Tough Stretch to mean the season (excel file attached)

[Bingo]

hey guys ...

I was laying out the next 9 games as being the season for the Flames, the first was last night in an overtime loss in Minny.

Fill in the attached file and the red at the bottom will show you the record needed to make the playoffs based on a 54 point target.

How to fill in ...

place a 1 in either win, loss or OTL for the next eight games starting in Colorado.

Post your results.

Mine?

13-4-5 for .705 hockey. Once done and you see the damage vote on the result your calculation showed.

http://www.calgarypuck.com/wp-conten...gh-Stretch.xls

[Caged Great]

My record for the next 8 is 2-6

Figure we'll lose in a close one against Colorado, get blown out by Van, Beat the sharks, lose in Anaheim, split in LA, coming back home for back to back loses against Detroit and Nashville.

Our record 9-13-4 for 22 points.

We'd need to be 16-6 after that for a .727 record. For comparison, the leading team in the east has a .710 point % right now.

[Erick Estrada]

I have their record on that as 2-4-3 (.389). You will have to be a major homer to even pick them at .500 in that stretch as they never win in Anaheim, the Kings manhandled them in the first meeting and could sweep. I picked the Preds and Wings as the only wins but I could see them losing those two. I could see them winning in Colorado but the rest of the schedule looks like regulation or extra time losses.

One good thing about this stretch is that it's going to make things obvious at the trade deadline one way or another.

[ComixZone]

The only win I have them getting is Thursday vs. Colorado

[devo22]

I have them at 2-4-3 over that stretch. I could see them beat Colorado on Thursday plus maybe the Red Wings, but that's about it ...

[FakenHaken]

We better figure out and soon how to beat Pacific Division teams or the 7 year drought experienced during the Young Guns Era will seem like a picnic if the realignment of the divisions takes place as planned.

[Trojan97]

Originally Posted by Erick Estrada

I have their record on that as 2-4-3 (.389). You will have to be a major homer to even pick them at .500 in that stretch as they never win in Anaheim, the Kings manhandled them in the first meeting and could sweep. I picked the Preds and Wings as the only wins but I could see them losing those two. I could see them winning in Colorado but the rest of the schedule looks like regulation or extra time losses.

One good thing about this stretch is that it's going to make things obvious at the trade deadline one way or another.

I had the same thing..
Wins vs Colorado & Nashville
Regulation Losses vs Canucks, Ducks, Kings x2
OTL vs Wild, Sharks, Red Wings

2-4-3 would mean they would need to go 12-4-6. Not a chance in hell.

[OffsideSpecialist]

I put them at the ever popular 2-4-3...
Wins against Colorado and Detroit
Regulation losses to Vancouver, San Jose, Anaheim, Los Angeles,
Overtime losses to Minnesota, Los Angeles and Nashville

I can't see the team faring too well over this stretch.

[SebC]

The only teams that are really scary are Chicago and Anaheim. Everyone else is decently close to 0.500 (winning percentage).

[St. Pats]

I sure see how the 2-4-3 record comes out so popular. That's being as generous as you can be when looking at the schedule. Even if you throw another win in there it's still a tough road.

[Poe969]

I got them at 3-5-1 and that's being generous. Doom and gloom folks. Doom and gloom

[Bingo]

so people are getting the same feel as me ... I was 2-5-2 but had them losing in regulation last night so they're ahead of my pace by a point

the good news is that they should see they are out of it by the time people are drinking green beer. That gives them 19 day head start to trade deadline day

hopefully they see that.

[Poe969]

I really want them to be out of it soon too, that way they can see the righting on the wall. It just doesn't make sense to make a trade to maybe make the playoffs. The teams that should be buyers are teams looking to make a run at the cup, not teams looking to make a run at 8th.

The writing is on the wall....

[moon]

1-5-3

If they don't win that Colorado game it could look ugly, but I imagine they win one game that isn't really expected as that seems to be what this team does.

If LA has turned it around like it looks, we may have caught them for back-to-backs at about the worse time possible.

[kyuss275]

I think they will beat Vancouver. Van plays the night before against LA and will be beat up. San Jose and Red Wings they have a chance. I will say 3-5 with an outside chance at 4-4.

The problem is I doubt they start selling off players immediatly after the game on the 15th. After that they play Columbus twice, Oilers twice and could go .500 on the rest of the teams. That is probably all the false hope that the owners need not to blow it up.

April schedule with 9 on the road in 15 games will be the death of the flames.

[Murph]

A little too much realism for me in this thread.

Kipper comes back for Sunday's game vs. the Canucks and it's just the confidence booster this team needs after they realize they've managed to stay afloat with mediocre goaltending. His play reminds us all of 2004 and we go 6-2-2 over the 10 game stretch, with both regulation losses coming on the California trip.

[Roof-Daddy]

We should be getting Kipper and Backlund back during this stretch I think. Should help, but still going to be tough sledding.

[Joborule]

I put down 2-4-3.

Projection has 12-4-6, meaning .682 points required to make playoffs.

That's too much to ask for the team to make the playoffs. This upcoming stretch is going to break the back.

[kyuss275]

Originally Posted by Murph

A little too much realism for me in this thread.

Kipper comes back for Sunday's game vs. the Canucks and it's just the confidence booster this team needs after they realize they've managed to stay afloat with mediocre goaltending. His play reminds us all of 2004 and we go 6-2-2 over the 10 game stretch, with both regulation losses coming on the California trip.

This could very well happen. With Kipper on the team anything is possible. My problem is that all it does is mask the many holes this team has.

If they are going to continue with the path chosen they better hope Kipper wants to re-sign a 4 year deal or they are hooped.

[josef]

flames loose the next 3 games, win in anaheim, get a split in la, and loose against nashville & detroit (both in ot/so), so i have a record of 2-4-2