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View Poll Results: Assuming a term of 7 years what will Gaudreau's AAV end up being?
6.500 - 6.625 9 1.28%
6.625 - 6.750 5 0.71%
6.750 - 6.875 21 2.99%
6.875 - 7.000 59 8.40%
7.000 - 7.125 89 12.68%
7.125 - 7.250 85 12.11%
7.250 - 7.375 112 15.95%
7.375 - 7.500 102 14.53%
7.500 - 7.625 71 10.11%
7.625 - 7.750 38 5.41%
7.750 - 7.875 39 5.56%
7.875 - 8.000 33 4.70%
8.000 - 8.125 21 2.99%
8.125 - 8.250 6 0.85%
8.250 - 8.375 1 0.14%
8.375 - 8.500 11 1.57%
Voters: 702. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 09-15-2016, 02:16 PM   #1641
Enoch Root
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Yup - Tarasenko is out of whack.
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:18 PM   #1642
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Originally Posted by Cube Inmate View Post
Can JG still accept his Qualifying Offer? Does one more year give him offer-sheet & arbitration rights? If that's the case, then his biggest point of leverage is not a holdout, but to simply say "give me the million bucks & we'll do this again next summer."
Unless there's something in the CBA that changes it, at law if he rejected it or even made a counteroffer (which at law is a rejection) he can't turn around and accept it unless the Flames re-offer it.
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:18 PM   #1643
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Originally Posted by ricardodw View Post
If you want long term it will be 6.25 x8 if you don't want long term I would start at 3.5 for 2 years.... more than we have to pay you and more than you can get anywhere else, but I'd be willing to move up on that. maybe with a promise to look at an extension provide the team makes the playoffs, etc.
That seems so risky to me. Arbitration and offersheet rights combined with two more seasons like the last and you're probably looking at a Benn type contract. And that's if you get him to see it your way. I think you'd pretty much be looking at a holdout if you approached it like that imo.
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:21 PM   #1644
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Taresenko has been playing a lot longer. Not a fair comparison.

Johnny could very well drop to .82
When Tarasenko signed he'd played for 3 years, one more than JG. The PPG stats displayed was for the previous 2 seasons before signing.
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:24 PM   #1645
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Qualifying offers expire July 15.
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:25 PM   #1646
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Originally Posted by Oling_Roachinen View Post
Qualifying offers expire July 15.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CBA
A Qualifying Offer shall automatically expire at 5:00 p.m. New York time
on July 15; provided, however, that the Club may by written notice to
Central Registry and the NHLPA, sent in accordance with Exhibit 3
hereof, provided on or before 5:00 p.m. New York time on July 15, extend
the deadline for Qualifying Offer acceptance to a date (which must be a
fixed and definitive calendar date) determined in its sole discretion.
Lucky for Brad!
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:45 PM   #1647
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'Largely Unchanged' I can agree with but the PA will use their 5%(?) Escalator every year. So over 3 years thats still a decent increase.
The 5% escalator is not a 5% increase over the previous year's cap. It's a 5% increase over the cap as calculated from 50% of the previous year's actual HRR. If HRR remains flat, then the PA would be taking the same base figure every year to add the 5% to.

That means (a) no increase in the cap during that time, and (b) the cap would be calculated on a figure 5% higher than actual revenues warrant, and the players would have to give back that extra 5% in escrow.
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:48 PM   #1648
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jay Random View Post
The 5% escalator is not a 5% increase over the previous year's cap. It's a 5% increase over the cap as calculated from 50% of the previous year's actual HRR. If HRR remains flat, then the PA would be taking the same base figure every year to add the 5% to.

That means (a) no increase in the cap during that time, and (b) the cap would be calculated on a figure 5% higher than actual revenues warrant, and the players would have to give back that extra 5% in escrow.
Good to know. Thanksed!
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Old 09-15-2016, 02:58 PM   #1649
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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
Its amazing the lengths some here have gone in an attempt to discredit Gaudreau.

Do you guys really believe that he is a good comparable to Eberle? That he's all razzle dazzle? That he's unlikely to continue being a top scorer?
Stop trying to portray yourself as pro-Johnny, and everyone else as anti-Johnny. Your vote in the poll is smack dab in the middle of the rest of CPs votes. The majority of voters are valuing him right around where you are, so no matter how bad you want it, this is not you and Johnny versus the world.
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Old 09-15-2016, 03:02 PM   #1650
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Old 09-15-2016, 03:04 PM   #1651
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I kind of wish option years were possible still. I think sometimes it would make these types of negotiations easier.

It's not the money and term, but the intangibles I think that are making it tough (RFA, but not subject to offersheets, buying UFA years, inflation, the cap, etc...). Option years would be great insurance for either side.
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Old 09-15-2016, 03:56 PM   #1652
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
Its amazing the lengths some here have gone in an attempt to discredit Gaudreau.

Do you guys really believe that he is a good comparable to Eberle? That he's all razzle dazzle? That he's unlikely to continue being a top scorer?
We are not trying to discredit him. We are saying there is downside risk and that you are ignoring it. Those are two very very different things.
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Old 09-15-2016, 04:03 PM   #1653
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Originally Posted by TheoFleury View Post
That seems so risky to me. Arbitration and offersheet rights combined with two more seasons like the last and you're probably looking at a Benn type contract. And that's if you get him to see it your way. I think you'd pretty much be looking at a holdout if you approached it like that imo.
why? Benn had 3 years in a row that he had significantly better seasons than Gaudreau's best season. His last season he had 15 pts in 13 playoff games

If Gaudreau were to have 2 more 78 pt seasons:

1) It would be amazing seeing as the Flames will not be playing fire-wagon hockey over the next 2 years and hopefully not going all out to catch up being behind 3-4 goals as they were in Gaudreau's best year,

2) He would still have 3 years of RFA left and while becoming available for offer sheets there would be no realistic chance of a team making one now that Feaster and Lowe have been exiled.

3) The Arbitrator would , unlike the CP crowd,would realize that the difference between RFA years and UFA years.


Benn got 9.5 for being in the 2 players in the league for 3 years. 78 points for the next 2 seasons leaves Gaudreau in the 2nd tier of star players.
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Old 09-15-2016, 04:11 PM   #1654
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^It's not hard to imagine Gaudreau being offersheeted 9.5mx3 if signed to a 2 year bridge right now. Yeah, we'd match, but then what?
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Old 09-15-2016, 04:17 PM   #1655
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw View Post
why? Benn had 3 years in a row that he had significantly better seasons than Gaudreau's best season. His last season he had 15 pts in 13 playoff games

If Gaudreau were to have 2 more 78 pt seasons:

1) It would be amazing seeing as the Flames will not be playing fire-wagon hockey over the next 2 years and hopefully not going all out to catch up being behind 3-4 goals as they were in Gaudreau's best year,

2) He would still have 3 years of RFA left and while becoming available for offer sheets there would be no realistic chance of a team making one now that Feaster and Lowe have been exiled.

3) The Arbitrator would , unlike the CP crowd,would realize that the difference between RFA years and UFA years.


Benn got 9.5 for being in the 2 players in the league for 3 years. 78 points for the next 2 seasons leaves Gaudreau in the 2nd tier of star players.


Never change.
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Old 09-15-2016, 04:27 PM   #1656
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ricardodw View Post

3) The Arbitrator would , unlike the CP crowd,would realize that the difference between RFA years and UFA years.
Arbitration awards are notoriously high. Kinda the reason avoiding arbitration has turned into a Treliving trademark.
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Old 09-15-2016, 04:32 PM   #1657
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Originally Posted by TheoFleury View Post
^It's not hard to imagine Gaudreau being offersheeted 9.5mx3 if signed to a 2 year bridge right now. Yeah, we'd match, but then what?
By whom? Who has 4 1st round picks and 9.5 of cap room that Gaudreau would want to sign with.

Would you match 9.5M and pass on Carolina's next 4 1st round picks?

of the recently signed RFA's who would you want the Flames to offer sheet?

The Flames have a hole in their prospect pool due to getting Hamilton. Having no valid 1st round picks for 4 years (Nemisz, Erixon, Gormley, Baertschi) led to the mess where the Flames are digging out of now.

And who would you let go to accommodate the extra 9.5M? Buy out Gio? Trade Brodie and Backlund.

Last edited by ricardodw; 09-15-2016 at 04:35 PM.
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Old 09-15-2016, 04:37 PM   #1658
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I'm hoping for 8x 7.8... But if it's 7 I'd say 7x 7.5
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Old 09-15-2016, 04:38 PM   #1659
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Uh oh, the price just went up. He has hit the big time, getting interviewed by ET Canada.

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Old 09-15-2016, 04:44 PM   #1660
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One day, Gaudreau will re-sign and this thread can be buried under a pile of ruble. This is driving everyone mad now. Why won't they think of the pantsless basement dwelling forum posters! Sign for them dang it!
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