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Old 09-11-2025, 05:14 PM   #4521
bizaro86
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They took a combined 3/6 from the Brewers/Reds which leaves them on pace for 92 wins if they can go .500 the rest of the way. Boston and New York both had to finish at a very strong pace to beat that, but they've been playing at/close to that pace for awhile now. NYY are 8-2 and Red Sox are 7-3 the last 10. Jays have the season series vs both of them so either would need 93 wins.

Yanks would need 16 wins in 23 games to get 93 (0.695 or 113 win pace), while the Sox need 15 wins in 21 games. (0.714 or 116 win pace)

It's also looking quite good against the Astros (5-5 their last 10). They likely have the tie breaker (3-0 vs the Jays with 3 to play), but they need 15 wins in 22 games to get to 92 wins.

All-in even 500 the rest of the way is going to be a good result, although if they could be even 93/94 wins instead of 92 that would give them a much better margin and also likely means they win the AL pennant.

While that doesn't make much difference in terms of the playoffs I think
1) winning the pennant is awesome
2) they've won the WS every time they've won the pennant, so the narrative would be good
3) they'd be going into the playoffs with momentum
Combined 3/6 again, this time Yankees/Astros, so still on pace for 92 wins if they go 500 the rest of the way. They have the tie-breaker against all current AL playoff teams except Houston.

The Yankees would need to go 13 out of 17 to beat them in that case, which is 0.765 or a 124 win pace. Boston would need to go 12/15 or 0.800/130 win pace. Neither seem likely to me even with the Yankees having an easy schedule, so I think 92 wins is enough for the AL east this year.

They need to stay ahead of the Astros to get the wild card bye, and 92 should be plenty for that as well. While the Astros have the tie-breaker, they also would need to win 13 of their last 15 to get 92 wins, which I think is pretty unlikely.
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Old 09-11-2025, 05:17 PM   #4522
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They showed a graphic during the game detailing the starters ERA last 11 weeks or starts. I forget which.
I dont recall all the numbers but Gausman was 2.61 and all the others were over 4. Beibers number was based on his 4 starts only.
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Old 09-11-2025, 05:28 PM   #4523
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They showed a graphic during the game detailing the starters ERA last 11 weeks or starts. I forget which.
I dont recall all the numbers but Gausman was 2.61 and all the others were over 4. Beibers number was based on his 4 starts only.
I feel really bad for Eric Lauer on that. He had the best ERA in the rotation when they decided to skip his start for Bieber, and then when he came out on double rest he had a bad game, but they left him in even when it was obvious he didn't have it because the bullpen was cooked. Now he gets bumped to the pen even though he's still got the best overall ERA among starters this year (although Gausman's is close).

I think it would have made sense to put him in the playoff rotation. Having a lefty starter means you can plan to use your righty relievers that game, and he's had the best overall results. I'd have put Bassitt and Berrios in the pen for the playoff - Bassitt as the long guy now and Berrios as a closer type role in the post season.

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Old 09-11-2025, 05:32 PM   #4524
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GM

Gausman masterclass.
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Old 09-11-2025, 05:57 PM   #4525
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Orelvis Martinez DFA’d. Seems like bad asset management honestly. A year ago he was a better prospect until the drug issue. Should have got an asset back, no?
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Old 09-11-2025, 05:58 PM   #4526
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Don't you think if they could have gotten an asset they would have?
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Old 09-11-2025, 06:26 PM   #4527
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Orelvis Martinez DFA’d. Seems like bad asset management honestly. A year ago he was a better prospect until the drug issue. Should have got an asset back, no?
Impossible to get ‘em all right. Look at all the prospects they did unload for assets and who fizzled in to nothing.

You pick who to trade and who to roll the dice on and keep. This is just gonna happen
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Old 09-11-2025, 06:33 PM   #4528
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Santander HR in his rehab start today
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Old 09-11-2025, 07:12 PM   #4529
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Well folks. Even though the Yankees have been completely embarrassed the last 2 nights. They celebrating like clowns tonight and it's only the 3rd inning. What an unlikable bunch. You have to wonder Where they'd be without Judge. And I'll never be convinced that there isn't something fishy going on with that dude...
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Old 09-11-2025, 10:53 PM   #4530
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There’s a chance Martinez doesn’t get claimed off of waivers and they end up outrighting him to the minors. There’s a possibility that his time isn’t up yet. I do think a team will see him as a reclamation project but he’s a guy who doesn’t play defense well and strikes out a ton in triple A. Not a super exciting prospect at this point.
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Old 09-11-2025, 11:03 PM   #4531
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I had honestly forgot about him
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Old 09-11-2025, 11:22 PM   #4532
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I had honestly forgot about him
The PED suspension took almost all the sheen of his stone
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Old 09-11-2025, 11:31 PM   #4533
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Martinez is a pretty strong example of how baseball prospects, as assets, can depreciate the closer that they get to the majors… especially if things go awry with the timing of adding them to the 40 man. A shiny prospect in single or double A can turn into a tarnished one.

Teams that are in a contending window shouldn’t be afraid to take the risk by selling these assets to get real major league contributors when the opportunity arises. If the prospect becomes a beast, it kind of sucks but they often end up busting or turning into borderline contributors at best.

You can have a boat or have the mystery box…

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Old 09-12-2025, 07:05 AM   #4534
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Orelvis Martinez DFA’d. Seems like bad asset management honestly. A year ago he was a better prospect until the drug issue. Should have got an asset back, no?
i agree

but
had to give away roden and wagner to go all in.

maybe no market? other gms are aware of our roster!
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Old 09-12-2025, 07:05 AM   #4535
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The PED suspension took almost all the sheen of his stone
Just saying after ped.... what were the ped's doing? performance did drop.
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Old 09-12-2025, 02:11 PM   #4536
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Bassitt vs Trevor Rogers at the Dome tonight. Os have been playing very well lately with no pressure mind you (8-2 in their last 10 games).

Could be a trap series.

Last edited by Karl; 09-12-2025 at 02:14 PM.
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Old 09-12-2025, 02:26 PM   #4537
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I want a sweep since after this series the Jays go to Replacement Trop next week. And they always suck there.
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Old 09-12-2025, 02:45 PM   #4538
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I want a sweep since after this series the Jays go to Replacement Trop next week. And they always suck there.
but they tend to suck against the Orioles as well...
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Old 09-12-2025, 02:53 PM   #4539
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Fair point
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Old 09-12-2025, 06:10 PM   #4540
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I miss Siddall
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