07-07-2015, 08:12 PM
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#1
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Calgary
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Chinese Stock Market Crash
Starting to wonder if the 150% pump and dump in China isn't a bigger deal than the Greek sideshow. Almost half the stocks trading in Shanghai have a trading halt by the government to prevent a panic drop. This to me has a much larger implications to the world economy than 10M Greeks grifting the EU.
The biggest problem is the flood of mom and pop retail investors flooding the market. If these people get crushed there goes any chance for a soft landing to their slowing economy. China needs people to start switching the economy to a consumer driven one, hard to do when they lose their savings.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...rgin-debt-drop
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07-07-2015, 08:17 PM
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#2
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Calgary
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It's crazy all the things they've done to prop it up, even going to the big investment banks and warning them not to sell their stocks.
So shady, and really sounds like more of a ponzi scheme than an actual market.
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07-07-2015, 08:17 PM
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#3
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Franchise Player
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I've been debating on whether to short the market.
It has already dropped considerably, but it seems like there is still room to fall.
The Chinese are notorious for their fads. The rush into the stock market looks like one of them.
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07-07-2015, 08:26 PM
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#4
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Silicon Valley
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Quote:
Originally Posted by burn_this_city
The biggest problem is the flood of mom and pop retail investors flooding the market. If these people get crushed there goes any chance for a soft landing to their slowing economy. China needs people to start switching the economy to a consumer driven one, hard to do when they lose their savings.
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well...
__________________
"With a coach and a player, sometimes there's just so much respect there that it's boils over"
-Taylor Hall
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07-07-2015, 08:37 PM
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#5
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Scoring Winger
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Victoria
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It is a really interesting situation. Why has the Chinese economy faltered so badly in 2015?
From a short term point of view they are not really that exposed to Greece and cheap oil should be a godsend to a developing industrial giant such as China. So what is the problem?
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07-07-2015, 08:41 PM
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#6
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Powerplay Quarterback
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Regorium
It's crazy all the things they've done to prop it up, even going to the big investment banks and warning them not to sell their stocks.
So shady, and really sounds like more of a ponzi scheme than an actual market.
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In north america, wouldn't this qualify as manipulation of a stock price?
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07-07-2015, 08:44 PM
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#7
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In the Sin Bin
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Implications on Canadian Investments by the Chinese?
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07-07-2015, 08:47 PM
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#8
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Lifetime Suspension
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jackpot_Smooth
In north america, wouldn't this qualify as manipulation of a stock price?
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LOL, we're talking about a country that basically allows intellectual property theft on a National scale, and the existence of the biggest online counterfeit market on the face of the earth (Alibaba).... and you think something as petty as stock manipulation is going to be a concern?
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07-07-2015, 08:47 PM
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#9
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Scoring Winger
Join Date: Oct 2011
Location: Victoria
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jackpot_Smooth
In north america, wouldn't this qualify as manipulation of a stock price?
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umm no we would just call that kind of manipulation quantitative easing... I know its different but is it?
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07-07-2015, 09:09 PM
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#10
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Calgary, Alberta
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Quote:
Originally Posted by burn_this_city
Starting to wonder if the 150% pump and dump in China isn't a bigger deal than the Greek sideshow. Almost half the stocks trading in Shanghai have a trading halt by the government to prevent a panic drop. This to me has a much larger implications to the world economy than 10M Greeks grifting the EU.
The biggest problem is the flood of mom and pop retail investors flooding the market. If these people get crushed there goes any chance for a soft landing to their slowing economy. China needs people to start switching the economy to a consumer driven one, hard to do when they lose their savings.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...rgin-debt-drop
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Its definitely a much bigger deal than Greece. The worst part here is that the Chinese pulled out the "bazooka" a couple days ago to try to stem the drop and it basically did nothing. Just grim.
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07-07-2015, 10:04 PM
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#11
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Uzbekistan
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Good thing for Canadians is I wouldn't imagine many of us have much exposure to the Chinese market. A small percentage of a few global etfs or mutual funds at the most.
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07-07-2015, 10:21 PM
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#12
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Calgary
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Johnny199r
Good thing for Canadians is I wouldn't imagine many of us have much exposure to the Chinese market. A small percentage of a few global etfs or mutual funds at the most.
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No but the economy is very interdependent these days. Crashes have the potential to cascade across investors world wide as investors panic. Canadian markets being hammered by resource and oil price slowdown in Asian demand and over-supply. Europe is being hammered by Greece. Other Asian markets are getting dragged down because of China.
Canadian markets have dropped ~7% from their peak in mid April. Not the 30% drop the Chinese markets have seen in the last month, but not unsubstantial either. Then again the Canadian market was not up 77% for 1 year period prior to the crash like the Chinese market was.
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07-07-2015, 10:40 PM
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#13
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First Line Centre
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Uzbekistan
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FlameOn
No but the economy is very interdependent these days. Crashes have the potential to cascade across investors world wide as investors panic. Canadian markets being hammered by resource and oil price slowdown in Asian demand and over-supply. Europe is being hammered by Greece. Other Asian markets are getting dragged down because of China.
Canadian markets have dropped ~7% from their peak in mid April. Not the 30% drop the Chinese markets have seen in the last month, but not unsubstantial either. Then again the Canadian market was not up 77% for 1 year period prior to the crash like the Chinese market was.
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The 77% gain was ridiculous. I get what you're saying about the domino effect on other countries, but the Canadian stock market tends to rise and fall by natural resource prices regardless of a Chinese market correction.
I think the U.S has some bull market left in it, but Europe, Canada and Asia May have finished theirs...
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08-24-2015, 06:54 AM
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#14
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Calgary
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Looks like the crash has accelerated and there is fallout in all global markets. Today will be ugly by the looks of things.
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08-24-2015, 06:58 AM
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#15
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Franchise Player
Join Date: Oct 2010
Location: Calgary
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Australia lost something like $23 billion today off their markets in one day. Oi... this will be bad.
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08-24-2015, 07:39 AM
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#16
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Powerplay Quarterback
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Sweet, the Dow is down over 1000 points at open
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08-24-2015, 07:48 AM
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#17
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Franchise Player
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Thanks NDP!
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08-24-2015, 07:52 AM
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#18
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Powerplay Quarterback
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Yikes.....might be time to move into gold.....
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08-24-2015, 08:36 AM
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#19
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Franchise Player
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Not good for real estate in Vancouver and Toronto. Or maybe it is good news...I would imagine the big money has to go somewhere.
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08-24-2015, 08:44 AM
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#20
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Franchise Player
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chemgear
Thanks NDP!
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Oh good, I was worried we wouldn't get this post ... but here it is.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterJoji
Johnny eats garbage and isn’t 100% committed.
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