Quote:
Originally Posted by Duffalufagus
I don’t think they are right now for a couple of reasons:
1. I don’t think we are going to replace the scoring we lost. Our top line was the best in the league last year and even though we brought in roughly the same amount of points, that means little when the players haven’t played with their new teammates. Same thing will happen for Gaudreau. And Tkachuk. You just don’t replace best in the league production.
2. I am worried about Markstrom. He got humiliated in the playoffs last year and tendys are a fragile breed. Hope I’m wrong here.
3. Related to #1 - like many have pointed out, we are soft on the right side. And our 4th line is bottom of the barrel. Hoping the centre depth makes up for it.
4. Career years for everyone last year likely regress to the mean. Kadri, Hubby, Lindholm. Mange, all likely regress. I think we struggle to score goals.
Still think this is a playoff team, likely wildcard, but it could take half a season for all these new key pieces to gel. I think the preseason rankings and expectations are way too optimistic. The game is played on the ice, not on paper.
Having said the foregoing, super excited about this season and the beginning of this new era.
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Good post. I like how you set out your concerns.
1. Replacing lost goals. I don't think we get them all back either. Chemistry, learning curve, and what ever else. I do think we get to within 10 points of last season though. 100 points will serve.
2. Markstrom is not just breaking in to the NHL, and will be fine- at least against most teams. I do worry that Edmonton might have got in his head some. Vladar and Wolf look promising. Such a make a team, or break a team position.
3. The right side. Yup a lot of hope that Mang or Toff can step it up. I am less worried about the 4th line. The Sutter effect always seems to work wonders on these types. In either case, I don't expect Treliving to be idle.
4. Players regressing. For sure - we are almost certain to see some regression. Probably won't win so many games by blowouts - but we'll still win them. We also should see some players have better years too. Toffoli again comes to mind.
I am super excited for this year to see how all the turnover shakes out. I have high expectations though, and a mere wildcard would be pretty underwhelming. Lots of things could go wrong, but if everything goes right - and I know it never does - this season could be legendary. GFG