This questions will be reassessed literally every few days as the team is about to take a month long ride either towards an improbable playoff spot or heartbreak.
With 77 points in 66 games the Flames are 11 games over .500 (as much as that means in the loser point era) and need to go either 8-7-1 or 9-7-0 over their final 16 games to get in.
The club has the league's 25th toughest (6th easiest) schedule with 9 home games against road clubs with average win percentage of .479 and 7 road games against clubs with average home win percentage of .591.
I thought they'd be in trouble with that 7 game road trip with Giordano in hand, without I didn't see them picking up 7 of a possible 8 points.
So they in?
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Everytime I doubt this team they prove me wrong, so even though up until before this road trip and Gio's injury I was pretty certain we'd drop off, I now really believe in this team.
Having said that, if we don't make it, it will still be one of the most entertaining years of hockey in a long time, maybe even since 2004. Love the heart, the character, the coaching, the leadership, the young kids. Just a dream season and anything like playoffs is just simply icing on the cake.
__________________ Allskonar fyrir Aumingja!!
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The club has the league's 25th toughest (6th easiest) schedule with 9 home games against road clubs with average win percentage of .479 and 7 road games against clubs with average home win percentage of .591.
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Although the season is a success as far as development goes, it would be absolutely heartbreaking for these lads who worked their asses off to miss the dance. Up and down the lineup, nothing but heart, soul and sandpaper.
Not sure when it happened, but at some point I started to believe--so I voted yes. I will say that if they do miss I will still feel that this season has been an enormous success, and so much fun to watch. The last time it was this fun to watch the Flames was spring of 2004.
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Yes. First time all year I actually think it should happen. Very winnable slate of games to get to 9-10 wins.
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From HFBoard oiler fan, in analyzing MacT's management:
O.K. there has been a lot of talk on whether or not MacTavish has actually done a good job for us, most fans on this board are very basic in their analysis and I feel would change their opinion entirely if the team was successful.
Even if LA overtakes the Flames, the Jets only have a single point more than the Flames. The Flames have the tie-breaker, the Jets are missing their key-player in Byfuglien as well, and the Jets appear to have a much harder schedule. 8 on the road, 8 away and only 4-non playoff teams (Panthers, Sharks, Oilers, Avalanche). The Flames got Leafs, Avalanche (x2), Flyers, Blue Jackets, Stars (x2), Oilers, and Coyotes.
The Flames have now played 100 games since 'Hartleygate'. Their record is:
55 - 39 - 6 / 116 pts / +31 / 0.580 W%
For 100 games, their winning percentage has stayed pretty consistent, and their goal differential has remained not only steady, but consistent with the winning percentage .
That being the case, instead of continually throwing out Corsi and saying their record is unsustainable, I would be asking why Corsi isn't applying to them.
But that's just me.
Enoch Root posted this on another thread. If we take the .58% W% over the past 100 games and apply it to the last 16 games that is 19 points (9 wins, 1 OT loss) which will bring their season total to 96 points - that should get us in.
QOTD: Are they in? March 10th Edition
