[GT] US election - It's 2020, what could possibly go wrong?

[Strange Brew]

Originally Posted by Weitz

CBS saying Biden is in trouble in PA. So confusing lol

They’re not wrong. If by in trouble, then mean the margin is razor thin. In PA, Wisconsin and Michigan that is all true IMO.

Go back and look at how close those states were four years ago and we are headed the same direction.

It is still very close.

[bob-loblaw]

Originally Posted by manhattanboy

john mccain giving the middle finger to trump from the grave.

Of the thousands of terrible things trump has said and done, his treatment of mccain is near the top of the list.

https://twitter.com/user/status/1323843582369894400

[Lanny_McDonald]

Originally Posted by peter12

What do you mean? The breakthroughs for the Democrats in AZ and PA?

The red mirage being early leads for Republicans because of the in person vote, then those leads disappearing as the absentee/main in vote being counted after the fact.

[#-3]

Originally Posted by Azure

So it does mean percentage of expected vote that has been counted. Which is what I assumed it meant.

Rarely that what they mean when the report election results.

Typically the tallied % refer to the number of boxes with ballets in them.
So when you walk into your school gym and there are 15 boxes that would be 15 poles, In Alberta you would something like 1000 of these, but in some little town you might have 100-200 votes / box. While in Calgary you might have 1000 votes/box.

I think this year the US was expecting somewhere between 20% and 35% increased turn out, Florida is sitting ~13% above the last election for votes counted, so 6% of poles are missing, but 10% of the votes are missing from the count.

[TheScorpion]

Originally Posted by bob-loblaw

https://twitter.com/user/status/1323843582369894400

Does he think he's being cutting with that? I'm pretty sure that was her intention.

[OMG!WTF!]

I remember in 2016 I was eating a slice of gross pizza in my car after a city league basketball game and thought it was pretty funny Trump was winning. I didnt really care at all. Now I'm a disaster. My pizza choices have gotten much better but everything else makes me want to jump off a bridge.

[Minnie]

And, how can he even be surprised she stumped against Trump? He was vile to her husband.

[CroFlames]

Originally Posted by New Era

The red mirage being early leads for Republicans because of the in person vote, then those leads disappearing as the absentee/main in vote being counted after the fact.

True, but ABC just talked about Bush v Gore and how the SCOTUS handed the victory to Bush.



The SC is liable to pull some fishy #### with the delays in counting etc.



Hang onto your butts.

[Flashpoint]

John King on CNN is a map moving badass. I recommend.

[TheScorpion]

https://twitter.com/user/status/1323852560176959489

lol

[Lanny_McDonald]

Originally Posted by Strange Brew

They’re not wrong. If by in trouble, then mean the margin is razor thin. In PA, Wisconsin and Michigan that is all true IMO.

Go back and look at how close those states were four years ago and we are headed the same direction.

It is still very close.

Really? Have you looked at the underlying numbers? You can run through the counties where the vote isn't in, and it is overwhelming in Biden's favor and they are big population centers. The math looks good so long as the percentages hold and are accurate.

[Cecil Terwilliger]

Originally Posted by Flashpoint

Trump made a big push with Florida Cubans that Biden would bring in Socialism. In America that term equates to “communism”, not what Canadians (or the west of the western world) thinks of as “social programs”.

If you’re a Cuban expat family, you don’t vote for a communist.

So they’re idiots then.

That’s all you had to say. What hilariously dumb misleading campaign they fell for is irrelevant. If they have access to the news and the internet, they should know better.

[Looch City]

Originally Posted by TheScorpion

https://twitter.com/user/status/1323852560176959489

lol

Please have a stroke Trump, please have a stroke.

[peter12]

Originally Posted by New Era

Really? Have you looked at the underlying numbers? You can run through the counties where the vote isn't in, and it is overwhelming in Biden's favor and they are big population centers. The math looks good so long as the percentages hold and are accurate.

Hasn't been a good night for that!

[CorsiHockeyLeague]

Trump's Georgia lead isn't evaporating fast enough from those Atlanta area votes; I think that one's pretty much cooked.

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by BigNumbers

Feels like the popular vote odds of 1.10 are free money on Biden. Threw $400 I had left in my SI account at that.

are you in Canada? I didn't think they had election betting

[Weitz]

Originally Posted by dino7c

are you in Canada? I didn't think they had election betting

SI is sports interaction which is a Canadian site.

[Flashpoint]

Philly :

The confusion might be that people are looking only at the PA Dept of State’s results page.

That page right now says for Philly:
74,132 Biden
32,414 Trump

The city’s own page:
248,931 Biden
78,136 Trump

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blo...ults-coverage/

[dino7c]

Originally Posted by Weitz

SI is sports interaction which is a Canadian site.

I can't find any election voting on there...maybe I am blind

[Johnny Makarov]

Originally Posted by dino7c

are you in Canada? I didn't think they had election betting

ummm only Canada has online sports betting. The US doesn't have it. You have to go through Vegas. Backwards s-hole country...