The Playoff Hunt. Flames Vs Wild Vs Blues

[Jiggy_12]

STL loses at the end of regulation. They only have two games left, if they only win 1 of them - flames could run the table and pass them. Tall task but it’s one more lifeline. They play Seattle and Utah

[Tron_fdc]

Im praying for a STL implosion after an improbable win streak.

[Mathgod]

Beat Minny in regulation, and take it from there. Gonna need a ton of help in the OOT, but it's not technically over.

[Jay Random]

Originally Posted by Tron_fdc

Im praying for a STL implosion after an improbable win streak.

Stranger things have happened.

[agulati]

Originally Posted by Jay Random

Stranger things have happened.

Like their win streak.


A 4 game losing streak by comparison is pretty ho-hum (I hope)

[TrentCrimmIndependent]

I'll take one loss.

Opens the door for the Flames to decide their season. And they deserve to.

[SuperMatt18]

Blues are 2-0 against Seattle and 1-2 against Utah. Blues are actually 4-6-0 against Arizona/Utah the last 3 seasons...need that to continue hopefully.

Wild are 1-1-0 against Vancouver this year and 2-0-0 against Anaheim.

The hard part will be the Flames going 4-0-0 because I don't think it's crazy to think that Wild / Blues lose 1/4 games in regulation between the two of them.

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by Mathgod

Beat Minny in regulation, and take it from there. Gonna need a ton of help in the OOT, but it's not technically over.

They need one result over 4 games, rest is up to the Flames (which will be the hard part IMO)
Should one of them choke 2 games well then, it gets crazy.

Fack, the Blues needed every single one of those 12 games

[Goriders]

Add in the Flames have to win on the road in LA and Vegas and it’s looking pretty bleak.

Parekh to the rescue?

Last night was like a kick in the nuts

[Rejean31]

Originally Posted by Goriders

Add in the Flames have to win on the road in LA and Vegas and it’s looking pretty bleak.

Parekh to the rescue?

Last night was like a kick in the nuts

The Vegas game is a home game.

[Goriders]

Originally Posted by Rejean31

The Vegas game is a home game.

My bad. Figured that out after.

[Robbob]

There are now just 2 paths to the playoffs. Both require some assistance. Primarily they need to win against the Wild on Friday to keep some options open.

[united]

The Athletic daily. The Flames blow a two-goal lead with five minutes remaining to both one of the worst and one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league. Still get a point out of it but what a blunder.

- The Flames are at 8% (-2%) to make playoffs.
- The Flames' median finish is 92 points (-), 4 points (+1) out of the playoffs assuming the Blues hold the tie-breaker.
- The Flames are most likely to pick 16th overall (-).
- The Flames are projected to finish 10 points out of the top 10 (illustrative only as cannot finish top 10 at this point).

[Mathgod]

Here's a screen capture from before last night's games.





So it really does look like the lost point cut the Flames' chances almost in half. Very costly loss. But it's not over.

[heep223]

Honestly 10% is higher than I would’ve thought. Im back on the wagon! LFG Friday

[Canada 02]

would be cool if Zeev signed and faced Zayne tomorrow night

[VANFLAMESFAN]

Originally Posted by SuperMatt18

Blues are 2-0 against Seattle and 1-2 against Utah. Blues are actually 4-6-0 against Arizona/Utah the last 3 seasons...need that to continue hopefully.

Wild are 1-1-0 against Vancouver this year and 2-0-0 against Anaheim.

The hard part will be the Flames going 4-0-0 because I don't think it's crazy to think that Wild / Blues lose 1/4 games in regulation between the two of them.

If the Wild start Fleury on Saturday, I think there's a very good chance the Canucks show up and handle business. Fleury looked awful yesterday.

But if I'm the Wild and lose tomorrow vs CGY, no chance do I play Fleury on Saturday.

[LokiMotion]

Originally Posted by agulati

Like their win streak.


A 4 game losing streak by comparison is pretty ho-hum (I hope)

This! Nothing about how the Blues have played or their team makeup suggests that the streak was anything but just a hot run. They hadn't even won 3 straight prior to the break.

Mid and even bad teams have crazy runs all thd time. Anyone remember the 10 game streak the 16-17 flames had under Gulutzan of all coaches? Rotating Elliot and Johnson as goalies... Yeah that wasn't a good team. They got hot, got in, and got smoked by the ducks (not to mention Elliot crapping the bed that series).

Not saying what the blues did isn't significant, because it is. But no more so than Calgary being as close as they are because of a hot goalie.

I was 100% expecting a skid after their run. Now whether that can extend to 4 games remains to be seen. But 3 of their last 4, yeah i think that's a good possibility.

[dino7c]

They are either in or out...these percentages based on made up models are all different on different sites and don't matter at all

Unless they tie WC2 after game 82 in LA that lost point last night is irrelevant to making the playoffs or not. Go 4-0 and they probably get in, there is really nothing more to report

[Mathgod]

Originally Posted by dino7c

They are either in or out...these percentages based on made up models are all different on different sites and don't matter at all

Unless they tie WC2 after game 82 in LA that lost point last night is irrelevant to making the playoffs or not. Go 4-0 and they probably get in, there is really nothing more to report

That's a very ignorant take but I'm done with this debate... people who understand how odds work would agree that the lost point is the furthest thing from "irrelevant"...