Quote:
Originally Posted by White Out 403
I reconnected with an old friend and we talked about AI. He's super onboard and told me all about his use of agents and how he's basically a programming super hero now with this tool and he's doing things that he never thought possible. Later on the call after we had some space from it I asked how his business was going. "Not good".
I think there's this real, chasm like gap that exists between how "neat" Ai's can be and how useful. So many people want to believe with all their heart we are just a couple years from AGI when it seems like we're closer to LLM's becoming worse than achieving anything approaching AGI. We're already seeing the shifting of expectations and now people reframing what AGI is.
Understanding context isn't something you can program. There's a real squishy part of our meat brains that is programmed to handle this stuff.
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A few things going on here, I think. I always like the quote "people will believe with all their heart what they desperately require to be true." To a business person (speaking as a former one), the idea that AI will waltz up any day now and deliver us from drudgery is a potent drug.
I make no secret that of the AI super-fans in my life, a curiously high percentage of them are in that "I work smart, not hard" camp that seems to rarely get anything done.
Now, the few that do not fall into that camp are in a very interesting category that shall inherit the earth. They're doing some
stuff. They're just a very rare breed.
And it's true, as of today, the agents and whatnot aren't delivering what they hype-goblins are screaming about. Thing is, agent tools are what...
months old? It's a bit odd to say there's nothing here when things are that new.
My take on it is they won't be taking over tons of jobs yet, but make a few strides on a singular issue (memory comes to mind), and things get interesting/terrifying. I can't help but feel like the leap required between what we have today and scary functional is shorter than many assume.
As for the "when will it kill us all" question... if we can make it 15 years, I think we're golden. It's all utopia from there forward. Gotta not kill ourselves with it first, though.