Canadian Election Prediction Thread - Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community

Caged Great · 10-13-2008, 10:08 PM

It's the night before the election, post your predictions

Which Party will win - (1 PT)

Will it be a Minority government or Majority - (1 PT)

How many seats will the Conservatives win - (5 PTS)

How many will the Liberals win - (5 PTS)

How many will the NDP win - (5 PTS)

How many will the BQ win - (5 PTS)

How many will the Greens win - (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - (10 PTS)

What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - (15 PTS)

What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - (15 PTS)

What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total (5 PTS)

What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total (5 PTS)

Caged Great · 10-13-2008, 10:25 PM

My Picks

Conservatives
Minority
117
94
40
55
1
Con - 18 Lib - 7 - NDP 11
Con - 28 Lib - 0 - NDP 0
Con - 14 Lib - 0 - NDP 0
Con - 6 Lib - 2 - NDP 6
Con - 42 Lib - 47 - NDP 17
BQ - 55 Con - 2 Lib - 16 - NDP 1 - IND - 1
Con - 2 Lib - 6 - NDP 2
Con - 2 Lib - 6 - NDP 2 - Green 1
Con - 0 Lib - 4 - NDP 0
Con - 3 Lib - 4 - NDP 0
Con - 0 Lib - 2 - NDP 1

octothorp · 10-13-2008, 10:34 PM

Which Party will win - (1 PT)
Conservatives
Will it be a Minority government or Majority - (1 PT)
Minority
How many seats will the Conservatives win - (5 PTS)
130
How many will the Liberals win - (5 PTS)
89
How many will the NDP win - (5 PTS)
37
How many will the BQ win - (5 PTS)
50
How many will the Greens win - (5 PTS)
0
What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - (10 PTS)
22-4-10
What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - (5 PTS)
28-0
What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
12-1-1
What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
8-2-4
What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - (15 PTS)
46-45-15
What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - (15 PTS)
9-14-1-50-0-1
What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - (5 PTS)
4-5-1
What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - (5 PTS)
1-6-3-0-0-1
What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - (5 PTS)
0-4-0
What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total (5 PTS)
0-6-1
What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total (5 PTS)
0-2-1
(All my splits are listed Con-Lib-NDP-Bloc-Green-Ind)

flamey_mcflame · 10-14-2008, 01:08 AM

Which Party will win - (1 PT)
Conservatives

Will it be a Minority government or Majority - (1 PT)
Minority

How many seats will the Conservatives win - (5 PTS)
124

How many will the Liberals win - (5 PTS)
100

How many will the NDP win - (5 PTS)
33

How many will the BQ win - (5 PTS)
50

How many will the Greens win - (5 PTS)
0

What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - (10 PTS)
20(C),7(L),9(NDP)

What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - (5 PTS)
28(C)

What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
12(C),1(L),1(NDP)

What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
8(C),3(L),3(NDP)

What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - (15 PTS)
42(C),49(L),15(NDP)

What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - (15 PTS)
8(C),16(L),50(BQ)1(Ind)

What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - (5 PTS)
3(C),6(L),3(NDP)

What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - (5 PTS)
1(C),7(L),3(NDP)

What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - (5 PTS)
4(L)

What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total (5 PTS)
1(C),6(L),

What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total (5 PTS)
3(L)

flamey_mcflame · 10-14-2008, 01:15 AM

Sorry Greatness, I didn't even see your thread until I saw your post in the U.S. election thread. I'll delete mine if you want. They are kinda different in terms of the questions asked, but I don't want to steal your thunder. Anyways, if you're still on, let me know.

P.S. the province by province seats is pretty difficult( I cheated on all my answers)

HOZ · 10-14-2008, 01:21 AM

Which Party will win - (1 PT)
Conservatives

Will it be a Minority government or Majority - (1 PT)
Minority

How many seats will the Conservatives win - (5 PTS)
149

How many will the Liberals win - (5 PTS)
64

How many will the NDP win - (5 PTS)
51

How many will the BQ win - (5 PTS)
44

How many will the Greens win - (5 PTS)
0

What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - (10 PTS)
30(C),0(L),6(NDP)

What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - (5 PTS)
28(C)

What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
12(C),0(L),2(NDP)

What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
11(C),0(L),3(NDP)

What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - (15 PTS)
42(C),49(L),15(NDP)

What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - (15 PTS)
15(C),15(L),44(BQ)1NDP

What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - (5 PTS)
3(C),0(L),7(NDP)

What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - (5 PTS)
4(C),0(L),7(NDP)

What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - (5 PTS)
4(NDP)

What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total (5 PTS)
1(C),6(NDP),

What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total (5 PTS)
3(C)

SteveToms · 10-14-2008, 01:41 AM

Which Party will win - (1 PT)
Conservatives

Will it be a Minority government or Majority - (1 PT)
Minority

How many seats will the Conservatives win - (5 PTS)
125

How many will the Liberals win - (5 PTS)
83

How many will the NDP win - (5 PTS)
55

How many will the BQ win - (5 PTS)
42

How many will the Greens win - (5 PTS)
2

How many will a Independent win - (0 PTS)
1

What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - (10 PTS)
28(C),2(L),6(NDP)

What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - (5 PTS)
26(C),1(L), 1(G)

What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
10(C),2(L),2(NDP)

What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
8(C),3(L),4(NDP)

What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - (15 PTS)
32(C),55(L),18(NDP),1(G)

What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - (15 PTS)
16(C),16(L),42(BQ),1 (IND)

What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - (5 PTS)
2(C),1(L),7(NDP)

What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - (5 PTS)
2(C),1(L),8(NDP)

What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - (5 PTS)
4(NDP)

What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total (5 PTS)
7(NDP)

What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total (5 PTS)
1(C),2(L)

transplant99 · 10-14-2008, 08:51 AM

Which Party will win - (1 PT)
PC

Will it be a Minority government or Majority - (1 PT)

Minority

How many seats will the Conservatives win - (5 PTS)

145

How many will the Liberals win - (5 PTS)

91

How many will the NDP win - (5 PTS)

32

How many will the BQ win - (5 PTS)

42

How many will the Greens win - (5 PTS)

0

What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - (10 PTS)

20-6-10

What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - (5 PTS)

28-0-0

What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)

13-1-0

What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)

10-2-2

What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - (15 PTS)

43-50-13

What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - (15 PTS)

21-12-0-42 (BQ)

What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - (5 PTS)

4-5-1

What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - (5 PTS)

2-5-4

What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - (5 PTS)

0-4-0

What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total (5 PTS)

3-4-0

What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total (5 PTS)

0-2-1

Ronald Pagan · 10-14-2008, 09:06 AM

Weird.

Am I the only one that thinks the Conservatives are going to get wiped off the map in Quebec.

Some people are actually predicting them to gain seats in Quebec?

Best case scenario for the Cons is four seats in Quebec.

JohnnyFlame · 10-14-2008, 03:09 PM

Conservatives
Minority
124C
94L
36N
51B
2O
Con - 21 Lib -6 - NDP 9
Con - 28 Lib - 0 - NDP 0
Con -12 Lib - 1- NDP 1
Con - 8 Lib - 3 - NDP 3
Con - 44 Lib - 46 - NDP 16
BQ - 51 Con - 8Lib - 14 - NDP 1 - IND - 1
Con - 3 Lib - 6 - NDP1
Con - 1 Lib - 6 - NDP 3 - Green 1
Con - 0 Lib - 4 - NDP 0
Con - 0 Lib - 6 - NDP1
Con - 2 Lib - 1 - NDP 0

Incinerator · 10-14-2008, 03:45 PM

Which Party will win - Conservative Party of Canada

Will it be a Minority government or Majority - Minority

How many seats will the Conservatives win - 132

How many will the Liberals win - 81

How many will the NDP win - 34

How many will the BQ win - 61

How many will the Greens win - 0

What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - 26 CPC, 6 LIB, 4 NDP

What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - 28 CPC

What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - 12 CPC, 1 LIB, 1 NDP

What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - 9 CPC, 1 LIB, 4 NDP

What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - 44 CPC, 44 LIB, 18 NDP

What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - 61 BQ, 10 CPC, 4 LIB

What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - 7 LIB, 2 CPC, 1 NDP

What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - 6 LIB, 4 NDP, 1 CPC

What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - 4 LIB

What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total - 6 LIB, 1 NDP

What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total - 2 LIB, 1 NDP

MarchHare · 10-14-2008, 03:46 PM

I'm surprised a few of you are picking the NDP to sweep all four seats in PEI. Those seats have been just as "safe" for the Liberals as Calgary ridings are to the CPC.

Which Party will win - (1 PT)
CPC

Will it be a Minority government or Majority - (1 PT)
Minority

How many seats will the Conservatives win - (5 PTS)
124

How many will the Liberals win - (5 PTS)
108

How many will the NDP win - (5 PTS)
25

How many will the BQ win - (5 PTS)
50

How many will the Greens win - (5 PTS)
1

What will the splits be in BC, 36 seats total - (10 PTS)
19 CPC, 7 Liberal, 9 NDP, 1 Green

What will the splits be in Alberta, 28 seats total - (5 PTS)
28 CPC

What will the splits be in Sask, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
11 CPC, 1 Liberal, 2 NDP

What will the splits be in Manitoba, 14 seats total - (5 PTS)
9 CPC, 3 Liberal, 2 NDP

What will the splits be in Ontario, 106 seats total - (15 PTS)
50 CPC, 50 Liberal, 6 NDP

What will the splits be in Quebec, 75 seats total - (15 PTS)
1 CPC, 50 Bloc, 24 Liberal

What will the splits be in New Brunswick, 10 seats total - (5 PTS)
3 CPC, 5 Liberal, 2 NDP

What will the splits be in Nova Scotia, 11 seats total - (5 PTS)
3 CPC, 5 Liberal, 3 NDP

What will the splits be in PEI, 4 seats total - (5 PTS)
4 Liberal

What will the splits be in Newfoundland, 7 seats total (5 PTS)
6 Liberal, 1 NDP

What will the splits be in the Territories, 3 seats total (5 PTS)
3 Liberal

[Edit]
Hmmm...I was selecting my picks on a province-by-province basis, but I think my final totals have too many seats for the Liberals and maybe too few for the NDP. Oh well, I'm not going to change it now.

algernon · 10-15-2008, 08:17 AM

So, who won this thing...Hoz?

Results

Ronald Pagan · 10-15-2008, 08:37 AM

I was wrong about Quebec!

jolinar of malkshor · 10-15-2008, 09:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronald Pagan

I was wrong about Quebec!

You where just wrong all around, weren't you?

Ronald Pagan · 10-15-2008, 09:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jolinar of malkshor

You where just wrong all around, weren't you?

Well the one prediction I made was Quebec. Where else was I wrong?

octothorp · 10-15-2008, 10:50 AM

I got 27 points (Con, Minority, NDP seats, green seats, bloc seats, Alberta results, Newfoundland results). Not sure how that compares to other's scores.

(Although I did miss by just one seat in Quebec, BC, Sask, Manitoba, the Territories, and PEI, which would have been another 45 points.)

Edit: just lost ten points with the Edmonton riding flipping to NDP. Make that 17 for me.

HOZ · 10-16-2008, 08:44 PM

I am too lazy to count...need someone to do it....but I suspect transplant99 is the closest.

octothorp · 10-16-2008, 10:42 PM

okay, I'll total it up.
Correct answers (number of correct answers):
Conservative (9)
Minority (9)
Conservative seats: 143 (0)
Liberal seats: 76 (0)
BQ: 50 (3)
NDP: 37 (1)
Green: 0 (5)
BC: 22-9-5 (0)
Alberta: 27-0-1 (0)
Sask: 13-1-0 (1)
Man: 9-1-4 (0)
Ont: 51-38-17 (0)
Que: 10-13-50-0-1 (0)
NB: 6-3-1 (0)
NS: 3-5-2-0-1 (0)
PEI:3-1 (0)
Nfld:0-6-1 (4)
North:1-1-1 (0)

Octothorp: 22 pts
Incinerator: 12 pts
Marchhare: 12 pts
Flamey McFlame: 12pts
Transplant99: 12 pts
JohnnyFlame: 7 pts
HOZ: 7 pts
SteveToms: 2 pts
Caged Great: 2pts

I whupped all y'all. Unless I miscounted somewhere.

HOZ · 10-16-2008, 10:47 PM

Where Are The Part Marks?