[Lanny_McDonald]

I've skipped a week trying to let some polling numbers catch up but here is a polling data update with the trends. Data comes from Real Clear Politics, 270toWin, and 538 to provide as much information as possible.

We will acknowledge that Trump is a clear winner in:
Alabama(3) +20, +20, +17.7
Alaska (3) +6, +6, +4.9
Idaho (4) +6, +20, +21
Montana (3) +9.2, +7, +8.2
Wyoming (3) No Data, +30, +33
Utah (6) +14, +10, +11.7
North Dakota (3) No Data, +20, +20.1
South Dakota (3) +6, +10, +14.9
Nebraska State Wide (5) No Data, +8, +6.4
Kansas (6) +9.5, +7, +6.8
Oklahoma (7) +25, +18, +21.2
Missouri (10) +9, +9, +6.2
Arkansas (6) +2, +19, +14.2
Louisiana (8) +17, +18, +14.6
Mississippi (6) +15, +20, +13.7
Tennessee (11) +14, +18, +13.7
Kentucky (8) +15.5, +6, +17.7
Indiana (11) +10.6, +7, +9.9
West Virginia (5) +16, +14, +22.7

Leaning Trump:

South Carolina (9) +12, +8, +6.3

Trump = 117 electoral college votes.

We will also acknowledge that Biden is a clear winner in:

California (55) +31.7, +26, +31.2
Oregon (5) +12, +22, +20
Washington (12) +25.2, +21, +25.1
Illinois (20) No Data, +23, +18.5
New York (29) +28.7, +32, +31
Massachusetts (11) +35.7, +40, +38.4
Rhode Island (4) No Data, +37, +31.7
Connecticut (7) +18, +30, +25.6
New Jersey (14) +17.4, +20, +19.8
Delaware (3) +19, +21, +26.4
Hawaii (4) +30, +33, +32.8
Maryland (10) +31.5, +31, +32.4
DC (3) ND, +78, +78.5

Leaning Biden:

Nevada (6) Biden +5.2, +2, +6.3
New Mexico (5) +14.5, +14, +13.3
Colorado (9) +10, +15, +13.1
Minnesota (10) +6.9, +6, +9
Maine (4) +6.6, +10, +14.8

Biden = 220 electoral college votes.

This leaves the follow as battleground states.

Arizona (11) Biden +4, +3.8, +3.9
Wisconsin (10) Biden +6, +6.2, +6
Michigan (16) Biden +7.2, +6.7, +7.9
Ohio (18) Trump+.5, Biden+1.4, Trump+.2
Pennsylvania (20) Biden +4.4, +4.8, +6.8
Virginia (13) Biden +11.4, +11, +13.3
North Carolina (15) Biden+2.7, +3, +3.2
Georgia (16) Biden+1.2, +1.7, +1.3
Florida (29) Biden+1.4, +2, +3

Texas (38) Trump +4.4, +3.6, +1.4
Iowa (6) Biden +1.2, +.8, +.2

Electoral College Projection

Trump (incumbent) - 187 vs Biden - 351


We'll also add some important Senate races as they provide interesting context to possible swings in given states and should help normalize expectations from some of the polling.

Arizona - Kelly (D) vs McSally (R)* - Kelly +8.3, +10, +6.2
North Carolina - Cunningham (D) vs Tillis (R)* - Cunningham+4.3, +3.8, +3
Michigan - Peters (D)* vs James (R) - Peters +4.9, +6.3, +6.4
Maine - Gideon (D) vs Collins (R)* - Gideon +4.2, +4.2, +3
Iowa - Greenfield (D) vs Ernst (R)* - Greenfield +4.8, +2.8, +.7
Montana - Bullock (D) vs Daines (R)* - Daines +3.3, +2, +3.4
Colorado - Hickenlooper (D) vs Gardner (R)* - Hickenlooper +9, +5, +7.1
Minnesota - Smith (D)* vs Lewis (R) - Smith +8.3, +10, +12.6
Georgia - Ossoff (D) vs Perdue (R)* - Perdue +1, +1.5, +3
Alabama - Jones (D)* vs Tuberville (R) - Tuberville +10, +15, +5
Texas - Hegar (D) vs Cornyn (R)* - Cornyn +7.6, +6, +7.6

South Carolina - Harrison (D) vs Graham (R)* - Lady G +6, +3.3, +5.6

Senate projection - Republican 49 vs Democrat - 51