Quote:
Originally posted by nfotiu+Jan 19 2005, 06:27 PM--></div><table border='0' align='center' width='95%' cellpadding='3' cellspacing='1'><tr><td>QUOTE (nfotiu @ Jan 19 2005, 06:27 PM)</td></tr><tr><td id='QUOTE'> <!--QuoteBegin-Cowperson@Jan 19 2005, 04:52 PM
The interesting thing is that this humungous loss of life doesn't appear to be much of an impact item economically beyond tourism.
Three thousand people die in a moment in New York and the global economy collapses even more than it had been to that point, the damages measured perhaps by starting at 1 trillion dollars.
Two hundred thousand die in this region and, if I'm not mistaken, even their local stock markets are up.
Cowperson
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American stocks slumped post 9/11, but overseas stocks went in the other direction for the year or so following. What were the real economic costs of 9/11? I think a lot of the costs were do to Bush's fear mongering and thirst for revenge.
Beyond Tourism is kind of a silly thing to say anyway, when you are talking about mostly coastal communities being affected. Tourism is the industry for most of these places, (at least the ones I am familiar with I guess). [/b][/quote]
Tourism is important in a few areas but not most.
USA and overseas stock markets dived into the third week in September, 2001 then rose fairly dramatically into, I believe, January before collapsing in humungous fashion globally through to the first week of October, 2002.
Markets were sharply lower globally one year after 9/11, a drop of about 20% or more in Canada and the USA as an example. Europe was off even more, maybe twice as much.
As well, stock markets took large losses every time there was a terror attack somewhere in the globe until, I think, about May 2002. Markets don't react much to attacks now.
What part of the business conditions of the time would you ascribe to a normal blow-off of the excesses of the 1990's versus the compounding effect created by diving consumer confidence in the wake of the events of 9/11? Hard to tell but I don't think $1 trillion is unrealistic given what you might have seen in the absence of 9/11. Just guessing on my part although I'm sure our learned economics people would love to dive in!!
Cowperson