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View Poll Results: Assuming a term of 7 years what will Gaudreau's AAV end up being?
6.500 - 6.625 9 1.28%
6.625 - 6.750 5 0.71%
6.750 - 6.875 21 2.99%
6.875 - 7.000 59 8.40%
7.000 - 7.125 89 12.68%
7.125 - 7.250 85 12.11%
7.250 - 7.375 112 15.95%
7.375 - 7.500 102 14.53%
7.500 - 7.625 71 10.11%
7.625 - 7.750 38 5.41%
7.750 - 7.875 39 5.56%
7.875 - 8.000 33 4.70%
8.000 - 8.125 21 2.99%
8.125 - 8.250 6 0.85%
8.250 - 8.375 1 0.14%
8.375 - 8.500 11 1.57%
Voters: 702. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 09-08-2016, 11:41 PM   #781
TheScorpion
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
Yes, Johnny's RFA years. Not his value. Two different concepts.
But you never specified two different concepts in your previous posts. All you said was "I never said he was worth less than five":

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime
I didn't say that anyone claimed Gaudreau was worth less than 5. Reread my post please.
Which yes, you did. That's all you said. You didn't mention RFA years in that post.

What's the story, Morning Glory?
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:42 PM   #782
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Yes, Johnny's RFA years. Not his value. Two different concepts.
But that's not what you said.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:42 PM   #783
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Originally Posted by nik- View Post
Holy #### he's Donald Trump. Says something, totally claims he didn't say it minutes later.
Sigh. . . Thanks for your contribution
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:43 PM   #784
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Originally Posted by TheScorpion View Post
But you never specified two different concepts in your previous posts. All you said was "I never said he was worth less than five":



Which yes, you did. That's all you said. You didn't mention RFA years in that post.

What's the story, Morning Glory?
Yes, I did. Seriously read the sentence right before that.

For God ****ing sakes
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:44 PM   #785
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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
Yes, I did. Seriously read the sentence right before that.

For God ****ing sakes
But I'm not talking about that post!

Now I'm confused. I know what I'm talking about, you know what you're talking about, but conversing, we're on two different pages.

You'll have to speak up, I'm wearing a towel.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:44 PM   #786
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You guys figure this whole thing out yet?
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:45 PM   #787
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Try reading the entire bolded:

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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
I'm not ignoring anything. I'm just surprised at how much his RFA years were worth. Some people here think Johnny's are worth less than 5 lol. Malkin's a great player, but he's not 2x better than the guy who just finished 6th in scoring, art ross or not.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:46 PM   #788
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Gaudreauvertime clearly meant that people were valuing his RFA years at less than $5M.

It's a comment that I disagree with since the most recent example is from like two weeks ago and I think everyone's expectations, Enoch's included, have risen as we dove into what the comparables mean for RFA valuation. But his post clearly implied RFA valuation...
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:47 PM   #789
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Ah now I see what you meant. Confusing sentence but yes I see what you were trying to say in that now
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:48 PM   #790
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ah yes. It's been awhile since we've done this, Frank. I'm not sure I'm up for it tonight though.
Weak man, weak. Ah well, we can always rehash when it's time to trade Gaudreau at peak value for a huge package to kick start Calgary's next rebuild.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:49 PM   #791
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JiriHrdina View Post
Ah now I see what you meant. Confusing sentence but yes I see what you were trying to say in that now
Sorry, I'm a **** writer (numbers guy). Glad we've cleared that up, apologies for my frustration.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:49 PM   #792
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My timeline of these posts:

11:10 PM: Gaudreauvertime: I'm just surprised at how much his RFA years were worth. Some people here think Johnny's are worth less than 5 lol.

11:18 PM: The Fonz: Let's see this.

11:21 PM: JiriHrdina: Who think he's worth less than 5?

11:25 PM: Gaudreauvertime: Enoch Root, for one.

11:27 PM: JiriHrdina: What exactly was said.

11:28 PM: TheScorpion: Can you prove this? I highly doubt this is true, unless he's talking a really weird bridge deal or a really awful long-term deal -- both of which would never happen.

11:29 PM: Gaudreauvertime: http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showthread.php?t=156229 Post 23, Also Pepsi free at post 72

11:31 PM: nik-: Conveniently ignores "bridge contract". God dammit Lewis.

11:33 PM: Gaudreauvertime: I know, and that's what I was talking about. You can't bridge the guy who was 6th in scoring for 4.5M per

11:35 PM: TheScorpion: Why can't you? Monetary circumstances change with different terms. $4.5 on a bridge isn't saying that Gaudreau's worth under $5m.

11:36 PM: Gaudreauvertime: I didn't say that anyone claimed Gaudreau was worth less than 5. Reread my post please.

11:37 PM: JiriHrdina: You literally said this:
Some people here think Johnny's are worth less than 5 lol

11:40 PM: Gaudreauvertime: Yes, Johnny's RFA years. Not his value. Two different concepts.
...

So I sorta get your point, Gaudreauvertime? OK, then. You could've made it clearer that you were referring to Johnny's RFA years only, but I guess what you're saying makes sense.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:50 PM   #793
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The craziest thing I think I've learned today is that Malkin's RFA years were effectively valued at $10.8M in today's cap dollars. That's insane! Let's not go using this as a comparable though.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:52 PM   #794
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Originally Posted by Frequitude View Post
The craziest thing I think I've learned today is that Malkin's RFA years were effectively valued at $10.8M in today's cap dollars. That's insane! Let's not go using this as a comparable though.
Agreed on both parts. I wonder if Malkin threatened to go back to Russia, inflating the price of his RFA years?
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:52 PM   #795
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheScorpion View Post
...

11:35 PM: TheScorpion: Why can't you? Monetary circumstances change with different terms. $4.5 on a bridge isn't saying that Gaudreau's worth under $5m.

...
Here's where it went sideways. $4.5M on a bridge is effectively saying his RFA years are worth less than $5M.

Anyways...how 'bout dem Bears.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:54 PM   #796
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Originally Posted by Gaudreauvertime View Post
Agreed on both parts. I wonder if Malkin threatened to go back to Russia, inflating the price of his RFA years?
Expectations of cap growth were also much higher back then so it's somewhat more reasonable. Still crazy, but not as crazy as $10.8M today in a stagnating cap environment.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:54 PM   #797
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Originally Posted by Frequitude View Post
Here's where it went sideways. $4.5M on a bridge is effectively saying his RFA years are worth less than $5M.

Anyways...how 'bout dem Bears.
Cutler is overrated.

I think I was just confused. I was unsure about the way he was presenting his ideas.
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Old 09-08-2016, 11:58 PM   #798
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Jesus...you guys get that out of your system?

Seriously, this thread:

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Old 09-09-2016, 12:01 AM   #799
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I'm not sure how negotiations are going but if they are $1.5M apart like Eric Francis states (I think he's pretty accurate), it looks like they are pretty far apart. But that doesn't mean the team and the player will have a strained relationship. Drew Doughty and the Kings had a difficult negotiation too and he didn't sign until almost October and it appears both camps are on the same page.

I find it funny how some posters think solving this stalemate is as simple as finding the number in the middle. If that is the case, Treliving should just offer $1M and then "compromise" in the middle and get Johnny signed at $4.5M on an 8 year deal.
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Old 09-09-2016, 12:04 AM   #800
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Expectations of cap growth were also much higher back then so it's somewhat more reasonable. Still crazy, but not as crazy as $10.8M today in a stagnating cap environment.
True words. Which begs the question - do teams have economists tasked with cap inflation forecasting?
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