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"An idea is always a generalization, and generalization is a property of thinking. To generalize means to think." Georg Hegel
“To generalize is to be an idiot.” William Blake
Location: A simple man leading a complicated life....
Exp:
Schulz next to go. Loewen can't put Smith over the top. If all of Schulz then Jean go to Toews he could win it. None of Schulz or Jeans votes will go to Smith.
I just have a hard time believing that 55% of the Jean and Loewen voters would have Toews ahead of Smith. I'd be very surprised and relieved to be wrong.
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In the 2017 CPC race Bernier started much higher, and gained at a higher rate round by round until round 6/13, and then Scheer took a higher proportion from there out
I just have a hard time believing that 55% of the Jean and Loewen voters would have Toewes ahead of Smith. I'd be very surprised and relieved to be wrong.
I think Jean voters might be interesting. Are they the camp that is still pissed off that smith betrayed them enough that she lost her seat in high River?
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Looks like it is basically done now with Smith as the victor. Just need to see what the percentage is. I'm not satisfied but there is some solice in knowing that it had to go deep down the ranked ballots for her to win.
Last edited by calgarygeologist; 10-06-2022 at 09:58 PM.
Honestly, reading the comments from some of the journalists on Twitter makes me wonder if they understand what’s happening. A lot of “Danielle Smith hasn’t moved much” kind of thing, and it’s pretty obvious why. She’s populist and the progressives were dropping. No one who voted for Leela Aheer had Smith as a second choice.
Lot of people didn't put a second choice on their ballot, so I can't see how Smith doesn't win at this point even if she doesn't pick up any more votes.
