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Old 12-17-2024, 09:56 PM   #1
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Default Bruins 4 Flames 3 (OT)

Bruins 4 Flames 3 (OT)

- reverse third from the previous Cgy/Bos game
- same result
- Coronato with a snipe
- Wolf gets them a point
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Old 12-17-2024, 10:06 PM   #2
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I like the speed and energy that Duehr and Lomberg bring to the 4th line, which was on display in the Panther game. But they have such little puck skill that they can get really owned in their own zone for extended stretches. You can’t have that.
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Old 12-18-2024, 07:25 AM   #3
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Yeah with fourth liners it's tough.

Do you expect them to create any offence at all? If you do then you can certainly look at expected splits and evaluate them.

If you don't then it's about not getting scored on, and with that a low expected rate.

xGA60 for the individual game has a top five worst offenders of ...

1. Coleman 5.52
2. Andersson 5.05
3. Bahl 4.94
4. Rooney 4.91
5. Duehr 4.86

So yeah they had a rough night defensively too. (Coleman was 29.7% and had a rough night).

Straight differential of expected goals / 60 (not a percentage) had a top 5 of ...

1. Pelletier 2.80
2. Zary 1.95
3. Huberdeau 1.88
4. Weegar 1.61
5. Hanley 1.46

And a bottom five of ...

1. Rooney -4.84
2. Duehr -4.80
3. Coleman -3.17
4. Andersson -3.06
5. Bahl -2.95

No matter how you slice it that fourth line is getting caved in. Lomberg survived because he had a shift with Zary and Pelletier on a hang over.
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Old 12-19-2024, 12:44 AM   #4
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Love your write ups, but have to disagree that the Flames were run out of the building in the third. I thought it was a pretty even period. Yes the Bruins scored two goals to tie it up, but both goals were just lucky scraps, a bit like the Lomberg goal, not due to the Flames not playing well.

The Bruins certainly went up a gear in the third but the Flames also had their share of chances.
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Old 12-19-2024, 07:38 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by UKflames View Post
Love your write ups, but have to disagree that the Flames were run out of the building in the third. I thought it was a pretty even period. Yes the Bruins scored two goals to tie it up, but both goals were just lucky scraps, a bit like the Lomberg goal, not due to the Flames not playing well.

The Bruins certainly went up a gear in the third but the Flames also had their share of chances.
And it was the lucky goals that created the momentum, not the other way around
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Old 12-19-2024, 07:47 AM   #6
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Stats matched what I saw ...

9-1 in high danger splits in all situations.
83.61% expected goal split for the Bruins.

Shots were 15-5
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Old 12-19-2024, 07:56 AM   #7
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there is no question that the Bruins were dominating the last 5 minutes or so. It's the overall picture that is in question
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Old 12-19-2024, 07:59 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Enoch Root View Post
there is no question that the Bruins were dominating the last 5 minutes or so. It's the overall picture that is in question
Yeah I think the Flames looked good in the first 5-7 minutes of the period, for sure.

But once the Bruins scored that second goal they pretty much ran the show the rest of the way, including overtime.
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