Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community

Go Back   Calgarypuck Forums - The Unofficial Calgary Flames Fan Community > Main Forums > Fire on Ice: The Calgary Flames Forum
Register Forum Rules FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

View Poll Results: Result: 1 bad / 10 amazing
10 1 1.61%
9 0 0%
8 1 1.61%
7 2 3.23%
6 5 8.06%
5 11 17.74%
4 21 33.87%
3 16 25.81%
2 4 6.45%
1 1 1.61%
Voters: 62. You may not vote on this poll

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Old 04-26-2016, 07:05 AM   #1
Bingo
Owner
 
Bingo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Calgary
Exp:
Default Lottery Fix - April 26th

http://www.calgarypuck.com/2016/04/l...ix-april-26th/

Not the worst, but certainly not the best ... I'm in the 5 range.

Flames how now drafted Tkachuk 6 times in 16 simulations.

Interesting that the Canucks have had a lower average draft position than the Oilers so I'm getting something right. (reaching)
Bingo is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Bingo For This Useful Post:
Old 04-26-2016, 07:10 AM   #2
Poe969
Franchise Player
 
Poe969's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Thunder Bay Ontario
Exp:
Default

Not great but more bad than good. 4 for me.
__________________
Fan of the Flames, where being OK has become OK.
Poe969 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 07:27 AM   #3
Toonage
Taking a while to get to 5000
 
Toonage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Exp:
Default

Pro: No Oilers in the top 3
Con: Canucks
Silver lining: Flames get Tkachuk to play alongside Bennett

Yeah, 5 seems fair.
Toonage is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 07:31 AM   #4
Vinny01
Franchise Player
 
Vinny01's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: CGY
Exp:
Default

That tankathon website where I run the simulator has Tkachuk going 4th in all their mocks. The more I read about him the more I want him if we can't draft top 3. He and Bennett could be an amazing duo and his offensive numbers are great
Vinny01 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 07:36 AM   #5
Fighting Banana Slug
#1 Goaltender
 
Fighting Banana Slug's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Calgary
Exp:
Default

Blech, I like this less than most. 3 for me.

Not a Tkachuk hater, but I think I would rather have any of the other top 7, including Nylander.
__________________
From HFBoard oiler fan, in analyzing MacT's management:
O.K. there has been a lot of talk on whether or not MacTavish has actually done a good job for us, most fans on this board are very basic in their analysis and I feel would change their opinion entirely if the team was successful.
Fighting Banana Slug is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 07:41 AM   #6
ricardodw
Franchise Player
 
ricardodw's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Exp:
Default

It would be interesting to see who the Jets would pick at #7.

Their small skilled forward list: Ehlers, Little, Connor, Petan, Perrault is a bit full ... Would they bother to trade down or just pick McLeod ... they went off the board with Scheifele in a similar spot and won big.

Same dilemma Bingo had the Flames in a few Lottery simulations ago.
ricardodw is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 07:47 AM   #7
Blarg
Crash and Bang Winger
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Exp:
Default

The "Official Lottery Simulator" at nhllotterysimulator.com is awesome. You get to see the odds in real time as the balls are chosen.
Blarg is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to Blarg For This Useful Post:
Old 04-26-2016, 07:55 AM   #8
1qqaaz
Franchise Player
 
1qqaaz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: Indiana
Exp:
Default

I like Tkachuk quite a bit, and the Oilers didn't win. 6th is basically average, so I don't think it's that bad.

This is basically the type of result that would be classified as "average" IMO
1qqaaz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 07:55 AM   #9
Yoho
Lifetime Suspension
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Location: North America
Exp:
Default

Not the end of the world.Shows how tough it will be to stay at 5
Yoho is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 08:00 AM   #10
Bingo
Owner
 
Bingo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Calgary
Exp:
Default

I honestly can't wait until Saturday and not because I'm expecting great things. I just want to know who's picking where so we can debate who will take whom and get a better idea of where Calgary is sitting.

So much up in the air with a 3 team lottery, and two teams leaning defenders in a top heavy forward draft.

Obviously I'd be happy to take any of the top three ... seems like Dubois has become a safe 4, and I'd love that.

But then things get really sketchy. I like Tkachuk but he's gone if the Oilers/Canucks both pick top three, and likely the Flames pick if they're not and the Flames are 6th.

7th really clouds things.

Having said all that ... I still ponder what 60 days of digesting pick #2 would be like.
Bingo is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Bingo For This Useful Post:
Old 04-26-2016, 08:20 AM   #11
Cali Panthers Fan
Franchise Player
 
Cali Panthers Fan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Boca Raton, FL
Exp:
Default

Awful.

I can deal with Toronto getting the 1st overall. They earned it.

However, Vancouver getting the 2nd pick really bothers me.

But the worst is seeing a team in the Boston Bruins, who just missed the playoffs and were quite good most of the year, leapfrog much more deserving teams to get the 3rd pick. That would really piss me off if it were to happen.

I can accept the Flames dropping a spot because the odds say they will, but the other 3 results are pretty terrible.
__________________
"You know, that's kinda why I came here, to show that I don't suck that much" ~ Devin Cooley, Professional Goaltender
Cali Panthers Fan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 08:21 AM   #12
jmac98
Scoring Winger
 
Join Date: Aug 2009
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bingo View Post
I honestly can't wait until Saturday...
The thing about the lottery and this exercise you've been doing is that Calgary shows up enough times in the top 3 to give some semblance of realistic hope.

You see Boston pop in there once and it's kind of an anomaly. But Calgary has had their fair share of representation in the top 3, enough to hold a bit of hope for some luck come Saturday. While the odds are firmly against them just as they are anyone, the percentages are still enough to irritate us all to the point we want to remain and speak in truths for a 5th maybe 6th, yet quietly all remain quite intent on striking it rich.

jmac98 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 08:24 AM   #13
Da_Chief
Franchise Player
 
Join Date: May 2007
Exp:
Default

Clearly I should be there representing the Flames. I should also buy some lottery tickets today.

Da_Chief is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following User Says Thank You to Da_Chief For This Useful Post:
Old 04-26-2016, 08:26 AM   #14
_Q_
#1 Goaltender
 
_Q_'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Calgary
Exp:
Default

What time is the lottery on Saturday?
_Q_ is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 08:34 AM   #15
Toonage
Taking a while to get to 5000
 
Toonage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by _q_ View Post
what time is the lottery on saturday?
5:00
Toonage is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Toonage For This Useful Post:
Old 04-26-2016, 09:50 AM   #16
Bunk
Franchise Player
 
Bunk's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blarg View Post
The "Official Lottery Simulator" at nhllotterysimulator.com is awesome. You get to see the odds in real time as the balls are chosen.
I seem to have worse luck with it, but it is interesting. I am fully preparing for disappointment Saturday.
__________________
Trust the snake.
Bunk is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 10:19 AM   #17
Flame19,289
Powerplay Quarterback
 
Flame19,289's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Upstate NY
Exp:
Default

If the Flames miss out on the top 3, but still get Tkachuk, I think I'd still consider that an organizational win.

Weird that in Bingo's 16 iterations, the Flames have never come in 5th. It's looking more and more likely that it's going to either be one of the lottery spots or 6th/7th.
Flame19,289 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 10:29 AM   #18
Finger Cookin
Franchise Player
 
Finger Cookin's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2014
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Flame19,289 View Post
If the Flames miss out on the top 3, but still get Tkachuk, I think I'd still consider that an organizational win.

Weird that in Bingo's 16 iterations, the Flames have never come in 5th. It's looking more and more likely that it's going to either be one of the lottery spots or 6th/7th.
Only a 9.1% chance of drafting fifth.
Finger Cookin is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 02:58 PM   #19
Jay Random
Franchise Player
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Blarg View Post
The "Official Lottery Simulator" at nhllotterysimulator.com is awesome. You get to see the odds in real time as the balls are chosen.
Nice feature. (Btw: Ran it once. Calgary, Columbus, Montreal, in that order. Not running it again; I'm keeping that result!)
__________________
WARNING: The preceding message may not have been processed in a sarcasm-free facility.
Jay Random is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-26-2016, 03:00 PM   #20
GranteedEV
Franchise Player
 
GranteedEV's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2009
Location: Calgary
Exp:
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Toonage View Post
Pro: No Oilers in the top 3
Con: Canucks
Silver lining: Flames get Tkachuk to play alongside Bennett

Yeah, 5 seems fair.
Do we even mind the Canucks in the top 3? Like, if the Canucks get Patrick Laine, it'll only be two years before we trade Tyler Wotherspoon+Pat Sieloff of Patrick Laine.
__________________

"May those who accept their fate find happiness. May those who defy it find glory."
GranteedEV is offline   Reply With Quote
The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to GranteedEV For This Useful Post:
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -6. The time now is 12:00 PM.

Calgary Flames
2024-25




Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright Calgarypuck 2021 | See Our Privacy Policy