Flames Stats predictions by end of season

[FBI]

Now that we've played about 17% of the season, we've been able to gauge a little more about our players.. I'd be interested in everyone's predictions over the 82 game season..

Current stats:

Player GP G A P
C Jiri Hudler 14 5 10 15
C Sean Monahan 14 7 4 11
D Dennis Wideman 14 1 9 10
R Lee Stempniak 10 4 5 9
D Mark Giordano 8 2 7 9
L Curtis Glencross 14 5 4 9
D Kris Russell 14 2 6 8
L Mike Cammalleri 7 4 3 7
C Matt Stajan 6 1 4 5
R David Jones 10 3 2 5
L Sven Baertschi 13 1 4 5
L TJ Galiardi 14 1 4 5
C Joe Colborne 13 1 3 4
D TJ Brodie 14 1 3 4
C Mikael Backlund 13 2 2 4
D Chris Butler 14 1 1 2
R Brian McGrattan 12 0 1 1
D Shane O'Brien 14 0 1 1
D Derek Smith 4 0 1 1
L Lance Bouma 13 1 0 1
C Ben Street 8 0 1 1
R Tim Jackman 6 0 0 0
L Roman Horak 1 0 0 0
D Christopher Breen 2 0 0 0

[FBI]

Hmm crappy formatting but here's my guesses:

Originally Posted by FBI

Now that we've played about 17% of the season, we've been able to gauge a little more about our players.. I'd be interested in everyone's predictions over the 82 game season..

Player GP G A P
C Jiri Hudler 82 23 33 56
C Sean Monahan 76 16 20 36
D Dennis Wideman 82 7 25 32
R Lee Stempniak 68 22 20 42
D Mark Giordano 60 7 26 33
L Curtis Glencross 82 25 24 49
D Kris Russell 82 7 15 22
L Mike Cammalleri 70 30 27 57
C Matt Stajan 70 10 20 30
R David Jones 70 15 12 27
L Sven Baertschi 75 10 15 25
L TJ Galiardi 82 10 15 25
C Joe Colborne 76 7 20 27
D TJ Brodie 82 6 18 24
C Mikael Backlund 70 12 13 25
D Chris Butler 75 3 4 7
R Brian McGrattan 70 1 4 5
D Shane O'Brien 75 0 8 8
D Derek Smith 20 1 4 5
L Lance Bouma 70 5 5 10
C Ben Street 8 0 1 1
R Tim Jackman 30 0 1 1
L Roman Horak 20 2 4 6
D Christopher Breen 2 0 0 0

[TurnedTheCorner]

http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showthread.php?p=4350512

[Bandwagon In Flames]

Originally Posted by TurnedTheCorner

http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showthread.php?p=4350512

And? It's no longer August so that thread is no longer relevant.

FBI that's quite a drop off in Hudler and Monahan's production. Is there any reason to believe they will lose their chemistry after being such a great duo so far this year?

[Jacks]

Originally Posted by Bandwagon In Flames

And? It's no longer August so that thread is no longer relevant.

That link leads to the post with TurnedTheCorners predictions, not the whole thread.

[kirant]

Tried out some historical based calculations (past performance in terms of shot % (or average shooter %) and assists/goal ratios (again, made assumptions for some players) and got some interesting numbers. Not really an accurate formula, but I think it highlights who will likely will be the top performers based on current motion.

Notable Outliers: Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Butler, McGrattan. This rendition of the Flames gives the defence a lot of opportunities to shoot and it really inflates the points for them under my method.

Lee Stempniak: 27 Goals, 33 Assists
Dennis Wideman: 15 Goals, 44 Assists
Curtis Glencross: 25 Goals, 25 Assists
Sean Monahan: 20 Goals, 30 Assists
Jiri Hudler: 18 Goals, 27 Assists
David Jones: 22 Goals, 18 Assists
Mike Cammalleri (65 Games): 18 Goals, 21 Assists
TJ Brodie: 6 Goals, 33 Assists
Mark Giordano (60 Games): 9 Goals, 25 Assists
Kris Russell: 8 Goals, 25 Assists
TJ Galiardi: 13 Goals, 17 Assist
Joe Colborne (76 Games): 6 Goals, 24 Assists
Chris Butler: 4 Goals, 25 Assists
Sven Baertschi (76 Games): 11 Goals, 17 Assists
Mikael Backlund (76 Games): 9 Goals, 14 Assists
Matt Stajan (70 Games): 6 Goals, 11 Assists
Brian McGrattan (70 Games): 4 Goals, 9 Assists
Lance Bouma (76 Games): 3 Goals, 4 Assists
Shane O'Brien: 1 Goal, 5 Assists
Derek Smith (23 Games): 0 Goals, 3 Assists
Tim Jackman (35 Games): 1 Goal, 1 Assist

[Poe969]

are we going to also predict which players will still be on the Flames at the end of the season?

[djsFlames]

Monahan: 24G 21A 45P
Baertschi: 12G 24A 36P
Colborne: 9G 14A 23P
Backlund: 15G 22A 37P
Bouma: 5G 9A 14P
Brodie: 7G 21A 28P

Berra: 34GP .907SV 2.58GAA 3SO

[TurnedTheCorner]

Originally Posted by Bandwagon In Flames

And? It's no longer August so that thread is no longer relevant.

It's very relevant, I stand by my initial predictions.

Though admittedly, and happily, I was quite wrong about Monahan.

McGrattan has a way to go for 12 fights. And I'm off the mark on Cundari and Russel too, it would seem. As for the rest, time will tell.

[FBI]

I just think Monahan's awesome start is not very sustainable (I hope it is)
And even with 16 goals and ~40 points, it would still be a pretty solid first season.. So just keeping my expectations in check I think.

For Hudler, ~55-60 points would be pretty solid for him I think.. But again I'm obviously hoping for 65+.. Do you think he will be able to sustain that?

Originally Posted by Bandwagon In Flames

And? It's no longer August so that thread is no longer relevant.

FBI that's quite a drop off in Hudler and Monahan's production. Is there any reason to believe they will lose their chemistry after being such a great duo so far this year?

[FBI]

OK well we're half way through the season now, Here's what players are on pace for:

Hudler 82 23 45 68
Cammy 74 28 17 45
Gio 64 13 35 48
Money 75 26 13 39
Stajan 74 13 22 35
Russell 76 8 25 33
Backlund8110 22 32
Stemp 75 13 17 30
Wideman66 5 28 33
Jones 76 13 13 26
Glencross61 17 17 34
Brodie 82 6 18 24
Colborne80 8 14 22
Butler 82 4 12 16
Byron 57 7 20 27
Galiardi 68 2 15 17
Bouma 78 4 10 14

Surprises? Mono still on pace for 25+ goal rookie season (sweet), Baertschi on the farm so he is much less than projected..
Obviously Byron is a surprise too..
Stempniak a negative surprise, Did Ference end him?

Galiardi on pace for *2* goals

[Badgers Nose]

When I see that production from $3-4 million/year players it makes me sick.

I take back every nice thing I ever said about Feaster, we have a ton of dogs. But none of them are kids so that's a positive.

[Tyler]

Is it just me or is Cammy playing himself out of a big contract for next year?

[FBI]

Well he's still on pace for almost a 30 goal season despite missing 8 games.

[Fire]

Originally Posted by Tyler

Is it just me or is Cammy playing himself out of a big contract for next year?

A good playoffs on a better team will help him.

[Badgers Nose]

Yeah, he is an awesome supporting player, but only OK carrying a team.

We were spoiled by two of the greatest Flames ever these past ten years (Kipper and Iggy).

On a good team Cammy will light it up. Especially come playoffs.

Flames need to move him. His talents are pretty much wasted here.

If there are players that are OK but have bad contracts that Flames could use to hit the floor while getting good picks back, I hope they do that soon.

[TurnedTheCorner]

Excellent, this thread has been bumped. Let's see how I'm doing with my predictions. Initial predictions pasted below, followed by actual and projected

G:
MacDonald: 0 fights Actual: 0 Projected: 0
Ramo: 12 saves in 17 shootout attempts A: 3/9 P: 6/18
Berra: 1 A A: 0 P: 0

C:
Backlund: -9 A: -3 P: -6
Stajan: 626 FOW A: 290 P: 580
Knight: 25 TkA A: 0 P: 0
Monahan: 0 GP A: 35 P: 75

LW:
Cammalleri: 9 PPG A: 3 P: 7
Baertschi: 15:19 TOI/G A: 14:06 P: 14:06
Glencross: 4 SHG A: 0 P: 0
Galiardi: 46 BkS A: 24 P: 48

RW:
Stempniak: 52 FOL A: 12 P: 24
Hudler: 41 GvA A: 21 P: 42
D. Jones: 2 ENG A:0 P: 0
McGrattan: 12 fights A: 7 P: 14

D:
Wideman: 30.6 Sft/G A: 31.4 P: 31.4
Brodie: 66 MsS A: 27 P: 54
Giordano: 144 Hits A: 24 P: 64
Butler: 33 PIM A: 12 P: 24
Russell: 0:03 PP TOI/G A: 3:13 P: 3:13
Cundari: 18:55 TOI/G A: 0:00 P: 0:00
O'Brien: 30 Shots A: 14 P: 28

[FBI]

Bump: Let's see how we did here, my guesses weren't very good.
I was close on Colborne at least
djsflames was close on Backlund..

Briefly checked the August thread too and pretty much none of us guessed Gio was going to be that good this year.

[kirant]

I bolded my (few) accurate predictions, scaled to my game count guesses.

Originally Posted by kirant

Lee Stempniak: -15 Goals, -11 Assists
Dennis Wideman: -8 Goals, -14 Assists
Curtis Glencross: +1 Goal, +1 Assist
Sean Monahan: +4 Goals, -17 Assists
Jiri Hudler: +0 Goals, +13 Assists
David Jones: -7 Goals, -3 Assists
Mike Cammalleri (65 Games): +8 Goals, -2 Assists
TJ Brodie: -2 Goals, -6 Assists
Mark Giordano (60 Games): +5 Goals, +6 Assists
Kris Russell:+0 Goals, +1 Assist
TJ Galiardi: -8 Goals, +0 Assists
Joe Colborne: +4 Goals, -6 Assists
Chris Butler: -2 Goals, -11 Assists
Sven Baertschi (76 Games): -6 Goals, +9 Assists
Mikael Backlund (76 Games): +9 Goals, +7 Assists
Matt Stajan (70 Games): +8 Goals, +8 Assists
Brian McGrattan (70 Games): +0 Goals, -5 Assists
Lance Bouma (76 Games): +2 Goals, +6 Assists
Shane O'Brien: -1 Goal, +0 Assists
Derek Smith (23 Games): +0 Goals, -1 Assists

[Wastedyouth]

Turnthecorner got a lifetime?

Wow, a lot of the old guard is falling.