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Old 03-07-2015, 01:14 PM   #761
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I still can't believe how Beast Mode* Minnesota has been playing. 8-2 in their last 10 and showing no signs of letting up. I would have laughed at predictions of them taking over CHI, but by God it looks like it is happening. Crazy.

Mission: 10W for the Flames. Let's do it boys.

* A little shoutout to Lynch who re-signed yesterday.
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Old 03-07-2015, 01:37 PM   #762
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Hutchinson and Maurice have both been huge improvement over last year. However, Hellebuyck will likely be the future of the franchise, as far as goaltending is concerned.
It will be interesting to see him pull the franchise title away from Hutchinson, which he'll need to do. it won't be gifted to him.
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Old 03-07-2015, 01:40 PM   #763
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It will be interesting to see him pull the franchise title away from Hutchinson, which he'll need to do. it won't be gifted to him.
Ill just be happy to see pavelec gone either way
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Old 03-07-2015, 02:00 PM   #764
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Put the shoe on the other foot, Jets, Kings, Sharks, and Canucks fans have to be annoyed that the Flames have 4 points in the last two nights. Every one of them have to win tonight to either stay ahead of the Flames, or keep pace.
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Old 03-07-2015, 02:03 PM   #765
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If the Jets could somehow be convinced to call up goaltending phenom Connor Hellebuyck, I think we would make the playoffs.
Yeah, I seriously doubt that.
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Old 03-07-2015, 02:21 PM   #766
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Ill just be happy to see pavelec gone either way
He has another year left on his deal?
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Old 03-07-2015, 02:27 PM   #767
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He has another year left on his deal?
2 more years after this. i have this stupid fantasy where he is placed on waivers and a team like florida or some other team needing to get to the cap floor claims him.

3.9 million hit for 2 more seasons. jeesh. thanks chevy.
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Old 03-07-2015, 02:54 PM   #768
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This thread should really be called 'playoff race'.
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Old 03-07-2015, 03:23 PM   #769
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Yes, indeed. Tied in games played, tied in points, tied in ROW, but the Flames own the season series versus them.
The great thing about the tiebreakers right now vs other Pacific teams:

32 ROW = Calgary, Vancouver
30 ROW = San Jose
29 ROW = LA

Season series:
2-1-1 vs Vancouver (5 earned, 4 given up)... 0 games left
4-1-0 vs San Jose (8 earned, 3 given up)... 0 games left
3-1-0 vs Los Angeles (6 earned, 4 given up)... 1 game left

Only LA can tie us in points earned during the season series still, but we have a 3 ROW lead on them.

If LA were to catch us in ROW, and win the last game of the season series in regulation. We would go to the next tiebreaker.

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If two clubs are tied, and have not played an equal number of home games against each other, points earned in the first game played in the city that had the extra game shall not be included.
LA had 3 home games this season series, and we won the first one. So we have that tie breaker too from what I can tell.
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Old 03-07-2015, 05:01 PM   #770
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Yes, indeed. Tied in games played, tied in points, tied in ROW, but the Flames own the season series versus them.

Let's go sharks!!!!
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Old 03-08-2015, 07:00 AM   #771
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Yeah, SJS are in tough. Playing PIT, NSH, CHI next, all very loseable.

VAN has two tough home games coming up against the Ducks and Kings. Could be the Flames pass them by mid-week as they'd be fortunate to break .500. After that they do get the Leafs, Flyers and Jackets though, which are all winnable.

MIN gets a couple more softies in COL and NJD, but then has a bit of a murderer's row at the end of the week in ANA, STL, NSH next Tuesday.

Jets go STL / FLA / TBL on the road. Florida is still fighting to catch Boston, and the other two games should be tough ones.

Then you have the Flames' mixed bag of a schedule. Ottawa (you'd think softer but lately not), Anaheim, then the Leafs and Avs. 6 of 8 points wouldn't be totally shocking.

Kings get Colorado before going to Vancouver. Then a Nashville and Arizona at home. Not too tough.
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Old 03-08-2015, 09:29 AM   #772
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Mixed bag last night, which is better than everyone getting points. Nice freaking time for Nashville to fall into a tailspin.
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Old 03-08-2015, 12:08 PM   #773
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Arguably the best players on 3 teams: Giordano, Patrick Kane and Byfuglen get hurt.

Chicago 3-1

Flames 3-1

Jets 1-0

Nystrom injured for Nashville 0-2

Obviously Nystrom has to be considered for the Hart Trophy


** I know that nashville was 0-5 for Nystroms last 5 games but
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Old 03-08-2015, 12:13 PM   #774
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CorsiHockeyLeague View Post
Yeah, SJS are in tough. Playing PIT, NSH, CHI next, all very loseable.

VAN has two tough home games coming up against the Ducks and Kings. Could be the Flames pass them by mid-week as they'd be fortunate to break .500. After that they do get the Leafs, Flyers and Jackets though, which are all winnable.

MIN gets a couple more softies in COL and NJD, but then has a bit of a murderer's row at the end of the week in ANA, STL, NSH next Tuesday.

Jets go STL / FLA / TBL on the road. Florida is still fighting to catch Boston, and the other two games should be tough ones.

Then you have the Flames' mixed bag of a schedule. Ottawa (you'd think softer but lately not), Anaheim, then the Leafs and Avs. 6 of 8 points wouldn't be totally shocking.

Kings get Colorado before going to Vancouver. Then a Nashville and Arizona at home. Not too tough.
Love that Vancouver and LA play twice more. That really helps the OOT.

If Calgary wins tonight I'm not even paying attention to San Jose anymore. They would have to pass 2 teams that are 6 points up. Not gonna happen
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Old 03-09-2015, 03:59 AM   #775
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After Sunday's games:


1. Minnesota (36-23-7) 32 ROW, 79 pts
Vancouver (37-24-4) 33 ROW, 78 pts--second in Pacific Division
2. Winnipeg (33-21-12) 27 ROW, 78 pts
Calgary (36-25-5) 32 ROW, 77 pts--third in the Pacific Division
3. Los Angeles (31-21-13) 29 ROW, 75 pts--and fourth in Pacific Division
4. San Jose (32-26-8) 30 ROW, 72 pts--and fifth in the Pacific Division
5. Colorado (30-25-11) 22 ROW, 71 pts
6. Dallas (29-27-10) 26 ROW, 68 pts

Avalanche won in regulation
Wild lost in regulation
Flames lost in the shootout


__________________________________

After Saturday's games:
1. Minnesota (36-22-7) 32 ROW, 79 pts
Vancouver (37-24-4) 33 ROW, 78 pts--second in Pacific Division
2. Winnipeg (33-21-12) 27 ROW, 78 pts
Calgary (36-25-4) 32 ROW, 76 pts--third in the Pacific Division
3. Los Angeles (31-21-13) 29 ROW, 75 pts--and fourth in Pacific Division
4. San Jose (32-26-8) 30 ROW, 72 pts--and fifth in the Pacific Division
5. Colorado (29-25-11) 21 ROW, 69 pts
6. Dallas (29-27-10) 26 ROW, 68 pts

Canucks, Jets, and Avalanche won in regulation
Sharks and Stars lost in regulation
Kings lost in overtime

__________________________________

After Friday's games:
1. Minnesota (36-22-7) 32 ROW, 79 pts
Vancouver (36-24-4) 32 ROW, 76 pts--second in Pacific Division
Calgary (36-25-4) 32 ROW, 76 pts--third in the Pacific Division
2. Winnipeg (32-21-12) 26 ROW, 76 pts
3. Los Angeles (31-21-12) 29 ROW, 74 pts--and fourth in Pacific Division
4. San Jose (32-25-8) 30 ROW, 72 pts--and fifth in the Pacific Division
5. Dallas (29-26-10) 26 ROW, 68 pts
6. Colorado (28-25-11) 20 ROW, 67 pts

Flames and Wild won in regulation
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Old 03-09-2015, 07:19 AM   #776
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Calgary over 40% with four teams catchable.



Basically just one spot left up for grabs as SJS is asking a lot.
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Old 03-09-2015, 07:30 AM   #777
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Not sure I follow...
LA, if they win their game in hand, still loses the tie breaker to the Flames.
Flames have much more favourable schedule (compared to the Kings) down the stretch.
Yet the Kings are almost twice as likely to make the playoffs.
Why?
Because corsi?

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Old 03-09-2015, 07:31 AM   #778
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^ Jets have 1 more point than Flames, same number of games, with a way tougher schedule, and don't have the tie break. Double the odds of getting in. Right.
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Old 03-09-2015, 08:26 AM   #779
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That table is basically what would happen if on-ice results perfectly correlated to Corsi and the like. We all know it doesn't, so it is just another view using another predictor tool that is no more or less reliable than sportsclubstats.com.

Speaking of sportsclubstats, some interesting things with the numbers lately. Chicago has fallen back to the point where their results now have a marginal impact on our chances. Also, both San Jose and Vancouver are viewed as having only a small impact on us. Things are starting to clarify down to Winnipeg, LA and Calgary for two spots.

And lets face it, is it worth getting upset at the thought that the Flames would have to beat the odds to make the playoffs? That was rather self-evident all along.
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Old 03-09-2015, 08:32 AM   #780
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Not upset, it just doesn't make sense.
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