Coronavirus All Purpose Thread: moving on?

[vegasbound]

Originally Posted by Lubicon

AHS is reporting Covid numbers weekly going forward rather than daily. Another (hopefully) positive sign we are beginning to move ahead.

I know more people with COVID currently or who have had COVID in the past 14 days than in the past Delta or Omicron waves and my circle is pretty small.

[Lubicon]

Originally Posted by vegasbound

I know more people with COVID currently or who have had COVID in the past 14 days than in the past Delta or Omicron waves and my circle is pretty small.

I've heard this from a few people now. For me January/February was when that happened. Nearly everyone at work, family, home and on my hockey teams had it then.

[getbak]

Today is the first day of Alberta's new weekly release of data. Also, the number of active cases is no longer anywhere on any of the pages.

https://www.alberta.ca/stats/covid-1...statistics.htm

[Fuzz]

Our wastewater data is around where we were Dec 20th, when we had ~1700 new cases a day. Hospitalizations declined by a whopping 10 in the past week, when they were declining at a rate of ~ 100 per week previously. I suspect next week they won't change much, or will rise. This leaves little space for hospitalization growth, not having recovered from the previous wave. Good thing we were patient removing measures...I'm not sure this bad boy is done for spring.

[tvp2003]

Wastewater (spoiler for size):

Spoiler!

[calgarygeologist]

Originally Posted by Fuzz

Our wastewater data is around where we were Dec 20th, when we had ~1700 new cases a day. Hospitalizations declined by a whopping 10 in the past week, when they were declining at a rate of ~ 100 per week previously. I suspect next week they won't change much, or will rise. This leaves little space for hospitalization growth, not having recovered from the previous wave. Good thing we were patient removing measures...I'm not sure this bad boy is done for spring.

Hospitalizations are actually down by 20 over the last week. The reported number today, 956, is to the end of the day March 21. The previous Monday, March 14, the number was 986.

[Fuzz]

Originally Posted by calgarygeologist

Hospitalizations are actually down by 20 over the last week. The reported number today, 956, is to the end of the day March 21. The previous Monday, March 14, the number was 986.

OK, sorry misread that. It's still a 5 fold decrease in the rate.

[Leeman4Gilmour]

CDC is saying 971,000 deaths in US, but WorldoMeter is suggesting they have passed 1,000,000.

Crazy fact"ish" of the day.

[TorqueDog]

Originally Posted by tvp2003

Wastewater (spoiler for size):

Spoiler!

Coming to flawed conclusions with this data: New COVID-19 strain causes people to poop more.

[BurningYears]

Originally Posted by TorqueDog

Coming to flawed conclusions with this data: New COVID-19 strain causes people to poop more.

Well I do feel like I've been poopin more this week since I got COVID. lol

[calumniate]

BurningYears skewing the wastewater data. It all makes sense!

[TorqueDog]

I hope he's burning a candle.

[Fuzz]

https://twitter.com/user/status/1507836723744575489


Here comes the, uh, 6th wave? Good thing our medical system had a breather...

[calculoso]

Originally Posted by Fuzz

https://twitter.com/user/status/1507836723744575489


Here comes the, uh, 6th wave? Good thing our medical system had a breather...

Hopefully this is the start of a “many are positive, few are in the hospital” wave.

[TorqueDog]

Originally Posted by calculoso

Hopefully this is the start of a “many are positive, few are in the hospital” wave.

Wasn't this basically the Omicron wave we just went through? Relative to the number of cases (which we were undercounting by a huge margin), hospitalizations per positive were lower than with more virulent strains and an unvaccinated population.

[Fuzz]

I think the best hope is that there is strong previous Omicron immunity that slows it down, and those getting sick don't get more sick if they catch it again.

[calculoso]

Originally Posted by TorqueDog

Wasn't this basically the Omicron wave we just went through? Relative to the number of cases (which we were undercounting by a huge margin), hospitalizations per positive were lower than with more virulent strains and an unvaccinated population.

Maybe I wasn’t comparing the dates right. My impression was that Omicron didn’t take over until part way through this previous wave, which is why hospitalizations were still relatively high. I’m hoping this one has lower hospitalizations.

[GGG]

Originally Posted by TorqueDog

Wasn't this basically the Omicron wave we just went through? Relative to the number of cases (which we were undercounting by a huge margin), hospitalizations per positive were lower than with more virulent strains and an unvaccinated population.

I think the question for how this wave behaves is what was the penetration of Omicron. If it hit 30% of people that’s still a lot of people who haven’t gotten it. If it hit 70% of people then we will be in better shape this wave.

[calgarygeologist]

Originally Posted by GGG

I think the question for how this wave behaves is what was the penetration of Omicron. If it hit 30% of people that’s still a lot of people who haven’t gotten it. If it hit 70% of people then we will be in better shape this wave.

We know there has been about 200,000 reported cases since Christmas most of which were Omicron. If the estimate of only 1 in 10 cases having been caught is accurate that means about 45% of the Alberta population has had Covid in the last three months.

[Fuzz]

Another unknown factor is how long you can go before re-infection. Haven't seen much on that.