[GDT] Tonight! Live from the Scotiabank Saddledome. The Flames take on The Kings.

[Textcritic]

Originally Posted by Duffalufagus

Rittich will get the start tomorrow night.

I am torn on this one. Part of me would rather see Rittich tonight and Smith tomorrow in the light of how good Smith has been on the road. But then again, maybe a Rittich start is enough to break the spell and get the Oilers out of the Flames's head.

I think either choice is potentially a good one.

[Textcritic]

Originally Posted by colbym72

We said this last time too and got thumped until a miracle comeback made it look close.

Before the start of last season the Flames owned the Oilers. This too shall pass.

[Otto-matic]

Wait does that mean Quick can't play tonight if he plans on skipping the All-Star game?

[Yrebmi]

Any word on if we see Quick or Kuemper in Kings net tonight?

[Toonage]

Originally Posted by Otto-matic

Wait does that mean Quick can't play tonight if he plans on skipping the All-Star game?

Cross posting from the Smith/ASG thread:
Shannon says Quick either sits out tonight or the first game back after the break.

[Trailer Fire]

Originally Posted by Toonage

WTF is a Vulk?

This needs to be answered.

[Puppet Guy]

Originally Posted by Toonage

WTF is a Vulk?

Originally Posted by Trailer Fire

This needs to be answered.

I think Vulk fell into the same copyright-skirting category as these guys:

Spoiler!

[Robbob]

Originally Posted by colbym72

We said this last time too and got thumped until a miracle comeback made it look close.

That game was influence by the hand of hockey god. As soon as the pass on the second goal went through the arches between the skate blade and boot without having its trajectory altered you knew it wasn't going to end well that night.

[Textcritic]

Originally Posted by Puppet Guy

[/spoiler]

"Door Ladder"??

[Manhattanboy]

Last night I happened to come across a You-tube highlight package of the Flames 2015 playoffs that included the clinching game against the Kings at the Dome. I remember watching that game in Vegas.

The effort, the intensity of that group was amazing - JG, Mony, Hudler and Ferland were on fire. They took care of VAN in six and gave ANA trouble. This team is way more talented, in goal, on D and up front.

If I were GG I would play that video for the boys right before the game. They would come out flying.

[VANFLAMESFAN]

Originally Posted by nfotiu

I wouldn't call it a must win, but definitely the biggest game of the year so far.

A few interesting things from sports club stats
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Western/Pacific.html

We have a 47% chance of getting a division seed and only 8% chance of a wildcard, so really we are battling with LA, the Ducks and maybe SJ for the division spots with the wild card not really a factor.

Goiing into the game, we're a toss up with LA 56.1 for us vs 59 for them.

Win in regulation, it goes to Flames 63 vs Kings 51.
Lose in regulation, it goes to Flames 47 vs Kings 68.

I don't get how that site works.

If flames win in reg, they are three ahead of the kings with a game in hand. If Flames lose, they are one behind Kings and a game in hand.

But yet somehow according to the site, being one ahead with playing more games is worth 68% while being three up and a game in hand is only worth 63?

Wouldn't the Flames situation after a reg win being more likely to make playoffs than the Kings if they won in reg? Or is there more to it then just the standings? Do they somehow have some other formula that figures the kings are a superior team thus more likely to make it even with the deficit?

[lambeburger]

Originally Posted by VANFLAMESFAN

I don't get how that site works.

If flames win in reg, they are three ahead of the kings with a game in hand. If Flames lose, they are one behind Kings and a game in hand.

But yet somehow according to the site, being one ahead with playing more games is worth 68% while being three up and a game in hand is only worth 63?

Wouldn't the Flames situation after a reg win being more likely to make playoffs than the Kings if they won in reg? Or is there more to it then just the standings? Do they somehow have some other formula that figures the kings are a superior team thus more likely to make it even with the deficit?

I think the site also factors in strength of the opponents remaining on the schedule as well.

[IamNotKenKing]

Originally Posted by VANFLAMESFAN

I don't get how that site works.

If flames win in reg, they are three ahead of the kings with a game in hand. If Flames lose, they are one behind Kings and a game in hand.

But yet somehow according to the site, being one ahead with playing more games is worth 68% while being three up and a game in hand is only worth 63?

Wouldn't the Flames situation after a reg win being more likely to make playoffs than the Kings if they won in reg? Or is there more to it then just the standings? Do they somehow have some other formula that figures the kings are a superior team thus more likely to make it even with the deficit?

There are two ways they do it:

1) 50-50: Meaning each team has equal chance to win the game; and
2) Weighted: They weight the chance of each win going forward.

From the site:

The weighted method takes the opponents record and home field advantage into account when randomly picking scores, so the better team is more likely to win. The 50/50 method gives each opponent an equal chance of winning each game. Both methods let an appropriate percent of games end in a tie or go into overtime in leagues where that matters.


So, switching to 50-50, Calgary increases by 7.0% and LA drops by 8.5% in a regulation Flames win, while in a regulation LA win, LA increases by 7.5% while Calgary drops by 8.1%.

At 50-50, we have 64.1% chance of playoffs currently, while LA has 48.4%.
At weighted, we have 56.1% chance of playoffs currently, while LA has 59.1%.

[WhiteTiger]

Go Flames go!

[locsofblu]

Not expecting the flames to show up again. 2-1 kings.

[midniteowl]

Go Flames Go )))))))))))))

[Insane_Flame]

Originally Posted by locsofblu

Not expecting the flames to show up again. 2-1 kings.

[Split98]

Pretty damn excited about this one!

[Textcritic]

Originally Posted by locsofblu

Not expecting the flames to show up again. 2-1 kings.

The Flames seem to struggle most in games that carry with them low expectations (Ottawa, Carolina, and Buffalo at the Dome), opponents against whom they don't meet very often (Detroit on the road), and teams named the Oilers (such as, the Edmonton Oilers).

But some of the Flames's best performances have come in games that matter. In their last five games in the Pacific Division they have a record of 3-1-1, with all three wins in regulation, and their last two against teams with whom they are tightly bunched with for a division playoff spot.

For all their warts, the Flames have most recently been showing up when it matters most. I expect that trend to continue tonight.

[hwy19man]

Centre Ice channels for:
Wednesday, January 24
Los Angeles at Calgary, 2000h/8:00pm Mountain
Flames feed in red

Game is on Sportsnet 360, therefore it is not on Centre Ice.

The game will also be on Sportsnet West immediately following the Leafs-Blackhawks game. The Pacific, Ontario, and East channels will get it after a short SN Central post game show.



USA
Indemand - Game 1 SD Game HD1
Directv - 769 SD 769-1 HD
Dish - 574 SD 9574 HD Hopper channel 475-12

Sirius Radio-- Siri 219 (Internet 924)
XM Radio-- XM 219 (Internet 924)
SXM Radio-- SXM 219 (Internet 924)