04-04-2015, 12:28 PM
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#141
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Go to the site - it explains all that.
It does it two ways (your choice): you can make it so every game is random (coin flip); or you can run it weighted (factoring in some of the things you listed).
Personally, I like looking at both - gives me more information.
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Exactly.
For example, at 50/50 (coinflip) it has the Jets @ 60%
Weighted puts the Jets @ 47%
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04-04-2015, 12:28 PM
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#142
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by canflip_101
and hopefully sam benzo beats up rnh
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Don't do that. Ever again.
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04-04-2015, 12:29 PM
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#143
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Some kinda newsbreaker!
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Learning Phaneufs skating style
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Calgary Flames @NHLFlames
"Everyone is a game-time decision." - Bob Hartley when asked if Sam Bennett will suit up tonight. #CGYvsEDM
Calgary Flames @NHLFlames
"To possibly get the chance to play my first #NHL game, it's what I have wanted since I could remember." - Bennett
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04-04-2015, 12:35 PM
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#144
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Salmon with Arms
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
The odds are actually MORE reliable now.
Early in the season, there are too many possible scenarios for the monte carlo to run them all. What it does is run a bunch (millions) and those are 'representative' of the complete set.
Now however, there are only so many scenarios because there are only so many games. So the odds actually state exactly how many of the possible outcomes result in the Flames making the playoffs.
If it says 80%, then literally in 80% of all the possible ways the games can play out, the Flames make the playoffs.
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Not only that, but remember that team chance of winning any particular game aren't static. Look at Minnesota, their confidence and goaltending had them losing lots of games, but taking their complete win % as a predictor probably sells them short. Similarly, the way the maple Leafs and Coyotes have been playing the win % is overly optimistic.
As the season wears on its much more predictive
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04-04-2015, 12:36 PM
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#145
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Lifetime Suspension
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: victoria
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Quote:
Originally Posted by canflip_101
and hopefully sam benzo beats up rnh
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God no. Never again!
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04-04-2015, 12:39 PM
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#146
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Income Tax Central
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sureLoss
Calgary Flames @NHLFlames
"Everyone is a game-time decision." - Bob Hartley when asked if Sam Bennett will suit up tonight. #CGYvsEDM
Calgary Flames @NHLFlames
"To possibly get the chance to play my first #NHL game, it's what I have wanted since I could remember." - Bennett
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Of course they are Bob. Nice to see Hartley keeping everyone loose.
__________________
The Beatings Shall Continue Until Morale Improves!
This Post Has Been Distilled for the Eradication of Seemingly Incurable Sadness.
The World Ends when you're dead. Until then, you've got more punishment in store. - Flames Fans
If you thought this season would have a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.
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04-04-2015, 12:41 PM
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#147
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: San Fernando Valley
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Rumour has it Lowe brought a VCR into the dressing room today and played key moments of the Oilers 80's Stanley Cup runs for the players to get them pumped up for tonight's game. Saying they have worked all year for this moment. They have secured a solid draft lottery spot and their only goal remaining is to throw a wrench in the Flames playoff chances.
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04-04-2015, 12:42 PM
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#148
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Djibouti
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root
Go to the site - it explains all that.
It does it two ways (your choice): you can make it so every game is random (coin flip); or you can run it weighted (factoring in some of the things you listed).
Personally, I like looking at both - gives me more information.
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And again, running the risk of being totally annoying: Has anyone verified that the numbers they give, whether weighted or not, are reliable?
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04-04-2015, 12:42 PM
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#149
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: NC
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Rumour has it Lowe brought a VCR into the dressing room today and played key moments of the Oilers 80's Stanley Cup runs for the players to get them pumped up for tonight's game.
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"I know a little about winning, if there's ever a concern."
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04-04-2015, 12:44 PM
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#150
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Powerplay Quarterback
Join Date: Oct 2014
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Rumour has it Lowe brought a VCR into the dressing room today and played key moments of the Oilers 80's Stanley Cup runs for the players to get them pumped up for tonight's game. Saying they have worked all year for this moment. They have secured a solid draft lottery spot and their only goal remaining is to throw a wrench in the Flames playoff chances.
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I can't tell if you're joking or not but I wouldn't put it past Lowe.
__________________
NHL Flames | Golden Knights | Cal Stampeders | Panthers | Chelsea FC | AVFC | Raptors | Orlando Magic | Blue Jays | Athletics | Inferno CWHL
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04-04-2015, 12:48 PM
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#151
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by canflip_101
and hopefully sam benzo beats up rnh
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Can we for once, not try and pin a god awful dude-bro'ish nickname on a player.
It's so Oileresque.
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04-04-2015, 12:54 PM
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#153
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First Line Centre
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Rumour has it Lowe brought a VCR into the dressing room today and played key moments of the Oilers 80's Stanley Cup runs for the players to get them pumped up for tonight's game. Saying they have worked all year for this moment. They have secured a solid draft lottery spot and their only goal remaining is to throw a wrench in the Flames playoff chances.
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04-04-2015, 12:56 PM
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#154
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2014
Location: Right behind you.
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Not a tough decision - this is a critical win meaning you should ice the best team you can - means both Bennett and Wotherspoon should play over Potter and Bollig.
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04-04-2015, 12:57 PM
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#155
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Income Tax Central
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Rumour has it Lowe brought a VCR into the dressing room today and played key moments of the Oilers 80's Stanley Cup runs for the players to get them pumped up for tonight's game. Saying they have worked all year for this moment. They have secured a solid draft lottery spot and their only goal remaining is to throw a wrench in the Flames playoff chances.
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Yeah, this sounds absolutely ridiculous and yet....its Kevin Lowe....so it isnt entirely implausible....
__________________
The Beatings Shall Continue Until Morale Improves!
This Post Has Been Distilled for the Eradication of Seemingly Incurable Sadness.
The World Ends when you're dead. Until then, you've got more punishment in store. - Flames Fans
If you thought this season would have a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention.
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04-04-2015, 12:57 PM
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#156
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All I can get
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pylon
Can we for once, not try and pin a god awful dude-bro'ish nickname on a player.
It's so Oileresque.
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Johnny Hockey
Sammy Score
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04-04-2015, 12:57 PM
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#157
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Rumour has it Lowe brought a VCR into the dressing room today and played key moments of the Oilers 80's Stanley Cup runs for the players to get them pumped up for tonight's game. Saying they have worked all year for this moment. They have secured a solid draft lottery spot and their only goal remaining is to throw a wrench in the Flames playoff chances.
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"Hey, there's our GM playing without a helmet. This actually explains a lot..."
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04-04-2015, 12:58 PM
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#158
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Franchise Player
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I'm willing to bet a few posters are drunk far earlier than they should be today...  Go Flames Go!
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04-04-2015, 12:59 PM
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#159
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Erick Estrada
Rumour has it Lowe brought a VCR into the dressing room today and played key moments of the Oilers 80's Stanley Cup runs for the players to get them pumped up for tonight's game. Saying they have worked all year for this moment. They have secured a solid draft lottery spot and their only goal remaining is to throw a wrench in the Flames playoff chances.
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I picture Lowe with his face inches from the screen, excitedly pumping his fist in the air, oblivious to the fact that the dressing room is quietly going about getting ready for the game.
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04-04-2015, 01:00 PM
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#160
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In Your MCP
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Watching Hot Dog Hans
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atb
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Seriously? Obvious joke is obvious.
Edmonton never had VCR'S.
Nice try Mr Estrada.
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