Quote:
Originally Posted by SebC
If my phone has been on DND since before the kid went missing, it's literally 0% chance vs a possible non-zero chance otherwise. Two numbers can both be "near zero" and orders of magnitude apart. 0.01% and 0.000000000000000000001% should not be conflated with other, nor should either be conflated with exactly 0%. Stats would be nice but in the meantime we can show, at a minimum, that there are diminishing returns just by modeling the situation.
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I agree with you, though we could wait a year collect a bunch of a data analyse where the tips are coming and then make a decision with at least some data. You are looking for such a small piece of information
I don’t think the general public has a good understanding of where the tips come from. I certainly don’t.
It is not reasonable to argue that you have zero chance of being able to help or even that people with DND on have zero chance of being able to help.