World Cup GDT: June 26th

[SebC]

Thursday June 26th

10:00 AM USA (13, 1-1-0) vs. Germany (2, 1-1-0) (Group G)
10:00 AM Portugal (4, 0-1-1) vs. Ghana (37, 0-1-1) (Group G)
2:00 PM South Korea (57, 0-1-1) vs. Belgium (11, 2-0-0) (Group H)
2:00 PM Algeria (22, 1-0-1) vs. Russia (19, 0-1-1) (Group H)

Numbers in brackets are FIFA ranking followed by W-D-L.

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Today has the final matches in Groups G and H. Last day of the group stage!

Group G scenarios:

Spoiler!

Germany:
- Tops group with a win or draw
- Qualifies with a Ghana/Portugal draw
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Ghana* for qualification/elimination with a loss and Ghana win
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Portugal** for qualification/elimination with a loss and Portugal win

USA:
- Tops group with a win
- Qualifies with a draw
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Ghana*** for qualification/elimination with a loss and Ghana win
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Portugal**** for qualification/elimination with a loss and Portugal win

Ghana:
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Germany* for qualification/elimination with a win and Germany loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. USA*** for qualification/elimination with a win and USA loss
- Eliminated with a loss or draw
- Eliminated with a Germany/USA draw


Portugal:
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Germany** for qualification/elimination with a win and Germany loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. USA**** for qualification/elimination with a win and USA loss
- Eliminated with a loss or draw
- Eliminated with a Germany/USA draw

*Tiebreaks - Germany vs. Ghana

Germany qualifies, Ghana eliminated if:
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] < 5
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Ghana scores less than three more goals than Germany

Ghana qualifies, Germany elimianted if:
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] > 5
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Ghana scores at least four more goals than Germany

Coin flip - winner qualifies, loser eliminated - if:
- [ (Ghana margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Ghana scores three more goals than Germany

**Tiebreaks - Germany vs. Portugal

Germany qualifies, Portugal eliminated if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] < 8
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 8 AND Portugal scores less than five more goals than Germany

Portugal qualifies, Germany eliminated if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] > 8
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (Germany margin of loss) ] = 8 AND Portugal scores at least five more goals than Germany

***Tiebreaks - USA vs. Ghana

USA qualifies, Ghana eliminated if:
- Ghana wins by one, USA loses by one, and Ghana scores less than two more goals than USA

Ghana qualifies, USA eliminated if:
- Ghana wins or USA loses by more than one goal
- Ghana wins by one, USA loses by one, and Ghana scores at least two more goals than USA

****Tiebreaks - USA vs. Portugal

USA qualifies, Portugal eliminated if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] < 5
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Portugal score less than two more goals than USA

Portugal qualifies, USA elimianted if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] > 5
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Portugal scores at least three more goals than USA

Coin flip - winner qualifies, loser eliminated - if:
- [ (Portugal margin of victory) + (USA margin of loss) ] = 5 AND Portugal scores two more goals than USA

Group F scenarios:

Spoiler!

Belgium:
- Qualified
- Tops group with win or tie

Algeria:
- Tops group with win and Belgium loss
- Qualifies with win
- Qualifies with a draw and South Korea draw or loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. South Korea* for qualification/elimination with a draw and South Korea win
- Eliminated with a loss

Russia:
- Qualifies with a win and South Korea draw or loss
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. South Korea** for qualification/eliminated with a win and South Korea win
- Eliminated with a draw or loss

South Korea:
- Goes to tiebreaks vs. Algeria* for qualification/elimination with a win and Algeria draw
- Goes to tiebreaks vs Russia** for qualification/elimination with a win and Russia win
- Eliminated with a draw or loss
- Eliminated with an Algeria win

*Tiebreaks - Algeria vs. South Korea

Algeria qualifies, South Korea elimianted if:
- South Korea wins by less than 3
- South Korea wins by 3, but South Korea scores less than 3 more goals than Algeria

South Korea qualifies, Algeria elimianted if:
- South Korea wins by more than 3
- South Korea wins by more than 3 and outscores Algeria by 3+.

**Tiebreaks - Russia vs. South Korea

Russia qualifies, South Korea eliminated if:
- (Russia margin of victory) > [ (South Korea margin of victory) - 1 ]
- (Russia margin of victory) = [ (South Korea margin of victory) - 1 ] AND Russia outscores South Korea by 3+

South Korea qualifies, Russia eliminated if:
- (South Korea margin of victory) > [ (Russia margin of victory) + 1 ]
- (South Korea margin of victory) = [ (Russia margin of victory) + 1 ] AND Russia outscores South Korea by < 2 (or does not outscore South Korea)

Coin flip - winner qualifies, loser eliminated - if:
- (South Korea margin of victory) = [ (Russia margin of victory) + 1 ] AND Russia scores two more goals than South Korea

[19Yzerman19]

I think you have the records wrong for group F... Russia and Korea are 0-1-1, Algeria 1-0-1 and Belgium is 2-0.

EDIT: Actually the other ones look wrong too.

[GirlySports]

Ghana manager Kwesi Appiah kicked Sulley Muntari and Kevin-Prince Boateng off the team this morning, shortly after all the Ghana players received a $3 million (total) bonus from the Ghanian president. Apparently KPB got into a shouting match with Appiah, and Muntari allegedly assaulted a member of Ghana's management committee.

[M*A*S*H 4077]

Big day for the Germans today. Should be able to win the group. I want to see Lahm back at RB. Khedira is defensive minded enough to protect the backline and Schweinsteiger needs to be on the field, he's the heartbeat of the team

[EldrickOnIce]

Just came by to see SebC brilliant work on Group G scenarios.
Leaving satisfied...

[nik-]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Ghana manager Kwesi Appiah kicked Sulley Muntari and Kevin-Prince Boateng off the team this morning, shortly after all the Ghana players received a $3 million (total) bonus from the Ghanian president. Apparently KPB got into a shouting match with Appiah, and Muntari allegedly assaulted a member of Ghana's management committee.

does this mean I can re-post this picture?

[_Q_]

Germany vs USA will end in a draw, because unfortunately, that's how soccer works.

[nfotiu]

Originally Posted by _Q_

Germany vs USA will end in a draw, because unfortunately, that's how soccer works.

Probably even more true since they are saying the field is borderline unplayable with all the rain.

[Locke]

Originally Posted by GirlySports

Ghana manager Kwesi Appiah kicked Sulley Muntari and Kevin-Prince Boateng off the team this morning, shortly after all the Ghana players received a $3 million (total) bonus from the Ghanian president. Apparently KPB got into a shouting match with Appiah, and Muntari allegedly assaulted a member of Ghana's management committee.

Huge break for Portugal for Ghana to lose two of their best players, you have to think that they'll have to try and pump as many past Ghana as they can and see if they can pull off a miracle if one of Germany or US wins.

[GirlySports]

Gonzalez and Davis in
Cameron and Bedoya out

[Locke]

Neuer
Boateng-Mertesacker-Hummels-Howedes
Schweinsteiger-Lahm-Kroos
Ozil - Muller - Podolski

Standard back 4 and false 9 nonsense again.

[polak]

I'm nervous. I have a bad feeling that Germany is going to slip up...

[nfotiu]

Originally Posted by polak

I'm nervous. I have a bad feeling that Germany is going to slip up...

They'd have to seriously slip up not to make it through though.

[Locke]

The Germans would have to lose fairly heavily or lose and Portugal/Ghana win by a landslide.

[Senator Clay Davis]

Only Ghana can realistically move through and only the US can realistically be bumped out. Germany would need such a spectacular collapse to not make it through now.

[Esoteric]

Google Doodle/Gif today is spot on

[Arsenal14]

Originally Posted by Senator Clay Davis

Only Ghana can realistically move through and only the US can realistically be bumped out. Germany would need such a spectacular collapse to not make it through now.

I'm not ruling Portugal out yet - Germany beating the US by a couple and Portugal putting a bunch past a weakened Ghana team are both possible. Certainly it's more likely the US loses and Portugal wins but not by enough to make up the goal difference but you never know.

[Esoteric]

Originally Posted by Arsenal14

I'm not ruling Portugal out yet - Germany beating the US by a couple and Portugal putting a bunch past a weakened Ghana team are both possible. Certainly it's more likely the US loses and Portugal wins but not by enough to make up the goal difference but you never know.

Every time I hear someone talking about Portugal's chances, I get reminded of

[Pagal4321]

Gah, why is CBC streaming for GER-USA showing me the German coaches?!

[Ducay]

Their link is wrong on the main page, you can get to the main game by going to multistream and then picking the CBC feed and clicking on it to get the audio. Not sure how to get it fullscreen though...