Quote:
Originally Posted by GordonBlue
It's byelection day in three Alberta provincial electoral districts
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmon...icts-1.7567336
Edmonton-Ellerslie I think could go either way.
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills I think is guaranteed to be UCP.
I think Nenshi is as much of a shoe-in as you can expect. I can't see the "traditional" NDP voters turning their back on him.
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I voted early on Friday.
It really feels like a two horse race. The AB republican party has been pounding the pavement. They clearly have a lot of money, and have the support of the evangelical community. They have signs everywhere. Many on peoples lawns. They call you twice a day, have taken out local radio spots. They are really working hard.
The UCP should win, Tara Sawyer is the most qualified candidate. The Other large voting block, farmers, should back her. Though it depends on their opinion of the Grain Growers of Canada. The UCP and Danielle Smith have been all over the place attending as many local events as possible. This also tells me that they hear foot steps.
Lots of folks talk about supporting the ANDP but the visual markers are not there. I think that they show a very strong outcome, but the odds of them Bev Toews winning are low.
My gut feeling is that the AB republican win. The evangelical vote is simply too strong. Historically this is the last riding that the Social Credit Party held seats in. It is also one of the most conservative in Canada.