taking Keith out. He would have (imo) been a strong contendor in the final 3. C'mon Jaclyn! You can win this!

I am not sure if Missy has a chance in the final 3, I think it's between Jacklyn and Natalie. Which'll be tough, since Jacklyn and Jon ran most of the game...but Natalie broke that up, then ran away with it.