In January 2018, CarbonBrief published a series about climate models which includes the following articles:
Q&A: How do climate models work?
This indepth article explains in detail how scientists use computers to understand our changing climate.
Timeline: The history of climate modelling
Scroll through 50 key moments in the development of climate models over the last almost 100 years.
In-depth: Scientists discuss how to improve climate models
Carbon Brief asked a range of climate scientists what they think the main priorities are for improving climate models over the coming decade.
How well have climate models projected global warming?
https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis...global-warming
Quote:
Climate models published since 1973 have generally been quite skillful in projecting future warming. While some were too low and some too high, they all show outcomes reasonably close to what has actually occurred, especially when discrepancies between predicted and actual CO2 concentrations and other climate forcings are taken into account.
Models are far from perfect and will continue to be improved over time. They also show a fairly large range of future warming that cannot easily be narrowed using just the changes in climate that we have observed.
Nevertheless, the close match between projected and observed warming since 1970 suggests that estimates of future warming may prove similarly accurate.
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