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View Poll Results: Assuming a term of 7 years what will Gaudreau's AAV end up being?
6.500 - 6.625 9 1.28%
6.625 - 6.750 5 0.71%
6.750 - 6.875 21 2.99%
6.875 - 7.000 59 8.40%
7.000 - 7.125 89 12.68%
7.125 - 7.250 85 12.11%
7.250 - 7.375 112 15.95%
7.375 - 7.500 102 14.53%
7.500 - 7.625 71 10.11%
7.625 - 7.750 38 5.41%
7.750 - 7.875 39 5.56%
7.875 - 8.000 33 4.70%
8.000 - 8.125 21 2.99%
8.125 - 8.250 6 0.85%
8.250 - 8.375 1 0.14%
8.375 - 8.500 11 1.57%
Voters: 702. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 09-13-2016, 03:36 PM   #1341
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So by your own logic, why even offer him 6.5? Why not offer him only 3? You don't because you want him to play. And he'd be wise to sign a 1 year deal or withhold his services should the team refuse to offer him what he is worth.

The real hook is the arbitration rights and offer sheet limitations. They can effectively hold Johnny hostage if he doesn't meet their demands. This is a completely different situation than other hold outs, as Johnny literally has no alternative in the league, yet is a budding superstar. He's the future of our offense, why would you want to hold him hostage by offering him far less than he'd get in an offer sheet? He's the last guy we should be nickel and diming - why risk bad blood and a potentially unmotivated star player all to save like 1% on cap?
If he's unmotivated because his salary is 500k to 1m less than he wanted, then he will never be happy. I believe he's a bigger man than that.
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Old 09-13-2016, 03:38 PM   #1342
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Old 09-13-2016, 03:44 PM   #1343
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If he's unmotivated because his salary is 500k to 1m less than he wanted, then he will never be happy. I believe he's a bigger man than that.
Honestly, I don't think its about being a bigger man, its a psychological thing that happens no matter how much money you are making. If you feel like you are being underpaid, it can definitely effect your performance and feelings towards your organization. I am not saying that will happen, but thats the risk you run.
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Old 09-13-2016, 03:44 PM   #1344
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Had some piece on Gaudreau on SportsCenter just now. Don't have volume at work though.
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Old 09-13-2016, 03:49 PM   #1345
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If he's unmotivated because his salary is 500k to 1m less than he wanted, then he will never be happy. I believe he's a bigger man than that.
I think what Gaudreauvertime might be getting at (my goodness what am I saying), is there is likely significant downside to the Flames taking advantage of the advantageous situation JGs contract situation represents. It's got to be a balance, because his contract situation and the options it provides should impact BT's position in negotiations, however a failure to also acknowledge that JG doesn't have some of the other options other RFA have and overly taking advantage of that with a player as important as JG could be damaging to the relationship.

It doesn't feel good when someone you trust and want to have an amicable relationship with had the ability to bend you over a barrel and then simply does so because they can. That does not bode well for the future of the relationship and the feelings it will create. If I felt like my employer took advantage of a unique situation with me, and exploited it to get me at a lower value than I figured I was worth, I'm not sure how much commitment I'd feel to said employer long term.........the actual dollar amount wouldn't matter much, it would be the process.

For the record, I'm not suggesting for a second that BT and the Flames are doing the above, more pointing out that in the end, if there are hard feelings between the two sides, it likely won't boil down to the fact that JG can't live without an extra $500K a year.

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Old 09-13-2016, 04:01 PM   #1346
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My point was is that Treliving wouldn't push it that far. Never has, and no indication he is now.

So if there's hard feelings it'll be from the other camp. And it'll be over money. And if so, it would have happened at some point no matter what.

All the other players signed reasonable contracts without animosity.

I expect the same from him. And if he can't be professional, then you don't want him on your team.
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Old 09-13-2016, 04:43 PM   #1347
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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
So by your own logic, why even offer him 6.5? Why not offer him only 3? You don't because you want him to play. And he'd be wise to sign a 1 year deal or withhold his services should the team refuse to offer him what he is worth.

The real hook is the arbitration rights and offer sheet limitations. They can effectively hold Johnny hostage if he doesn't meet their demands. This is a completely different situation than other hold outs, as Johnny literally has no alternative in the league, yet is a budding superstar. He's the future of our offense, why would you want to hold him hostage by offering him far less than he'd get in an offer sheet? He's the last guy we should be nickel and diming - why risk bad blood and a potentially unmotivated star player all to save like 1% on cap?
Based on the report do you think nickel and diming is where we are at here?
When it gets to that stage, yes, I agree - don't sacrifice any long-term potential bad feelings.
But based on reports that's not where things are at. There is a material difference right now.
This ain't nickles and dimes. This is millions of dollars.
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Old 09-13-2016, 04:49 PM   #1348
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http://www.tsn.ca/video/what-s-holdi...tions%7E950168

Gaudreau video.
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Old 09-13-2016, 04:57 PM   #1349
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From the above video


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Old 09-13-2016, 05:24 PM   #1350
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I love how TSN doesn't block the ads for those of us outside of Canada, they only block the content. Wtf.
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Old 09-13-2016, 05:25 PM   #1351
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
My point was is that Treliving wouldn't push it that far. Never has, and no indication he is now.

So if there's hard feelings it'll be from the other camp. And it'll be over money. And if so, it would have happened at some point no matter what.

All the other players signed reasonable contracts without animosity.

I expect the same from him. And if he can't be professional, then you don't want him on your team.
How do you know what Treliving will or won't do? This is a very unique contract negotiation, I wouldn't say any previous behavior is a guarantee of of reasonable behavior in this situation. If he is dead set on limiting AAV to 6.75M, then I don't think that is a reasonable position.

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Originally Posted by JiriHrdina View Post
Based on the report do you think nickel and diming is where we are at here?
When it gets to that stage, yes, I agree - don't sacrifice any long-term potential bad feelings.
But based on reports that's not where things are at. There is a material difference right now.
This ain't nickles and dimes. This is millions of dollars.
In the grand scheme of things, you are looking at 1-2% of the cap to lock in the face of the franchise at his worth. Is that amount of cap savings worth the risk of bad blood, hold outs, and a potentially disgruntled, unmotivated employee? Maybe if he was the janitor. But Johnny's the CEO.
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:00 PM   #1352
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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
How do you know what Treliving will or won't do? This is a very unique contract negotiation, I wouldn't say any previous behavior is a guarantee of of reasonable behavior in this situation. If he is dead set on limiting AAV to 6.75M, then I don't think that is a reasonable position
.
What a silly and unnecessary question. We've had two years to examine Treliving now - trades, signings, let-gos, and treatment of people (players, Flames staff, other NHL staff, agents) And at the end of it we've ample evidence that Treliving is:

1.) Smart
2.) A straight-shooter
3.) Anecdotal evidence that he's easy to do business with and relate to
4.) Not stingy (although this is more of a mandate from upper management)

So I have a lot of difficulty grasping the idea negotiations going that sour.

Quote:
In the grand scheme of things, you are looking at 1-2% of the cap to lock in the face of the franchise at his worth. Is that amount of cap savings worth the risk of bad blood, hold outs, and a potentially disgruntled, unmotivated employee? Maybe if he was the janitor. But Johnny's the CEO.
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:07 PM   #1353
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Originally Posted by Gaskal View Post
.
What a silly and unnecessary question. We've had two years to examine Treliving now - trades, signings, let-gos, and treatment of people (players, Flames staff, other NHL staff, agents) And at the end of it we've ample evidence that Treliving is:

1.) Smart
2.) A straight-shooter
3.) Anecdotal evidence that he's easy to do business with and relate to
4.) Not stingy (although this is more of a mandate from upper management)

So I have a lot of difficulty grasping the idea negotiations going that sour.
Like I said, has he ever been in a situation like we are currently seeing? All reports are that he is being stingy with where he currently sits (~6.5M), so that right there is contrary to what we've traditionally seen from Treliving.
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:11 PM   #1354
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This is a really smart negotiation from Treliving. He has all of the power. He shouldn't budge from $6.5 until the Gaudreau camp starts coming down on their ask, which they probably will. Really, if I'm Treliving, the number I actually want is just slightly above $7 million. He's put himself into a really good position here, because what's Gaudreau going to do, ask for a trade? I think he'd much rather be playing than sitting on the sidelines.
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:17 PM   #1355
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This is a really smart negotiation from Treliving. He has all of the power. He shouldn't budge from $6.5 until the Gaudreau camp starts coming down on their ask, which they probably will. Really, if I'm Treliving, the number I actually want is just slightly above $7 million. He's put himself into a really good position here, because what's Gaudreau going to do, ask for a trade? I think he'd much rather be playing than sitting on the sidelines.
I think both parties would like to avoid a hold out. But I would think Gaudreau has a lot to gain from holding out if the offer doesn't get past 6.75M. Like 5-10M in contract value if the term is 8 years.

The more I think about it, I really feel like they are going to end up signing a 1 or 2 year deal. Which is not a great result IMO, as it harms our cap situation in the years when we should really be getting competitive (assuming he's still a Flame).
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:39 PM   #1356
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Button didn't want to come right out and say Tarasenko's contract was too high, but he sure was trying to imply it.
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:47 PM   #1357
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Like I said, has he ever been in a situation like we are currently seeing? All reports are that he is being stingy with where he currently sits (~6.5M), so that right there is contrary to what we've traditionally seen from Treliving.
Jesus H. Christ. He literally just went through this same process with Monahan.

Why are you being intentionally obtuse?

And no, there are no "reports" because the organization is a black vault of secrecy since Treliving took over.
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:52 PM   #1358
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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
How do you know what Treliving will or won't do? This is a very unique contract negotiation, I wouldn't say any previous behavior is a guarantee of of reasonable behavior in this situation. If he is dead set on limiting AAV to 6.75M, then I don't think that is a reasonable position.
No, it's really not that unique. The only difference between this contract and others that Treliving has put together, is that Gaudreau's agent is swinging for the upper deck.

And yes, I think we can say that Treliving will be reasonable - in his 2 years here, he has shown to be almost Borg-like in his thoroughness and measured procedure.


Quote:
In the grand scheme of things, you are looking at 1-2% of the cap to lock in the face of the franchise at his worth. Is that amount of cap savings worth the risk of bad blood, hold outs, and a potentially disgruntled, unmotivated employee? Maybe if he was the janitor. But Johnny's the CEO.
"At his worth" is extremely subjective. If the negotiations result in bad blood from Gaudreau, that's his choice.
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Old 09-13-2016, 06:53 PM   #1359
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Like I said, has he ever been in a situation like we are currently seeing? All reports are that he is being stingy with where he currently sits (~6.5M), so that right there is contrary to what we've traditionally seen from Treliving.
There are no reports that he is being stingy. Good try though.
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Old 09-13-2016, 07:02 PM   #1360
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I think both parties would like to avoid a hold out. But I would think Gaudreau has a lot to gain from holding out if the offer doesn't get past 6.75M. Like 5-10M in contract value if the term is 8 years.

The more I think about it, I really feel like they are going to end up signing a 1 or 2 year deal. Which is not a great result IMO, as it harms our cap situation in the years when we should really be getting competitive (assuming he's still a Flame).
He likely has little to nothing to gain from it.

A one year deal would probably be $2 - $2.5M The Flames have ZERO motivation to pay him much on a one year deal. It would mean new negotiations again next year, as well as the possibility of an offer sheet.

Using your example of $6.75M for 8 years, he might think he deserves as much as $750k more per year. Or $6M over the life of the contract.

So he plays a year at $2M (foregoing $4.75M) because he thinks he's missing $6M (over 8 years).
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